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Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 121-119
34-37 25-27 29-29 33-26
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game116.2
vs
Position#24
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game119.4
Allowed / game125.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors
04 Nov 2026
DEN128
TOR109
20 Mar 2026
DEN121
TOR115
04 Nov 2024
DEN121
TOR119
11 Mar 2024
DEN125
TOR119
06 Mar 2023
DEN118
TOR113
12 Mar 2022
DEN115
TOR127
29 Apr 2021
DEN121
TOR111
01 Mar 2020
DEN133
TOR118
16 Dec 2018
DEN95
TOR86
01 Nov 2017
DEN129
TOR111
18 Nov 2016
DEN111
TOR113
01 Feb 2016
DEN112
TOR93
28 Dec 2014
DEN102
TOR116
31 Jan 2014
DEN90
TOR100
03 Dec 2012
DEN113
TOR110
27 Jan 2012
DEN96
TOR81
21 Mar 2011
DEN123
TOR90
17 Nov 2009
DEN130
TOR112
02 Dec 2008
DEN132
TOR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 108
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 108
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
70-115
70
115
-45
53avg 108
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
79avg 108
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-102
87
102
-15
80avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
104-109
104
109
-5
88avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
122avg 108
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
144-139 OT
144
139
+5
140avg 108
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
116-119
116
119
-3
110avg 108
A02/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
129-103
129
103
+26
126avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
35-25
26-30
25-28
28-26
22-18
38-30
24-23
14-31
26-28
21-27
9-29
24-19
29-19
14-28
23-32
24-31
27-27
17-27
19-17
19-27
23-21
29-22
33-39
29-30
25-32
29-26
31-26
27-40
36-32
33-27
29-26
29-33
32-31
24-27
31-28
37-26
28-30
34-19
30-28
220.8Avg total
109.4Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)117.8116.2234.0+1.750%
Season at home (3)106.7104.7211.3+2.033%
Season away (3)129.0127.7256.7+1.367%
Last 10 (10)109.4111.4220.8-2.050%
Last 5 (5)124.0119.0243.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.0102.0189.0-15.00%
vs Similar (14)103.1105.1208.3-2.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)119.6110.3229.9+9.387%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
102-106
102
106
-4
85avg 106
A10/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
103-125
103
125
-22
99avg 106
A13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
103-118
103
118
-15
91avg 106
A14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
106-136
106
136
-30
94avg 106
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
115-107
115
107
+8
118avg 106
H25/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
101-112
101
112
-11
96avg 106
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
115avg 106
H28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
133-138
133
138
-5
132avg 106
A30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
125-131
125
131
-6
117avg 106
H01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
131-128 OT
131
128
+3
124avg 106
H02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
27-26
26-24
22-29
22-33
28-33
25-26
28-33
24-24
22-43
25-27
32-24
32-33
17-36
30-36
27-31
30-31
32-25
21-21
32-30
18-32
26-24
28-33
29-23
30-29
32-25
26-29
26-31
16-30
43-34
37-39
37-35
19-43
32-33
37-23
37-32
37-29
29-34
30-23
24-34
237.2Avg total
114.4Scored
122.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)119.4125.6245.0-6.129%
Season at home (5)120.4125.8246.2-5.440%
Season away (2)117.0125.0242.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)114.4122.8237.2-8.420%
Last 5 (5)123.0127.2250.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)108.4125.9234.3-17.410%
vs Similar (8)109.6111.2220.9-1.638%
vs Weaker (1)133.0138.0271.0-5.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
Denver NuggetsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A02/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H03/11
NBA
109.3Avg total
54.3Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.453.9108.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.552.9105.5-0.447%-
Last 30 away (13)56.955.2112.2+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)54.355.0109.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)57.060.4117.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.058.0109.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (14)50.251.9102.1-1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)58.655.6114.2+3.053%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A10/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H25/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
51-76
51
76
-25
H01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H02/11
NBA
116.7Avg total
54.3Scored
62.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.960.3114.2-6.433%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.562.1117.6-6.535%-
Last 30 away (13)51.758.0109.7-6.331%-
Last 10 (10)54.362.4116.7-8.140%-
Last 5 (5)56.462.6119.0-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)53.863.0116.8-9.224%-
vs Similar (8)53.452.8106.1+0.662%-
vs Weaker (1)59.064.0123.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.829.4
50.0%
54.3%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.7
35.5%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.018.5
80.4%
77.8%18.5
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.231.2
52.7%
54.3%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.9
33.7%
35.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.419.3
79.1%
77.8%19.3
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLLLLWW
Toronto Raptors
WLLLLWLLLL
#9
League position
#24
-2.0
Net rating
-8.0
110.3
Offensive rating
109.4
112.3
Defensive rating
117.5
51.1%
Effective FG%
52.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
12.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.5%
3-point %
33.7%
66.6%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 109.4Defence112.3 · 117.5Shooting51.1% · 52.0%3-point %35.5% · 33.7%Ball care12.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds26.1% · 30.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HUtah Jazz129-103
02/11/24AMinnesota Timberwolves116-119
29/10/24ABrooklyn Nets144-139 OT
28/10/24AToronto Raptors127-125 OT
26/10/24HLos Angeles Clippers104-109
25/10/24HOklahoma City Thunder87-102
20/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves90-98
17/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves70-115
15/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-97
13/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24HSacramento Kings131-128 OT
01/11/24HLos Angeles Lakers125-131
30/10/24ACharlotte Hornets133-138
28/10/24HDenver Nuggets125-127 OT
27/10/24AMinnesota Timberwolves101-112
25/10/24HPhiladelphia 76ers115-107
23/10/24HCleveland Cavaliers106-136
14/04/24AMiami Heat103-118
13/04/24AMiami Heat103-125
10/04/24ABrooklyn Nets102-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game117.8106.7129.0
Allowed / game116.2104.7127.7
Point differential+1.7+2.0+1.3
Avg total234.0211.3256.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %33%0%67%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %29%40%0%
Points / game119.4120.4117.0
Allowed / game125.6125.8125.0
Point differential-6.1-5.4-8.0
Avg total245.0246.2242.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %29%40%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder770100%113.395.9+17.4
2 Cleveland Cavaliers880100%122.2109.1+13.1
3 Boston Celtics87188%123.6109.6+14.0
4 Golden State Warriors76186%121.6104.3+17.3
5 Phoenix Suns65183%113.8109.8+4.0
6 Sacramento Kings74357%118.3114.0+4.3
7 Houston Rockets74357%111.9107.7+4.1
8 Dallas Mavericks74357%112.7109.4+3.3
9 Minnesota Timberwolves74357%111.7109.7+2.0
10 Los Angeles Lakers74357%116.1118.4-2.3
11 New York Knicks63350%112.8109.0+3.8
12 Memphis Grizzlies84450%117.1115.0+2.1
13 Denver Nuggets63350%117.8116.2+1.7
14 Miami Heat63350%108.7107.5+1.2
15 San Antonio Spurs63350%105.2104.7+0.5
16 Brooklyn Nets84450%113.5113.8-0.2
17 Indiana Pacers73443%118.4121.9-3.4
18 Chicago Bulls73443%115.0119.4-4.4
19 Detroit Pistons83538%106.2109.5-3.2
20 Orlando Magic83538%105.1108.6-3.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers83538%108.1113.0-4.9
22 Atlanta Hawks83538%115.2121.9-6.6
23 New Orleans Pelicans83538%107.8116.1-8.4
24 Los Angeles Clippers62433%108.3110.0-1.7
25 Washington Wizards62433%113.7123.2-9.5
26 Toronto Raptors72529%119.4125.6-6.1
27 Charlotte Hornets72529%111.3118.3-7.0
28 Philadelphia 76ers51420%107.2116.4-9.2
29 Milwaukee Bucks71614%111.7118.3-6.6
30 Utah Jazz71614%104.9119.6-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets34252933121
Toronto Raptors37272926119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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