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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 114-110
25-23 33-35 24-27 32-25
Position#3
Record54-20
FormLWLWL
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game104.3
vs
Position#12
Record40-34
FormLLWWL
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game108.5
USANBA· Air Canada Centre
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
W
108-105
108
105
+3
100avg 102
H10/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
132-106
132
106
+26
133avg 102
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
116-102
116
102
+14
114avg 102
A13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
106-99
106
99
+7
106avg 102
A15/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
122-115 OT
122
115
+7
114avg 102
H16/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
125-132
125
132
-7
122avg 102
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
93-86
93
86
+7
86avg 102
A20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
129-132
129
132
-3
124avg 102
A21/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
116-112
116
112
+4
108avg 102
H23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
106-117
106
117
-11
96avg 102
H25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
26-27
25-32
25-30
32-27
33-30
37-29
30-20
32-40
25-27
30-18
29-17
25-27
24-30
28-22
29-20
29-27
25-33
24-24
28-22
34-40
30-26
34-31
27-35
24-25
28-26
16-25
25-10
38-42
41-22
20-34
30-34
31-32
28-32
25-27
32-21
35-28
25-25
20-27
26-37
225.9Avg total
115.3Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)112.4104.3216.8+8.173%
Season at home (37)113.1102.9216.1+10.281%
Season away (37)111.8105.7217.5+6.165%
Last 10 (10)115.3110.6225.9+4.770%
Last 5 (5)113.8115.8229.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)109.2106.2215.5+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)114.7104.9219.7+9.881%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
108-113
108
113
-5
104avg 103
H08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
125-116
125
116
+9
121avg 103
H10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
130-104
130
104
+26
137avg 103
H11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
103-112
103
112
-9
96avg 103
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
120-113
120
113
+7
116avg 103
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 103
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
141-149 OT
141
149
-8
126avg 103
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
135-102
135
102
+33
142avg 103
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
108-100
108
100
+8
99avg 103
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
104-123
104
123
-19
92avg 103
A26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-38
35-32
29-19
21-24
37-28
28-34
29-34
31-20
32-25
34-24
35-19
29-36
22-35
25-13
35-29
21-35
33-29
32-22
33-33
22-29
17-34
31-19
27-31
19-17
37-36
26-28
28-28
27-26
39-25
38-21
36-24
22-32
23-16
32-27
23-33
30-24
27-23
32-28
15-34
30-38
230.1Avg total
116.8Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)109.7108.5218.2+1.354%
Season at home (37)112.2106.1218.3+6.273%
Season away (37)107.2110.9218.1-3.635%
Last 10 (10)116.8113.3230.1+3.550%
Last 5 (5)116.4115.0231.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)111.0119.0230.0-8.033%
vs Similar (18)116.6115.1231.6+1.556%
vs Weaker (9)113.1106.1219.2+7.067%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H10/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A15/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H16/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A21/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H25/03
NBA
117.9Avg total
59.7Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.053.2111.2+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.951.6108.6+5.365%-
Last 30 away (13)59.455.2114.6+4.277%-
Last 10 (10)59.758.2117.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)62.859.6122.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)57.047.8104.8+9.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)58.254.0112.2+4.169%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
77-46
77
46
+31
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A26/03
NBA
114.0Avg total
60.3Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.456.3115.6+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.657.1115.8+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)60.255.3115.5+4.964%-
Last 10 (10)60.353.7114.0+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)60.451.4111.8+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)51.061.7112.7-10.70%-
vs Similar (18)59.856.7116.6+3.161%-
vs Weaker (9)61.253.6114.8+7.778%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 115.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.328.2
52.9%
51.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.013.8
41.8%
36.1%41.4
🏀 Free throws22.517.5
77.8%
76.5%17.5
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.327.7
52.0%
51.0%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.514.0
41.8%
36.1%42.0
🏀 Free throws25.019.4
77.6%
76.5%19.4
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWLWLWWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLWLWWL
#3
League position
#12
+4.7
Net rating
+3.4
116.3
Offensive rating
115.1
111.6
Defensive rating
111.6
56.7%
Effective FG%
56.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
41.8%
3-point %
41.8%
61.7%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 115.1Defence111.6 · 111.6Shooting56.7% · 56.1%3-point %41.8% · 41.8%Ball care13.9% · 13.4%Off. rebounds27.3% · 22.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Toronto Raptors wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/18HLos Angeles Clippers106-117
23/03/18HBrooklyn Nets116-112
21/03/18ACleveland Cavaliers129-132
20/03/18AOrlando Magic93-86
18/03/18HOklahoma City Thunder125-132
16/03/18HDallas Mavericks122-115 OT
15/03/18AIndiana Pacers106-99
13/03/18ABrooklyn Nets116-102
11/03/18ANew York Knicks132-106
10/03/18HHouston Rockets108-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/18APhiladelphia 76ers104-123
23/03/18AWashington Wizards108-100
22/03/18AChicago Bulls135-102
19/03/18AMiami Heat141-149 OT
18/03/18AMemphis Grizzlies94-101
16/03/18HDetroit Pistons120-113
14/03/18ALos Angeles Lakers103-112
11/03/18HSacramento Kings130-104
10/03/18HLos Angeles Lakers125-116
08/03/18HCleveland Cavaliers108-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL73%
HomeWWLWL81%
AwayWWWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %73%81%65%
Points / game112.4113.1111.8
Allowed / game104.3102.9105.7
Point differential+8.1+10.2+6.1
Avg total216.8216.1217.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%46%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (26)73% (15)27% (11)
Overtime %7%8%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayLLWWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %54%73%35%
Points / game109.7112.2107.2
Allowed / game108.5106.1110.9
Point differential+1.3+6.2-3.6
Avg total218.2218.3218.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)54% (13)20% (5)
Overtime %5%3%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets74601481%113.5104.4+9.1
2 Golden State Warriors73541974%114.4107.2+7.2
3 Toronto Raptors74542073%112.4104.3+8.1
4 Boston Celtics74512369%104.2100.2+4.1
5 Portland Trail Blazers73452862%106.0103.2+2.8
6 Cleveland Cavaliers73442960%111.1110.3+0.8
7 Philadelphia 76ers73433059%108.7105.5+3.2
8 Oklahoma City Thunder75443159%107.3104.0+3.2
9 Indiana Pacers74433158%105.8104.2+1.5
10 New Orleans Pelicans74433158%111.4111.0+0.4
11 San Antonio Spurs75433257%102.599.4+3.1
12 Utah Jazz74423257%103.5100.2+3.3
13 Minnesota Timberwolves75423356%109.7107.7+2.1
14 Washington Wizards74413355%107.1106.0+1.2
15 Denver Nuggets74403454%109.7108.5+1.3
16 Los Angeles Clippers73393453%109.6108.7+0.9
17 Milwaukee Bucks73393453%106.0106.2-0.2
18 Miami Heat74393553%103.3103.1+0.2
19 Detroit Pistons74344046%103.1103.8-0.7
20 Charlotte Hornets75344145%107.8107.6+0.2
21 Los Angeles Lakers73324144%108.4110.0-1.6
22 New York Knicks75274836%104.5107.9-3.4
23 Chicago Bulls73244933%103.4110.1-6.7
24 Sacramento Kings74245032%99.4106.8-7.4
25 Brooklyn Nets74235131%106.4110.6-4.2
26 Dallas Mavericks73225130%102.7105.3-2.6
27 Orlando Magic73225130%104.3109.1-4.8
28 Atlanta Hawks74215328%103.6109.0-5.4
29 Memphis Grizzlies74205427%98.7104.7-5.9
30 Phoenix Suns75195625%103.9113.7-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors25332432114
Denver Nuggets23352725110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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