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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 105-106
19-29 23-27 29-25 34-25
Position#5
Record17-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#22
Record10-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game101.2
USANBA· Air Canada Centre
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
06 Oct 2025
TOR108
DEN112
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
14 Jul 2024
TOR84
DEN81
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
10 Jul 2017
TOR82
DEN81
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Oct 2016
TOR106
DEN108
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
18 Jul 2013
TOR95
DEN78
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
21 Oct 2008
TOR94
DEN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H14/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
101-107
101
107
-6
A16/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
110-115
110
115
-5
A18/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A21/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A22/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
103-99
103
99
+4
H26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
102-107
102
107
-5
H29/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A03/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
23-19
32-21
28-20
23-22
28-31
31-26
19-28
25-29
22-34
36-27
27-25
19-24
26-18
19-17
25-34
27-21
22-29
27-18
26-23
33-23
30-11
8-21
20-25
25-25
24-24
33-31
21-19
16-23
23-22
23-23
22-14
18-21
31-32
23-28
30-26
16-18
16-28
25-20
39-20
191.9Avg total
97.8Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)98.594.0192.5+4.665%
Season at home (10)101.092.5193.5+8.580%
Season away (16)97.094.9191.9+2.156%
Last 10 (10)97.894.1191.9+3.760%
Last 5 (5)95.290.8186.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.0102.7202.7-2.733%
vs Similar (11)93.688.5182.2+5.182%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)98.691.6190.2+7.062%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
81-105
81
105
-24
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
115-98
115
98
+17
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-109
98
109
-11
A19/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
107-114
107
114
-7
H21/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
105-118
105
118
-13
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
94-111
94
111
-17
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H28/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A29/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A01/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A03/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
15-33
26-28
27-17
31-21
20-32
32-22
32-23
24-31
34-34
21-28
19-16
29-17
34-32
21-31
23-34
23-34
35-30
21-27
26-27
26-25
19-26
27-32
22-28
16-16
26-30
17-24
21-21
25-22
27-26
5-25
24-19
23-28
21-18
16-21
14-25
21-28
25-23
26-17
18-31
195.4Avg total
92.5Scored
102.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)97.2101.2198.3-4.038%
Season at home (11)98.5100.4198.9-1.845%
Season away (15)96.2101.7197.9-5.533%
Last 10 (10)92.5102.9195.4-10.410%
Last 5 (5)83.897.0180.8-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)94.9106.9201.8-12.09%
vs Similar (14)97.496.1193.4+1.357%
vs Weaker (5)92.684.2176.8+8.480%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H14/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A16/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A18/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A21/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-34
63
34
+29
A22/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H29/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A03/12
NBA
93.9Avg total
46.4Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.245.692.7+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.243.089.2+3.254%-
Last 30 away (17)47.947.595.5+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)46.447.593.9-1.120%-
Last 5 (5)46.445.491.8+1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.351.796.0-7.333%-
vs Similar (11)44.843.688.5+1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)49.345.895.1+3.656%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A19/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H21/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A29/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A03/12
NBA
102.0Avg total
48.7Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.151.1100.2-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.346.796.0+2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)48.955.5104.5-6.633%-
Last 10 (10)48.753.3102.0-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)45.848.494.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)48.556.7105.3-8.218%-
vs Similar (14)51.349.6100.9+1.750%-
vs Weaker (5)44.443.087.4+1.460%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 97.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.225.7
46.6%
49.0%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.4
38.7%
35.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.018.2
79.1%
75.5%18.2
They take 79.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.228.2
44.6%
49.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.9
30.9%
35.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.4
78.2%
75.5%15.4
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WLWWWWLLLW
Denver Nuggets
LLLLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#22
+3.9
Net rating
-10.7
103.4
Offensive rating
95.5
99.5
Defensive rating
106.3
50.1%
Effective FG%
45.1%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.7%
3-point %
30.9%
47.6%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 95.5Defence99.5 · 106.3Shooting50.1% · 45.1%3-point %38.7% · 30.9%Ball care15.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds23.2% · 24.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Toronto Raptors wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/15AAtlanta Hawks96-86
29/11/15HPhoenix Suns102-107
29/11/15AWashington Wizards84-82
26/11/15HCleveland Cavaliers103-99
22/11/15ALos Angeles Clippers91-80
21/11/15ALos Angeles Lakers102-91
19/11/15AUtah Jazz89-93
18/11/15AGolden State Warriors110-115
16/11/15ASacramento Kings101-107
14/11/15HNew Orleans Pelicans100-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/15AChicago Bulls90-99
01/12/15AMilwaukee Bucks74-92
29/11/15ADallas Mavericks81-92
28/11/15HSan Antonio Spurs80-91
25/11/15HLos Angeles Clippers94-111
23/11/15HGolden State Warriors105-118
21/11/15HPhoenix Suns107-114
19/11/15ASan Antonio Spurs98-109
18/11/15ANew Orleans Pelicans115-98
15/11/15APhoenix Suns81-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWLWWL80%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261016
Win %65%80%56%
Points / game98.5101.097.0
Allowed / game94.092.594.9
Point differential+4.6+8.5+2.1
Avg total192.5193.5191.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWLLLL45%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %38%45%33%
Points / game97.298.596.2
Allowed / game101.2100.4101.7
Point differential-4.0-1.8-5.5
Avg total198.3198.9197.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%18%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2723485%112.2101.1+11.1
2 Indiana Pacers2417771%102.096.0+6.0
3 San Antonio Spurs2517868%97.590.4+7.0
4 Charlotte Hornets2617965%101.296.5+4.8
5 Toronto Raptors2617965%98.594.0+4.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies2516964%94.895.1-0.3
7 Oklahoma City Thunder2415962%107.5101.3+6.1
8 Chicago Bulls2415962%99.7100.1-0.4
9 Boston Celtics2314961%101.396.3+5.0
10 Miami Heat25151060%96.293.8+2.5
11 Orlando Magic25151060%101.499.5+1.9
12 Atlanta Hawks28161257%99.598.5+1.0
13 Cleveland Cavaliers25141156%99.997.7+2.2
14 Los Angeles Clippers25131252%101.5101.8-0.3
15 New York Knicks24121250%97.197.8-0.7
16 Detroit Pistons27131448%99.697.4+2.2
17 Phoenix Suns25121348%105.4104.2+1.2
18 Sacramento Kings25121348%104.4105.9-1.5
19 Utah Jazz23111248%96.595.0+1.5
20 Washington Wizards22101245%101.9104.4-2.5
21 Dallas Mavericks26111542%97.7100.4-2.7
22 Houston Rockets27111641%103.7107.7-4.0
23 Minnesota Timberwolves25101540%99.2102.4-3.2
24 Portland Trail Blazers26101638%101.5101.8-0.3
25 Denver Nuggets26101638%97.2101.2-4.0
26 Milwaukee Bucks2591636%96.7103.3-6.6
27 Brooklyn Nets2371630%96.2101.1-5.0
28 New Orleans Pelicans2671927%102.1108.5-6.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers2552020%96.8105.2-8.4
30 Philadelphia 76ers2732411%92.3102.7-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors19232934105
Denver Nuggets29272525106
← all games of the day
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