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Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 111-113 (OT)
19-29 38-23 25-25 20-25 9-11
Position#17
Record4-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game107.8
vs
Position#7
Record7-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game107.8
Allowed / game103.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors
04 Nov 2026
DEN128
TOR109
20 Mar 2026
DEN121
TOR115
04 Nov 2024
DEN121
TOR119
11 Mar 2024
DEN125
TOR119
06 Mar 2023
DEN118
TOR113
12 Mar 2022
DEN115
TOR127
29 Apr 2021
DEN121
TOR111
01 Mar 2020
DEN133
TOR118
16 Dec 2018
DEN95
TOR86
01 Nov 2017
DEN129
TOR111
18 Nov 2016
DEN111
TOR113
01 Feb 2016
DEN112
TOR93
28 Dec 2014
DEN102
TOR116
31 Jan 2014
DEN90
TOR100
03 Dec 2012
DEN113
TOR110
27 Jan 2012
DEN96
TOR81
21 Mar 2011
DEN123
TOR90
17 Nov 2009
DEN130
TOR112
02 Dec 2008
DEN132
TOR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-115 OT
113
115
-2
99avg 94
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
102-105
102
105
-3
88avg 94
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
102-99
102
99
+3
97avg 94
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
86-103
86
103
-17
66avg 94
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
123-107
123
107
+16
117avg 94
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
107-108
107
108
-1
106avg 94
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
101-125
101
125
-24
89avg 94
H11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
95-106
95
106
-11
80avg 94
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
105-112
105
112
-7
90avg 94
A14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
120-104
120
104
+16
113avg 94
H17/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-33
26-29
34-19
16-23
24-33
25-29
35-26
18-17
25-37
30-24
33-14
14-24
12-29
32-22
23-26
19-26
42-23
35-29
26-31
20-24
26-26
30-30
20-23
31-29
19-38
32-27
24-34
26-26
21-36
28-21
22-23
24-26
28-20
29-30
15-36
33-26
28-17
33-26
28-33
31-28
213.8Avg total
105.4Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)105.5107.8213.4-2.336%
Season at home (4)107.2112.5219.8-5.225%
Season away (7)104.6105.1209.7-0.643%
Last 10 (10)105.4108.4213.8-3.030%
Last 5 (5)105.6111.0216.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)98.7112.1210.8-13.422%
vs Similar ◀ (18)104.9105.0209.9-0.139%
vs Weaker (3)113.3104.0217.3+9.3100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
76avg 90
H28/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
105-102
105
102
+3
90avg 90
H31/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
113-103
113
103
+10
103avg 90
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
86avg 90
H04/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
91-96
91
96
-5
78avg 90
H06/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
112-102
112
102
+10
103avg 90
A10/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
113-111
113
111
+2
102avg 90
A12/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
118-107
118
107
+11
108avg 90
H13/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
117-121
117
121
-4
103avg 90
A16/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
121-127
121
127
-6
111avg 90
H17/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
17-22
27-21
24-23
33-24
29-25
26-35
17-18
27-29
27-27
30-19
29-28
25-27
27-19
23-26
21-15
23-20
27-24
16-24
25-28
20-27
42-28
26-20
24-27
28-27
30-17
21-38
34-29
24-28
29-28
34-29
31-22
25-30
32-31
27-30
33-30
38-34
15-32
33-29
35-32
212.7Avg total
107.7Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)107.8103.7211.5+4.164%
Season at home (7)104.4100.6205.0+3.957%
Season away (4)113.8109.2223.0+4.575%
Last 10 (10)107.7105.0212.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)116.2113.6229.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)121.0127.0248.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (26)97.199.0196.1-1.858%
vs Weaker (3)106.098.0204.0+8.067%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
Denver NuggetsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
77-52
77
52
+25
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H17/11
NBA
111.2Avg total
55.3Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.253.3107.5+0.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.252.8106.0+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)54.953.8108.7+1.235%-
Last 10 (10)55.355.9111.2-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)54.854.2109.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.455.6107.0-4.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)55.153.7108.7+1.444%-
vs Weaker (3)57.344.7102.0+12.7100%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H28/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H31/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H04/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H06/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A10/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A12/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A16/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H17/11
NBA
106.8Avg total
54.1Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.150.2100.3-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.848.6100.4+3.171%-
Last 30 away (13)48.052.2100.2-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)54.152.7106.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)56.656.4113.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.066.0119.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (26)49.649.899.4-0.258%-
vs Weaker (3)53.748.7102.3+5.067%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.628.5
45.5%
50.2%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.0
36.6%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws27.321.4
78.4%
77.0%21.4
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.131.6
50.9%
50.2%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.8
33.1%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.821.1
81.8%
77.0%21.1
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLLLWLWLL
Toronto Raptors
LLWWWLWWWL
#17
League position
#7
-2.9
Net rating
+2.8
103.2
Offensive rating
111.0
106.1
Defensive rating
108.2
48.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
11.2%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.6%
3-point %
33.1%
51.2%
Assist %
47.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 111.0Defence106.1 · 108.2Shooting48.2% · 50.5%3-point %36.6% · 33.1%Ball care16.0% · 11.2%Off. rebounds28.9% · 25.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/16HPhoenix Suns120-104
14/11/16APortland Trail Blazers105-112
13/11/16HDetroit Pistons95-106
11/11/16HGolden State Warriors101-125
09/11/16AMemphis Grizzlies107-108
07/11/16ABoston Celtics123-107
05/11/16ADetroit Pistons86-103
04/11/16AMinnesota Timberwolves102-99
31/10/16AToronto Raptors102-105
30/10/16HPortland Trail Blazers113-115 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/16HGolden State Warriors121-127
16/11/16ACleveland Cavaliers117-121
13/11/16HNew York Knicks118-107
12/11/16ACharlotte Hornets113-111
10/11/16AOklahoma City Thunder112-102
06/11/16HSacramento Kings91-96
04/11/16HMiami Heat96-87
02/11/16AWashington Wizards113-103
31/10/16HDenver Nuggets105-102
28/10/16HCleveland Cavaliers91-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%25%43%
Points / game105.5107.2104.6
Allowed / game107.8112.5105.1
Point differential-2.3-5.2-0.6
Avg total213.4219.8209.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %9%25%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%57%75%
Points / game107.8104.4113.8
Allowed / game103.7100.6109.2
Point differential+4.1+3.9+4.5
Avg total211.5205.0223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Clippers1210283%108.793.8+14.9
2 Golden State Warriors1210283%116.2107.6+8.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers1210283%108.6101.6+7.0
4 Atlanta Hawks129375%106.898.3+8.5
5 San Antonio Spurs129375%101.996.8+5.1
6 Charlotte Hornets118373%105.099.5+5.5
7 Chicago Bulls128467%105.097.8+7.2
8 Toronto Raptors117464%107.8103.7+4.1
9 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%104.8102.9+1.9
10 Houston Rockets127558%108.9105.2+3.8
11 Los Angeles Lakers127558%110.0108.4+1.6
12 Memphis Grizzlies127558%97.299.2-2.0
13 Utah Jazz137654%95.993.2+2.8
14 Boston Celtics126650%104.8105.7-0.9
15 Portland Trail Blazers147750%106.7112.4-5.7
16 Detroit Pistons136746%97.297.5-0.2
17 Indiana Pacers136746%105.5107.5-2.1
18 Milwaukee Bucks115645%100.7101.9-1.2
19 New York Knicks125742%102.2107.2-4.9
20 Orlando Magic125742%92.3100.9-8.6
21 Minnesota Timberwolves114736%108.1104.3+3.8
22 Denver Nuggets114736%105.5107.8-2.3
23 Sacramento Kings124833%100.2104.2-3.9
24 Brooklyn Nets124833%106.2112.0-5.8
25 Phoenix Suns134931%108.6114.5-5.8
26 Miami Heat113827%94.595.3-0.7
27 Washington Wizards113827%101.8105.3-3.5
28 New Orleans Pelicans1331023%101.1106.9-5.8
29 Dallas Mavericks112918%91.098.4-7.4
30 Philadelphia 76ers1221017%95.9108.4-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Denver Nuggets193825209111
Toronto Raptors2923252511113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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