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Jonava vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 81-64
14-19 24-15 19-15 24-15
Position#8
Record3-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game96.9
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#3
Record12-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game90.6
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
L
75-82
75
82
-7
57avg 78
H03/01
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
86avg 78
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-89
63
89
-26
no box
A17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 78
H25/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
91-104
91
104
-13
77avg 78
A01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
84-101
84
101
-17
74avg 78
H07/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
73avg 78
A14/02
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
95-90
95
90
+5
87avg 78
H17/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
90-97
90
97
-7
82avg 78
A08/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-91
80
91
-11
65avg 78
A15/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
18-24
20-22
18-19
18-24
21-33
27-22
29-25
16-17
13-26
19-26
15-20
19-27
19-24
22-16
19-18
21-35
24-21
23-31
23-17
25-20
23-30
23-25
13-26
20-23
22-17
17-13
18-24
21-20
27-22
22-25
25-23
17-24
22-24
24-25
27-24
26-21
23-27
12-23
19-20
176.8Avg total
83.7Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.196.9182.0-11.814%
Season at home (10)85.295.0180.2-9.820%
Season away (11)85.198.6183.7-13.59%
Last 10 (10)83.793.1176.8-9.410%
Last 5 (5)86.893.4180.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)83.996.4180.4-12.519%
vs Similar (3)85.384.3169.7+1.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
98-92
98
92
+6
96avg 82
H28/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 82
H31/01
LKL
Aris
#13
L
64-83
64
83
-19
55avg 82
A04/02
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
67avg 82
A08/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
74avg 82
H11/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
85avg 82
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-119
81
119
-38
70avg 82
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
38avg 82
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
77avg 82
A08/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
53avg 82
A14/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
21-30
23-17
21-20
30-19
22-26
23-22
20-20
21-21
13-19
8-25
22-18
27-19
10-32
18-20
21-16
21-30
24-20
22-20
19-21
23-31
22-25
24-21
26-23
22-31
22-25
20-35
17-28
24-16
12-31
21-24
16-23
21-14
35-22
16-22
18-23
18-22
22-11
21-24
9-24
174.3Avg total
82.8Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)94.090.6184.6+3.460%
Season at home (8)97.687.8185.4+9.975%
Season away (12)91.692.5184.1-0.950%
Last 10 (10)82.891.5174.3-8.730%
Last 5 (5)81.895.0176.8-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)88.1102.7190.8-14.618%
vs Similar (9)89.886.3176.1+3.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)98.589.4187.9+9.180%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H03/01
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H25/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H07/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/02
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H17/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A08/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A15/03
LKL
89.0Avg total
41.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.148.289.3-7.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.647.089.6-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)39.849.289.1-9.438%-
Last 10 (10)41.447.689.0-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.690.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)41.249.090.3-7.833%-
vs Similar (3)40.340.781.0-0.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H28/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H31/01
LKL
Aris
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/02
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H11/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A08/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/03
LKL
91.2Avg total
44.3Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.047.593.5-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.447.694.0-1.336%-
Last 30 away (16)45.747.393.0-1.656%-
Last 10 (10)44.346.991.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.689.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)44.753.297.9-8.518%-
vs Similar (9)45.945.090.9+0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)47.543.490.9+4.170%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.3
52.7%
55.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.1
30.7%
35.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.518.8
76.7%
74.3%18.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.5
52.2%
55.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.9
31.8%
35.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.518.0
73.5%
74.3%18.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLWLLLLLLL
Neptunas
LWLLLLLLWW
#8
League position
#3
-12.9
Net rating
-8.8
100.0
Offensive rating
97.0
112.9
Defensive rating
105.7
50.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
61.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
30.7%
3-point %
31.8%
50.7%
Assist %
65.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 97.0Defence112.9 · 105.7Shooting50.4% · 50.2%3-point %30.7% · 31.8%Ball care13.2% · 13.9%Off. rebounds30.6% · -Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jonava wins
7
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
07/12/25Jonava v Neptunas117-124 OT
26/10/25Neptunas v Jonava117-113
20/05/25Jonava v Neptunas93-98 OT
05/04/25Neptunas v Jonava97-98
28/12/24Jonava v Neptunas86-82
13/11/24Neptunas v Jonava111-110 OT
15/10/24Jonava v Neptunas88-84
29/09/24Neptunas v Jonava90-87
08/04/24Jonava v Neptunas78-81
10/12/23Neptunas v Jonava69-64
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26ALietkabelis80-91
08/03/26AZalgiris Kaunas90-97
17/02/26HGargzdai95-90
14/02/26ANevezis85-88 OT
07/02/26HRytas84-101
01/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas91-104
25/01/26HSiauliai79-85
17/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas63-89
11/01/26AJuventus95-104
03/01/26HGargzdai75-82
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AGargzdai70-81
08/03/26ASiauliai90-81
22/02/26HLietkabelis73-94
21/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas81-119
14/02/26ARytas95-100
11/02/26HBahcesehir Kol.86-91
08/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-87
04/02/26AAris64-83
31/01/26HRytas95-87
28/01/26HHapoel Jerusalem98-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %14%20%9%
Points / game85.185.285.1
Allowed / game96.995.098.6
Point differential-11.8-9.8-13.5
Avg total182.0180.2183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL60%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game94.097.691.6
Allowed / game90.687.892.5
Point differential+3.4+9.9-0.9
Avg total184.6185.4184.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2120195%90.575.5+15.0
2 Rytas2012860%91.284.4+6.8
3 Neptunas2012860%94.090.6+3.4
4 Siauliai2011955%87.288.7-1.4
5 Lietkabelis20101050%84.282.2+2.0
6 Gargzdai2191243%81.986.3-4.4
7 Juventus2081240%86.888.5-1.7
8 Nevezis2171433%81.889.4-7.6
9 Jonava2131814%85.196.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1424192481
Neptunas1915151564
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