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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 100-86
28-25 29-17 17-27 26-17
Position#7
Record31-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game104.7
vs
Position#23
Record16-32
FormLLLLL
Points / game104.1
Allowed / game110.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets
16 Jan 2027
DEN v CHA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
DEN87
CHA110
20 Feb 2025
DEN129
CHA115
16 Jul 2024
DEN66
CHA80
01 Jan 2024
DEN111
CHA93
18 Dec 2022
DEN119
CHA115
23 Dec 2021
DEN107
CHA115
17 Mar 2021
DEN129
CHA104
15 Jan 2020
DEN100
CHA86
05 Jan 2019
DEN123
CHA110
05 Feb 2018
DEN121
CHA104
04 Mar 2017
DEN102
CHA112
10 Jan 2016
DEN95
CHA92
31 Jan 2015
DEN86
CHA104
29 Jan 2014
DEN98
CHA101
22 Dec 2012
DEN110
CHA88
02 Mar 2011
DEN120
CHA80
25 Jan 2010
DEN104
CHA93
30 Jan 2009
DEN110
CHA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
100-112
100
112
-12
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
119-110
119
110
+9
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-115
120
115
+5
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
104-130
104
130
-26
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
124-116
124
116
+8
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
114-128
114
128
-14
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
123-115
123
115
+8
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
107-106
107
106
+1
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
103-111
103
111
-8
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
114-104
114
104
+10
H13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
29-29
25-26
20-28
26-11
24-28
32-29
37-42
31-32
31-25
26-24
32-34
26-38
26-31
37-23
15-38
27-37
35-27
30-24
32-28
19-31
36-30
35-34
24-33
29-31
35-25
27-30
32-29
27-32
29-27
30-30
21-17
18-23
24-28
29-34
32-26
29-30
37-22
23-22
25-30
227.5Avg total
112.8Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)109.0104.7213.7+4.372%
Season at home (22)109.0103.9212.9+5.177%
Season away (21)109.0105.4214.4+3.667%
Last 10 (10)112.8114.7227.5-1.960%
Last 5 (5)112.2112.8225.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)103.8102.2206.0+1.550%
vs Similar (18)110.1106.5216.6+3.672%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)115.9110.0225.9+5.962%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
H28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
104-117
104
117
-13
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
92-109
92
109
-17
H31/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
109-106
109
106
+3
A03/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
123-120 OT
123
120
+3
A05/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
104-115
104
115
-11
H07/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
110-112 OT
110
112
-2
H09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
92-109
92
109
-17
A11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
92-100
92
100
-8
A13/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
112-115
112
115
-3
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
25-27
22-19
29-22
20-31
26-25
29-30
29-31
18-24
25-26
30-30
19-29
31-29
21-30
30-26
27-21
32-20
25-24
23-40
23-19
29-27
15-15
21-37
39-36
31-29
24-31
26-22
19-18
13-29
25-32
24-26
30-22
24-18
21-28
26-25
21-29
26-25
20-37
43-29
23-24
214.7Avg total
104.0Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)104.1110.3214.4-6.233%
Season at home (23)106.0110.9216.9-4.930%
Season away (25)102.3109.8212.1-7.436%
Last 10 (10)104.0110.7214.7-6.720%
Last 5 (5)102.0110.2212.2-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)101.5112.9214.4-11.415%
vs Similar (10)106.2104.8211.0+1.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Denver NuggetsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H13/01
NBA
113.0Avg total
56.4Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.853.3109.1+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.652.6107.2+2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)57.354.3111.6+3.054%-
Last 10 (10)56.456.6113.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)56.655.8112.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.550.098.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (18)55.954.2110.1+1.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)59.253.1112.4+6.162%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H31/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A03/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A05/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H07/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
38-61
38
61
-23
A11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A13/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A14/01
NBA
100.2Avg total
46.9Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.155.5106.5-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.253.2104.4-1.954%-
Last 30 away (17)50.957.2108.2-6.324%-
Last 10 (10)46.953.3100.2-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)45.654.299.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)49.956.2106.1-6.425%-
vs Similar (10)53.554.0107.5-0.560%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.533.3
56.0%
52.3%66.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.8
30.2%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.8
79.8%
77.2%19.8
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.626.5
50.4%
52.3%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.3
33.9%
35.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws22.417.1
76.3%
77.2%17.1
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWLWWL
Charlotte Hornets
LLLLLWWLLL
#7
League position
#23
-1.9
Net rating
-6.8
114.3
Offensive rating
105.7
116.3
Defensive rating
112.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
10.7%
Turnover %
14.5%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.2%
3-point %
33.9%
58.4%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 105.7Defence116.3 · 112.5Shooting52.5% · 50.6%3-point %30.2% · 33.9%Ball care10.7% · 14.5%Off. rebounds24.8% · 23.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/20HLos Angeles Clippers114-104
12/01/20HCleveland Cavaliers103-111
09/01/20ADallas Mavericks107-106
07/01/20AAtlanta Hawks123-115
05/01/20AWashington Wizards114-128
03/01/20AIndiana Pacers124-116
01/01/20AHouston Rockets104-130
30/12/19HSacramento Kings120-115
28/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies119-110
26/12/19HNew Orleans Pelicans100-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/20APortland Trail Blazers112-115
13/01/20APhoenix Suns92-100
11/01/20AUtah Jazz92-109
09/01/20HToronto Raptors110-112 OT
07/01/20HIndiana Pacers104-115
05/01/20ADallas Mavericks123-120 OT
03/01/20ACleveland Cavaliers109-106
31/12/19HBoston Celtics92-109
30/12/19AMemphis Grizzlies104-117
28/12/19HOklahoma City Thunder102-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW72%
HomeLWWLW77%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %72%77%67%
Points / game109.0109.0109.0
Allowed / game104.7103.9105.4
Point differential+4.3+5.1+3.6
Avg total213.7212.9214.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)67% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %7%5%10%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %33%30%36%
Points / game104.1106.0102.3
Allowed / game110.3110.9109.8
Point differential-6.2-4.9-7.4
Avg total214.4216.9212.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%4%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)40% (10)62% (8)
Overtime %8%13%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4741687%119.6106.6+13.0
2 Los Angeles Lakers46361078%113.0104.9+8.2
3 Boston Celtics43311272%111.2103.0+8.2
4 Denver Nuggets43311272%109.0104.7+4.3
5 Miami Heat45321371%111.9107.2+4.8
6 Houston Rockets44291566%119.4114.7+4.8
7 Indiana Pacers45291664%110.2106.5+3.7
8 Toronto Raptors44281664%111.2106.5+4.7
9 Los Angeles Clippers44281664%114.0109.3+4.7
10 Utah Jazz44281664%110.1107.9+2.2
11 Philadelphia 76ers46291763%108.9104.8+4.1
12 Dallas Mavericks45271860%115.4108.4+7.1
13 Oklahoma City Thunder44242055%109.0108.1+0.8
14 Orlando Magic46222448%103.3103.1+0.3
15 Brooklyn Nets43202347%109.2110.8-1.7
16 Memphis Grizzlies44202445%113.0115.8-2.9
17 New Orleans Pelicans46202643%114.5117.1-2.5
18 San Antonio Spurs44192543%112.6114.5-1.9
19 Phoenix Suns44182641%112.7113.8-1.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers45182740%111.4114.1-2.6
21 Sacramento Kings44172739%107.4109.8-2.4
22 Detroit Pistons47182938%108.1111.0-2.9
23 Minnesota Timberwolves44162836%111.3115.1-3.8
24 Chicago Bulls47173036%106.2107.7-1.6
25 Washington Wizards44152934%114.1118.2-4.1
26 Charlotte Hornets48163233%104.1110.3-6.2
27 Cleveland Cavaliers44123227%103.9114.1-10.2
28 New York Knicks45123327%104.7112.7-8.0
29 Golden State Warriors47113623%105.3113.4-8.1
30 Atlanta Hawks46103622%106.1116.3-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28291726100
Charlotte Hornets2517271786
← all games of the day
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