PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 115-127
25-28 38-37 36-28 16-34
Position#11
Record40-27
FormWWWWL
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game108.2
vs
Position#10
Record36-30
FormLLLWW
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game107.3
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors
04 Nov 2026
DEN128
TOR109
20 Mar 2026
DEN121
TOR115
04 Nov 2024
DEN121
TOR119
11 Mar 2024
DEN125
TOR119
06 Mar 2023
DEN118
TOR113
12 Mar 2022
DEN115
TOR127
29 Apr 2021
DEN121
TOR111
01 Mar 2020
DEN133
TOR118
16 Dec 2018
DEN95
TOR86
01 Nov 2017
DEN129
TOR111
18 Nov 2016
DEN111
TOR113
01 Feb 2016
DEN112
TOR93
28 Dec 2014
DEN102
TOR116
31 Jan 2014
DEN90
TOR100
03 Dec 2012
DEN113
TOR110
27 Jan 2012
DEN96
TOR81
21 Mar 2011
DEN123
TOR90
17 Nov 2009
DEN130
TOR112
02 Dec 2008
DEN132
TOR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
117-116
117
116
+1
112avg 107
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
128-110
128
110
+18
126avg 107
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
115-110
115
110
+5
113avg 107
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-92
124
92
+32
126avg 107
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
107-119
107
119
-12
100avg 107
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
116-101
116
101
+15
108avg 107
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
138-130 OT
138
130
+8
138avg 107
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-124
131
124
+7
134avg 107
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
106-100
106
100
+6
108avg 107
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-113
102
113
-11
92avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
29-30
24-23
39-30
35-25
28-33
29-29
36-23
38-30
21-29
26-26
30-25
32-27
33-21
21-22
38-22
24-24
33-31
22-31
28-33
25-26
26-20
36-24
29-31
35-19
27-38
22-37
40-30
40-31
31-38
33-32
27-23
32-29
31-22
17-26
26-23
29-30
31-21
24-37
18-25
229.9Avg total
118.4Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)111.0108.2219.3+2.860%
Season at home (32)113.3109.0222.3+4.362%
Season away (35)108.9107.5216.5+1.457%
Last 10 (10)118.4111.5229.9+6.980%
Last 5 (5)118.6113.6232.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0108.0210.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)117.0114.5231.5+2.559%
vs Weaker (12)118.0104.8222.8+13.292%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
103-91
103
91
+12
94avg 97
A17/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
93-125
93
125
-32
76avg 97
A26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
100-127
100
127
-27
85avg 97
A27/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
133-97
133
97
+36
128avg 97
A01/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
109-108
109
108
+1
104avg 97
H02/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
106-108
106
108
-2
88avg 97
H04/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
97-103
97
103
-6
87avg 97
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
96-104
96
104
-8
75avg 97
A07/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
119-104
119
104
+15
107avg 97
A10/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
117-112
117
112
+5
104avg 97
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
19-28
23-23
31-17
19-28
28-42
14-27
32-28
37-32
21-34
16-38
26-23
42-27
29-21
29-21
33-28
32-25
23-34
26-30
28-19
22-31
35-29
20-31
29-17
23-27
16-21
21-24
37-31
29-30
17-29
16-14
34-31
34-29
24-32
33-23
28-20
30-24
26-28
40-30
21-30
215.2Avg total
107.3Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)108.5107.3215.8+1.355%
Season at home (32)108.7105.9214.6+2.853%
Season away (34)108.4108.6217.0-0.156%
Last 10 (10)107.3107.9215.2-0.650%
Last 5 (5)107.0106.2213.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0105.5211.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (21)109.3108.3217.6+1.062%
vs Weaker (7)108.6107.3215.9+1.343%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +5.5+5.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +5.5+5.5
Denver NuggetsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
65-48
65
48
+17
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H11/03
NBA
116.2Avg total
60.5Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.356.5116.9+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.358.3120.6+4.069%-
Last 30 away (14)58.154.5112.6+3.671%-
Last 10 (10)60.555.7116.2+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)61.454.8116.2+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.051.0111.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)59.159.1118.2-0.159%-
vs Weaker (12)62.253.3115.5+8.883%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A17/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
47-70
47
70
-23
A26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A27/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
71-48
71
48
+23
A01/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H02/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H04/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A07/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A10/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A12/03
NBA
111.0Avg total
53.6Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.456.2109.6-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (11)52.655.7108.4-3.155%-
Last 30 away (19)53.856.4110.3-2.637%-
Last 10 (10)53.657.4111.0-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)51.256.0107.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.049.0101.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)54.256.7110.9-2.538%-
vs Weaker (7)51.456.7108.1-5.343%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.730.2
60.8%
53.1%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.111.8
32.7%
35.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws28.422.6
79.6%
77.4%22.6
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 107.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.530.1
48.9%
53.1%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.9
34.1%
35.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.417.4
74.4%
77.4%17.4
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWLWWWW
Toronto Raptors
WWLLLWWLLW
#11
League position
#10
+6.7
Net rating
-0.6
114.6
Offensive rating
107.5
107.9
Defensive rating
108.1
55.8%
Effective FG%
49.7%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.6%
Turnover %
11.9%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.7%
3-point %
34.1%
67.1%
Assist %
52.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 107.5Defence107.9 · 108.1Shooting55.8% · 49.7%3-point %32.7% · 34.1%Ball care13.6% · 11.9%Off. rebounds20.9% · 26.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/22HGolden State Warriors102-113
10/03/22ASacramento Kings106-100
08/03/22HGolden State Warriors131-124
07/03/22HNew Orleans Pelicans138-130 OT
05/03/22HHouston Rockets116-101
03/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder107-119
28/02/22APortland Trail Blazers124-92
27/02/22HSacramento Kings115-110
25/02/22ASacramento Kings128-110
17/02/22AGolden State Warriors117-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/22APhoenix Suns117-112
10/03/22ASan Antonio Spurs119-104
07/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers96-104
05/03/22HOrlando Magic97-103
04/03/22HDetroit Pistons106-108
02/03/22HBrooklyn Nets109-108
01/03/22ABrooklyn Nets133-97
27/02/22AAtlanta Hawks100-127
26/02/22ACharlotte Hornets93-125
17/02/22AMinnesota Timberwolves103-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673235
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game111.0113.3108.9
Allowed / game108.2109.0107.5
Point differential+2.8+4.3+1.4
Avg total219.3222.3216.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)80% (5)64% (11)
Overtime %4%6%3%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeWLWLL53%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663234
Win %55%53%56%
Points / game108.5108.7108.4
Allowed / game107.3105.9108.6
Point differential+1.3+2.8-0.1
Avg total215.8214.6217.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%28%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)46% (13)50% (8)
Overtime %5%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns67531479%113.6106.0+7.7
2 Golden State Warriors68462268%111.4104.9+6.5
3 Memphis Grizzlies68462268%114.2109.3+4.9
4 Miami Heat69452465%109.4104.8+4.6
5 Utah Jazz66412562%113.6107.2+6.3
6 Milwaukee Bucks68422662%114.5110.7+3.9
7 Philadelphia 76ers65402562%108.4106.4+2.0
8 Dallas Mavericks67412661%106.8103.7+3.1
9 Chicago Bulls67412661%112.3110.7+1.6
10 Boston Celtics68412760%109.7104.0+5.7
11 Denver Nuggets67402760%111.0108.2+2.8
12 Cleveland Cavaliers67382957%106.7103.7+3.0
13 Minnesota Timberwolves69393057%114.6111.6+3.0
14 Toronto Raptors66363055%108.5107.3+1.3
15 Brooklyn Nets67343351%111.4111.8-0.4
16 Los Angeles Clippers69353451%106.9107.7-0.7
17 Charlotte Hornets68333549%114.6114.9-0.3
18 Atlanta Hawks66323448%112.5111.8+0.7
19 Washington Wizards65293645%108.1110.9-2.8
20 Los Angeles Lakers66293744%111.1113.2-2.1
21 New York Knicks67283942%105.9107.0-1.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans67274040%107.9109.9-2.1
23 Portland Trail Blazers65254038%106.9113.4-6.5
24 San Antonio Spurs68264238%112.5112.9-0.5
25 Sacramento Kings68244435%110.0115.2-5.2
26 Indiana Pacers68234534%110.4112.7-2.3
27 Oklahoma City Thunder66204630%102.3110.2-7.8
28 Detroit Pistons67184927%103.6112.5-8.9
29 Orlando Magic68185026%104.0111.6-7.5
30 Houston Rockets67175025%108.9118.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25383616115
Toronto Raptors28372834127
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.