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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 103-106
24-27 23-32 31-27 25-20
Position#3
Record20-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.1
Allowed / game108.4
vs
Position#4
Record15-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game102.7
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
104-106
104
106
-2
95avg 105
H15/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
116-123 OT
116
123
-7
98avg 105
A17/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
122-83
122
83
+39
127avg 105
A18/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 105
A21/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
124-108
124
108
+16
no box
A22/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
125-107
125
107
+18
124avg 105
H24/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
125-115
125
115
+10
120avg 105
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
122-114
122
114
+8
120avg 105
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-128 OT
131
128
+3
122avg 105
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
106-95
106
95
+11
96avg 105
A02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
34-27
23-24
16-29
27-30
25-24
30-24
25-29
27-18
30-26
32-12
33-27
29-17
18-20
26-38
20-16
29-24
26-20
31-29
38-35
38-26
32-36
31-25
24-20
36-29
27-25
38-35
24-26
31-32
28-39
34-26
29-17
38-25
29-33
29-30
23-31
21-21
26-19
30-27
29-28
223.8Avg total
116.8Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)117.1108.4225.5+8.883%
Season at home (12)119.7110.8230.4+8.983%
Season away (12)114.6106.0220.6+8.683%
Last 10 (10)116.8107.0223.8+9.880%
Last 5 (5)121.8111.8233.6+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)120.3116.5236.8+3.867%
vs Weaker (24)113.2106.9220.1+6.375%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
114-121
114
121
-7
104avg 105
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
99-109
99
109
-10
94avg 105
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
138-93
138
93
+45
143avg 105
H16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
115-125
115
125
-10
107avg 105
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
98-104
98
104
-6
90avg 105
A20/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
103-101
103
101
+2
no box
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
112-87
112
87
+25
112avg 105
H24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
105-98
105
98
+7
96avg 105
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
117-85
117
85
+32
117avg 105
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
113-112
113
112
+1
105avg 105
A01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-33
24-30
29-36
26-22
30-27
25-27
21-32
23-23
35-23
38-34
36-16
29-20
35-37
32-33
21-28
27-27
29-25
27-21
21-32
21-26
23-25
27-31
35-18
18-27
21-19
33-22
26-27
32-19
33-23
30-19
16-24
26-32
30-26
28-24
31-21
28-14
38-26
30-27
23-32
22-27
214.9Avg total
111.4Scored
103.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)110.4102.7213.1+7.768%
Season at home (12)114.1101.2215.2+12.975%
Season away (10)106.0104.6210.6+1.460%
Last 10 (10)111.4103.5214.9+7.960%
Last 5 (5)110.096.6206.6+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)107.3113.0220.3-5.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)109.5103.7213.3+5.887%
vs Weaker (12)113.6103.2216.8+10.467%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H15/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A17/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A18/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A21/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A22/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H24/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/12
NBA
109.9Avg total
58.2Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.953.4111.3+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.754.6116.3+7.187%-
Last 30 away (15)54.152.2106.3+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)58.251.7109.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)61.257.0118.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)58.855.7114.5+3.250%-
vs Weaker (24)57.752.8110.5+4.875%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A20/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A01/12
NBA
113.5Avg total
60.3Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.652.6109.2+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.651.4107.1+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)57.753.9111.6+3.857%-
Last 10 (10)60.353.2113.5+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)58.648.4107.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.755.7113.3+2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.651.7107.3+3.967%-
vs Weaker (12)57.652.9110.5+4.758%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.932.8
58.7%
51.7%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.4
35.8%
35.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.116.8
79.6%
76.6%16.8
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.730.4
51.8%
51.7%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.212.5
38.8%
35.4%37.5
🏀 Free throws17.112.9
75.4%
76.6%12.9
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WWWWWWWWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLLWLL
#3
League position
#4
+9.3
Net rating
+7.7
113.1
Offensive rating
111.6
103.8
Defensive rating
103.9
56.9%
Effective FG%
54.1%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
13.1%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.19
35.8%
3-point %
38.8%
57.0%
Assist %
68.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 111.6Defence103.8 · 103.9Shooting56.9% · 54.1%3-point %35.8% · 38.8%Ball care14.8% · 13.1%Off. rebounds23.2% · 26.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Toronto Raptors wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/18ACleveland Cavaliers106-95
30/11/18HGolden State Warriors131-128 OT
28/11/18AMemphis Grizzlies122-114
25/11/18HMiami Heat125-115
24/11/18HWashington Wizards125-107
22/11/18AAtlanta Hawks124-108
21/11/18AOrlando Magic93-91
18/11/18AChicago Bulls122-83
17/11/18ABoston Celtics116-123 OT
15/11/18HDetroit Pistons104-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/18APortland Trail Blazers113-112
28/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers117-85
25/11/18AOklahoma City Thunder105-98
24/11/18HOrlando Magic112-87
22/11/18AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
20/11/18AMilwaukee Bucks98-104
18/11/18ANew Orleans Pelicans115-125
16/11/18HAtlanta Hawks138-93
14/11/18HHouston Rockets99-109
12/11/18HMilwaukee Bucks114-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLLWWW83%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game117.1119.7114.6
Allowed / game108.4110.8106.0
Point differential+8.8+8.9+8.6
Avg total225.5230.4220.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %68%75%60%
Points / game110.4114.1106.0
Allowed / game102.7101.2104.6
Point differential+7.7+12.9+1.4
Avg total213.1215.2210.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors2420483%117.1108.4+8.8
2 Milwaukee Bucks2215768%121.4111.3+10.1
3 Denver Nuggets2215768%110.4102.7+7.7
4 Oklahoma City Thunder2215768%111.0103.6+7.4
5 Los Angeles Clippers2215768%117.2112.3+4.9
6 Philadelphia 76ers2517868%114.2111.8+2.4
7 Golden State Warriors2415962%115.9111.5+4.4
8 Detroit Pistons2113862%110.2109.2+1.0
9 Los Angeles Lakers2314961%112.7111.0+1.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies2213959%104.4103.1+1.3
11 Boston Celtics23131057%108.5104.1+4.4
12 Indiana Pacers23131057%106.2102.7+3.5
13 Portland Trail Blazers23131057%113.0111.7+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks21111052%110.8108.9+2.0
15 New Orleans Pelicans24121250%117.8116.2+1.6
16 Houston Rockets22111150%110.0109.8+0.3
17 Sacramento Kings22111150%114.3117.1-2.8
18 Charlotte Hornets23111248%114.4110.7+3.7
19 Minnesota Timberwolves23111248%109.8110.5-0.7
20 Orlando Magic23111248%105.8108.1-2.3
21 San Antonio Spurs23111248%109.4112.3-2.9
22 Utah Jazz24111346%105.7108.0-2.3
23 Miami Heat2291341%108.2109.6-1.4
24 Washington Wizards2391439%111.7117.1-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets2481633%109.0111.5-2.5
26 New York Knicks2481633%109.0114.6-5.6
27 Atlanta Hawks2351822%107.4118.1-10.7
28 Chicago Bulls2451921%103.4113.0-9.6
29 Cleveland Cavaliers2241818%102.7111.0-8.3
30 Phoenix Suns2341917%103.0113.7-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors24233125103
Denver Nuggets27322720106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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