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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 135-111
38-30 34-24 26-27 37-30
Position#24
Record19-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game112.2
vs
Position#6
Record28-18
FormWWWLW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game109.7
USANBA· Amalie Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
122-111
122
111
+11
120avg 102
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
105-129
105
129
-24
92avg 102
H04/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
125-132
125
132
-7
117avg 102
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
120-121
120
121
-1
109avg 102
H12/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
104-114
104
114
-10
91avg 102
A14/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
95-118
95
118
-23
78avg 102
A15/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
112-116
112
116
-4
97avg 102
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
112-115
112
115
-3
106avg 102
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
105-116
105
116
-11
84avg 102
A21/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
99-117
99
117
-18
87avg 102
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
37-28
28-21
27-31
37-43
23-26
20-29
25-31
34-31
36-35
22-35
33-31
26-37
33-27
35-20
26-37
24-44
28-23
21-31
31-16
22-28
27-30
24-27
22-33
31-37
27-26
23-25
31-28
27-23
27-32
23-24
35-36
28-23
29-36
18-32
30-25
28-27
32-38
26-23
13-29
228.8Avg total
109.9Scored
118.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)111.8112.2223.9-0.441%
Season at home (19)110.2110.1220.3+0.142%
Season away (27)112.9113.6226.5-0.741%
Last 10 (10)109.9118.9228.8-9.010%
Last 5 (5)104.6116.4221.0-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)112.7109.7222.4+3.057%
vs Similar (16)113.1117.2230.2-4.125%
vs Weaker (7)108.9107.3216.1+1.657%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
118-112
118
112
+6
114avg 108
A02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
128-97
128
97
+31
124avg 108
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
113-103
113
103
+10
114avg 108
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
103-116
103
116
-13
93avg 108
H14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
121-106
121
106
+15
119avg 108
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
129-104
129
104
+25
135avg 108
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
131-127 OT
131
127
+4
126avg 108
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
108-113
108
113
-5
103avg 108
H21/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
110-99
110
99
+11
107avg 108
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-25
25-30
27-32
29-25
37-23
27-27
35-30
29-17
28-29
33-23
21-22
31-29
26-31
27-24
28-22
22-25
29-28
22-34
22-31
30-23
32-32
33-24
22-35
34-15
26-25
31-20
38-22
34-37
20-30
27-25
34-34
35-27
30-22
21-36
29-25
28-30
30-15
31-24
19-30
30-30
224.3Avg total
116.4Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)116.0109.7225.7+6.361%
Season at home (23)117.2109.9227.1+7.361%
Season away (23)114.8109.4224.3+5.461%
Last 10 (10)116.4107.9224.3+8.580%
Last 5 (5)119.8109.8229.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)113.9112.9226.8+1.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)117.4106.8224.2+10.571%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.4+4.4
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H04/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H12/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A14/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A15/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A21/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A23/03
NBA
121.1Avg total
58.6Scored
62.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.359.0117.4-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.357.0113.3-0.742%-
Last 30 away (18)59.760.4120.1-0.739%-
Last 10 (10)58.662.5121.1-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)55.660.0115.6-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)55.956.6112.4-0.729%-
vs Similar (16)59.462.4121.8-3.131%-
vs Weaker (7)58.453.7112.1+4.771%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H21/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A23/03
NBA
109.9Avg total
57.2Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.354.3113.6+5.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.854.7113.5+4.254%-
Last 30 away (17)59.653.9113.6+5.753%-
Last 10 (10)57.252.7109.9+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)56.250.6106.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)60.758.0118.7+2.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)58.251.4109.6+6.859%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.523.2
49.9%
52.8%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.515.1
35.5%
36.6%45.3
🏀 Free throws22.218.2
82.0%
77.7%18.2
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.532.9
58.2%
52.8%65.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.7
38.1%
36.6%38.1
🏀 Free throws15.912.5
78.6%
77.7%12.5
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLLLLLLLLW
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWLWWWW
#24
League position
#6
-8.8
Net rating
+8.6
107.2
Offensive rating
117.9
115.9
Defensive rating
109.3
51.5%
Effective FG%
57.9%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
12.4%
Turnover %
12.4%
18.5%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.18
35.5%
3-point %
38.1%
65.0%
Assist %
62.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 117.9Defence115.9 · 109.3Shooting51.5% · 57.9%3-point %35.5% · 38.1%Ball care12.4% · 12.4%Off. rebounds18.5% · 25.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toronto Raptors wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/21AHouston Rockets99-117
21/03/21ACleveland Cavaliers105-116
20/03/21HUtah Jazz112-115
17/03/21ADetroit Pistons112-116
15/03/21AChicago Bulls95-118
14/03/21ACharlotte Hornets104-114
12/03/21HAtlanta Hawks120-121
05/03/21ABoston Celtics125-132
04/03/21HDetroit Pistons105-129
27/02/21HHouston Rockets122-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/21AOrlando Magic110-99
21/03/21HNew Orleans Pelicans108-113
20/03/21HChicago Bulls131-127 OT
18/03/21HCharlotte Hornets129-104
16/03/21HIndiana Pacers121-106
14/03/21HDallas Mavericks103-116
13/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies103-102
05/03/21AIndiana Pacers113-103
03/03/21AMilwaukee Bucks128-97
02/03/21AChicago Bulls118-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayLLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games461927
Win %41%42%41%
Points / game111.8110.2112.9
Allowed / game112.2110.1113.6
Point differential-0.4+0.1-0.7
Avg total223.9220.3226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%26%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)33% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW61%
HomeLWWWL61%
AwayWWWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %61%61%61%
Points / game116.0117.2114.8
Allowed / game109.7109.9109.4
Point differential+6.3+7.3+5.4
Avg total225.7227.1224.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%43%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)38% (8)50% (6)
Overtime %11%13%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz45341176%116.9108.0+8.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers46331372%114.8109.2+5.6
3 Brooklyn Nets46321470%119.9114.5+5.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers48321667%111.5106.3+5.2
5 Phoenix Suns46291763%113.2107.9+5.2
6 Milwaukee Bucks45281762%119.2113.1+6.1
7 Denver Nuggets46281861%116.0109.7+6.3
8 Los Angeles Clippers47281960%113.7109.6+4.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers47262155%113.7115.9-2.2
10 Dallas Mavericks44242055%112.8111.4+1.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies44232152%112.0110.7+1.3
12 New York Knicks48252352%104.9103.7+1.2
13 San Antonio Spurs43222151%109.6110.8-1.3
14 Atlanta Hawks47242351%112.6111.2+1.4
15 Golden State Warriors47242351%112.4112.6-0.2
16 Miami Heat46232350%106.1107.7-1.6
17 Chicago Bulls46222448%113.1113.2-0.1
18 Charlotte Hornets46222448%111.8113.2-1.4
19 New Orleans Pelicans45212447%115.8114.5+1.3
20 Boston Celtics45212447%111.2111.3-0.0
21 Indiana Pacers46202643%112.7113.1-0.5
22 Oklahoma City Thunder46202643%106.5112.0-5.4
23 Sacramento Kings47202743%114.3118.9-4.6
24 Toronto Raptors46192741%111.8112.2-0.4
25 Cleveland Cavaliers47182938%103.7111.5-7.8
26 Washington Wizards45162936%113.9119.2-5.3
27 Orlando Magic47163134%105.2111.8-6.5
28 Houston Rockets46153133%107.7112.5-4.8
29 Detroit Pistons47143330%106.1109.3-3.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves46113524%109.6117.2-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors38342637135
Denver Nuggets30242730111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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