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Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 95-86
23-23 16-24 29-25 27-14
Position#4
Record19-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game103.5
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
vs
Toronto Raptors
USA
Position#3
Record23-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game107.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors
04 Nov 2026
DEN v TOR
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
DEN121
TOR115
04 Nov 2024
DEN121
TOR119
11 Mar 2024
DEN125
TOR119
06 Mar 2023
DEN118
TOR113
12 Mar 2022
DEN115
TOR127
29 Apr 2021
DEN121
TOR111
01 Mar 2020
DEN133
TOR118
16 Dec 2018
DEN95
TOR86
01 Nov 2017
DEN129
TOR111
18 Nov 2016
DEN111
TOR113
01 Feb 2016
DEN112
TOR93
28 Dec 2014
DEN102
TOR116
31 Jan 2014
DEN90
TOR100
03 Dec 2012
DEN113
TOR110
27 Jan 2012
DEN96
TOR81
21 Mar 2011
DEN123
TOR90
17 Nov 2009
DEN130
TOR112
02 Dec 2008
DEN132
TOR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
112-87
112
87
+25
112avg 105
H24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
105-98
105
98
+7
96avg 105
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
117-85
117
85
+32
117avg 105
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
113-112
113
112
+1
105avg 105
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
106-103
106
103
+3
103avg 105
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
124-118 OT
124
118
+6
124avg 105
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
107-113
107
113
-6
94avg 105
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
98-106
98
106
-8
86avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 105
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
109-98
109
98
+11
112avg 105
H15/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
33-22
26-27
32-19
33-23
30-19
16-24
26-32
30-26
28-24
31-21
28-14
38-26
30-27
23-32
22-27
27-24
32-23
27-31
20-25
31-28
25-26
32-32
24-26
25-24
28-40
26-23
28-26
35-25
21-26
21-35
21-20
26-22
29-28
29-33
21-16
39-32
21-20
22-24
27-22
211.5Avg total
109.6Scored
101.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)109.9103.5213.4+6.568%
Season at home (14)113.1100.8213.9+12.379%
Season away (14)106.8106.1212.9+0.657%
Last 10 (10)109.6101.9211.5+7.780%
Last 5 (5)108.6106.8215.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0112.5218.5-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)106.7100.8207.5+5.985%
vs Weaker (15)111.5103.7215.3+7.860%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
122-114
122
114
+8
120avg 105
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-128 OT
131
128
+3
122avg 105
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
106-95
106
95
+11
96avg 105
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
103-106
103
106
-3
98avg 105
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
113-102
113
102
+11
103avg 105
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
93avg 105
A08/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
99-104
99
104
-5
88avg 105
H09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
123-99
123
99
+24
120avg 105
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
113-93
113
93
+20
109avg 105
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
122-128
122
128
-6
116avg 105
A15/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-32
28-39
34-26
29-17
38-25
29-33
29-30
23-31
21-21
26-19
30-27
29-28
24-27
23-32
31-27
25-20
23-29
30-20
25-28
35-25
20-24
33-29
26-27
19-18
30-25
19-26
25-28
25-25
36-23
34-34
33-17
20-25
31-22
26-19
25-26
31-26
23-28
27-30
39-33
33-37
221.2Avg total
113.7Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)115.8107.7223.5+8.174%
Season at home (15)116.7109.4226.1+7.373%
Season away (16)114.9106.1221.0+8.875%
Last 10 (10)113.7107.5221.2+6.260%
Last 5 (5)112.4106.0218.4+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)115.6112.0227.6+3.655%
vs Weaker (19)115.8105.4221.3+10.484%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
Denver NuggetsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/12
NBA
108.6Avg total
58.2Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.352.3108.5+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.151.4107.5+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)56.453.1109.5+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)58.250.4108.6+7.890%-
Last 5 (5)56.054.2110.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.554.5112.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)55.250.7105.9+4.569%-
vs Weaker (15)57.053.3110.3+3.760%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A08/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A15/12
NBA
108.9Avg total
55.2Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.352.9111.2+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.254.7114.9+5.571%-
Last 30 away (16)56.651.3107.9+5.262%-
Last 10 (10)55.253.7108.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)55.852.0107.8+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)55.453.8109.2+1.545%-
vs Weaker (19)59.952.4112.3+7.679%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.831.0
51.0%
51.7%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.1
34.5%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.817.3
75.9%
76.6%17.3
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.929.6
54.9%
51.7%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.6
37.7%
35.4%37.8
🏀 Free throws19.916.7
83.9%
76.6%16.7
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWWWWWW
Toronto Raptors
LWWLLWLWWW
#4
League position
#3
+7.7
Net rating
+6.1
109.6
Offensive rating
112.5
101.9
Defensive rating
106.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
55.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.5%
3-point %
37.7%
69.1%
Assist %
58.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 112.5Defence101.9 · 106.4Shooting51.2% · 55.6%3-point %34.5% · 37.7%Ball care13.3% · 12.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 20.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Toronto Raptors wins
DateGameScore
04/12/18Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets103-106
27/03/18Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets114-110
02/11/17Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors129-111
19/11/16Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors111-113 OT
31/10/16Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets105-102
02/02/16Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors112-93
04/12/15Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets105-106
29/12/14Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors102-116
09/12/14Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets112-107 OT
01/02/14Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors90-100
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder109-98
11/12/18HMemphis Grizzlies105-99
09/12/18AAtlanta Hawks98-106
08/12/18ACharlotte Hornets107-113
06/12/18AOrlando Magic124-118 OT
04/12/18AToronto Raptors106-103
01/12/18APortland Trail Blazers113-112
28/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers117-85
25/11/18AOklahoma City Thunder105-98
24/11/18HOrlando Magic112-87
Toronto Raptorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18APortland Trail Blazers122-128
13/12/18AGolden State Warriors113-93
12/12/18ALos Angeles Clippers123-99
09/12/18HMilwaukee Bucks99-104
08/12/18ABrooklyn Nets105-106 OT
06/12/18HPhiladelphia 76ers113-102
04/12/18HDenver Nuggets103-106
02/12/18ACleveland Cavaliers106-95
30/11/18HGolden State Warriors131-128 OT
28/11/18AMemphis Grizzlies122-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW68%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %68%79%57%
Points / game109.9113.1106.8
Allowed / game103.5100.8106.1
Point differential+6.5+12.3+0.6
Avg total213.4213.9212.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL74%
HomeWWLWL73%
AwayWLWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game115.8116.7114.9
Allowed / game107.7109.4106.1
Point differential+8.1+7.3+8.8
Avg total223.5226.1221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%7%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors3123874%115.8107.7+8.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks2819968%118.0109.0+9.0
3 Denver Nuggets2819968%109.9103.5+6.5
4 Indiana Pacers30201067%106.7101.2+5.5
5 Golden State Warriors30201067%116.1111.1+5.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers31201165%114.3111.8+2.5
7 Oklahoma City Thunder28181064%111.1105.3+5.8
8 Boston Celtics29181162%111.5104.1+7.4
9 Los Angeles Lakers30181260%113.4111.6+1.8
10 Los Angeles Clippers29171259%113.9113.5+0.4
11 Portland Trail Blazers29161355%111.6110.2+1.4
12 Memphis Grizzlies29161355%102.5102.1+0.4
13 Sacramento Kings29161355%115.8115.9-0.1
14 Dallas Mavericks28151354%109.6108.1+1.5
15 Detroit Pistons27141352%109.1110.0-0.8
16 Houston Rockets28141450%108.9109.1-0.2
17 San Antonio Spurs30151550%110.2111.0-0.8
18 New Orleans Pelicans31151648%116.7115.1+1.6
19 Charlotte Hornets29141548%113.8111.8+2.0
20 Orlando Magic29141548%104.0106.7-2.7
21 Utah Jazz30141647%106.8106.6+0.1
22 Minnesota Timberwolves29131645%110.1110.8-0.8
23 Miami Heat29131645%106.8107.7-0.9
24 Brooklyn Nets31131842%111.0111.8-0.9
25 Washington Wizards30121840%112.8116.9-4.1
26 New York Knicks3192229%108.5115.0-6.5
27 Cleveland Cavaliers3072323%103.4111.8-8.4
28 Chicago Bulls3072323%101.3111.7-10.3
29 Atlanta Hawks2962321%108.5119.3-10.8
30 Phoenix Suns3062420%102.3112.7-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2316292795
Toronto Raptors2324251486
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