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Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 121-106
32-32 33-24 22-35 34-15
Position#6
Record24-17
FormWWWWL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game109.7
vs
Position#17
Record17-23
FormLWLLW
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game112.3
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
27 Dec 2026
DEN v IND
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
DEN117
IND100
06 Apr 2025
DEN120
IND125
14 Jan 2024
DEN117
IND109
20 Jan 2023
DEN134
IND111
10 Nov 2021
DEN101
IND98
15 Mar 2021
DEN121
IND106
19 Jan 2020
DEN107
IND115
16 Mar 2019
DEN102
IND100
03 Apr 2018
DEN107
IND104
12 Jan 2017
DEN140
IND112
17 Jan 2016
DEN129
IND126
20 Dec 2014
DEN76
IND73
25 Jan 2014
DEN109
IND96
28 Jan 2013
DEN102
IND101
23 Jan 2011
DEN121
IND107
05 Mar 2010
DEN122
IND114
05 Jan 2009
DEN135
IND115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
120-103
120
103
+17
116avg 107
A20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
115-123
115
123
-8
106avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
111-106
111
106
+5
98avg 107
H24/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
110-112
110
112
-2
102avg 107
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
126-96
126
96
+30
128avg 107
A28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
118-112
118
112
+6
114avg 107
A02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
128-97
128
97
+31
124avg 107
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
113-103
113
103
+10
114avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 107
A13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
103-116
103
116
-13
93avg 107
H14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
36-27
26-30
25-23
33-27
23-37
20-29
39-30
34-25
23-32
21-21
33-28
22-26
32-30
34-32
22-24
38-20
27-23
34-26
27-27
37-25
25-30
27-32
29-25
37-23
27-27
35-30
29-17
28-29
33-23
21-22
31-29
26-31
27-24
28-22
22-25
29-28
22-34
22-31
30-23
221.7Avg total
114.7Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)115.5109.7225.2+5.959%
Season at home (19)116.1109.4225.5+6.758%
Season away (22)115.0109.9225.0+5.159%
Last 10 (10)114.7107.0221.7+7.770%
Last 5 (5)113.0106.0219.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)113.6110.8224.4+2.861%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)116.3105.6221.9+10.867%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
112-120 OT
112
120
-8
97avg 103
H16/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
134-128 OT
134
128
+6
131avg 103
A18/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
107-111
107
111
-4
96avg 103
H25/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
112-118
112
118
-6
101avg 103
A27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
107-110
107
110
-3
98avg 103
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
114-130
114
130
-16
103avg 103
A02/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
114-111
114
111
+3
106avg 103
A04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
103-113
103
113
-10
90avg 103
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
100-105
100
105
-5
89avg 103
A13/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
122-111
122
111
+11
118avg 103
A14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-25
26-30
35-26
39-33
30-40
17-19
35-29
22-25
36-31
22-28
27-27
31-32
29-29
24-31
28-26
32-23
20-31
26-27
29-29
32-33
23-39
22-33
37-25
28-28
23-33
31-29
32-21
29-28
23-33
22-21
29-31
28-20
26-26
25-25
21-34
29-33
33-24
35-20
25-34
228.2Avg total
112.5Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)112.2112.3224.4-0.142%
Season at home (19)112.4112.6225.0-0.237%
Season away (21)111.9112.0223.9-0.148%
Last 10 (10)112.5115.7228.2-3.230%
Last 5 (5)110.6114.0224.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)106.8118.2225.0-11.411%
vs Similar (17)113.1110.0223.1+3.141%
vs Weaker (4)120.5116.0236.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
Denver NuggetsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H24/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-43
65
43
+22
A28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H14/03
NBA
113.6Avg total
59.2Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.354.2114.4+6.160%-
Last 30 at home (11)60.754.9115.6+5.864%-
Last 30 away (19)60.053.7113.7+6.358%-
Last 10 (10)59.254.4113.6+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)58.254.8113.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)61.155.8116.8+5.361%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)59.151.8110.8+7.358%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H16/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A18/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H25/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A02/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A13/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A14/03
NBA
114.7Avg total
55.7Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.257.7113.9-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.956.1113.0+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)55.658.9114.5-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)55.759.0114.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)54.859.4114.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)52.059.8111.8-7.822%-
vs Similar (17)57.255.5112.7+1.841%-
vs Weaker (4)61.062.5123.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.830.0
55.8%
52.8%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.513.7
40.9%
36.6%41.1
🏀 Free throws16.813.6
81.0%
77.7%13.6
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.330.7
54.5%
52.8%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.6
33.2%
36.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.519.3
82.1%
77.7%19.3
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWWLWLW
Indiana Pacers
WLLWLLLLWL
#6
League position
#17
+7.9
Net rating
-3.0
117.5
Offensive rating
106.4
109.6
Defensive rating
109.4
57.9%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
12.1%
Turnover %
14.3%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
18.7%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.9%
3-point %
33.2%
59.0%
Assist %
60.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 106.4Defence109.6 · 109.4Shooting57.9% · 52.8%3-point %40.9% · 33.2%Ball care12.1% · 14.3%Off. rebounds20.8% · 18.7%Free throws0.19 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21HDallas Mavericks103-116
13/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies103-102
05/03/21AIndiana Pacers113-103
03/03/21AMilwaukee Bucks128-97
02/03/21AChicago Bulls118-112
28/02/21AOklahoma City Thunder126-96
26/02/21HWashington Wizards110-112
24/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers111-106
22/02/21AAtlanta Hawks115-123
20/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers120-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21APhoenix Suns122-111
13/03/21ALos Angeles Lakers100-105
05/03/21HDenver Nuggets103-113
04/03/21ACleveland Cavaliers114-111
02/03/21APhiladelphia 76ers114-130
28/02/21ANew York Knicks107-110
27/02/21ABoston Celtics112-118
25/02/21HGolden State Warriors107-111
18/02/21AMinnesota Timberwolves134-128 OT
16/02/21HChicago Bulls112-120 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeWWWLL58%
AwayWWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411922
Win %59%58%59%
Points / game115.5116.1115.0
Allowed / game109.7109.4109.9
Point differential+5.9+6.7+5.1
Avg total225.2225.5225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%42%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)33% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %10%11%9%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeLLLLL37%
AwayLLWLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %42%37%48%
Points / game112.2112.4111.9
Allowed / game112.3112.6112.0
Point differential-0.1-0.2-0.1
Avg total224.4225.0223.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%21%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)29% (7)29% (7)
Overtime %10%11%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz41311076%116.7107.6+9.1
2 Philadelphia 76ers41291271%115.5110.1+5.5
3 Brooklyn Nets42291369%120.3114.6+5.6
4 Los Angeles Lakers42291369%111.2105.7+5.5
5 Phoenix Suns41251661%112.9108.5+4.5
6 Milwaukee Bucks42251760%119.0113.3+5.6
7 Los Angeles Clippers44261859%113.9110.0+3.9
8 Denver Nuggets41241759%115.5109.7+5.9
9 Portland Trail Blazers42231955%114.0115.8-1.7
10 Dallas Mavericks41221954%112.3112.0+0.3
11 Miami Heat41221954%106.5107.6-1.0
12 Golden State Warriors42222052%113.4113.1+0.3
13 New York Knicks44232152%104.8103.9+1.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies39201951%112.7110.8+1.9
15 San Antonio Spurs39201951%109.7111.2-1.5
16 Boston Celtics40202050%111.3111.0+0.3
17 Charlotte Hornets42212150%112.7112.9-0.1
18 Atlanta Hawks43212249%112.7112.0+0.8
19 Chicago Bulls41202149%113.7113.7-0.0
20 New Orleans Pelicans41192246%116.0114.9+1.1
21 Toronto Raptors42192345%112.2111.8+0.5
22 Oklahoma City Thunder42182443%106.7111.8-5.2
23 Indiana Pacers40172342%112.2112.3-0.1
24 Sacramento Kings43172640%114.4119.5-5.1
25 Cleveland Cavaliers42162638%103.0111.4-8.4
26 Washington Wizards41152637%113.5118.9-5.4
27 Orlando Magic43152835%105.5112.2-6.7
28 Houston Rockets41142734%107.9112.7-4.8
29 Detroit Pistons43123128%106.0109.5-3.5
30 Minnesota Timberwolves42103224%109.4116.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets32332234121
Indiana Pacers32243515106
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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