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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 112-103
27-28 34-37 25-20 26-18
Position#7
Record15-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game105.7
vs
Position#24
Record7-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game118.9
Allowed / game122.4
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
109-94
109
94
+15
110avg 101
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
124-100
124
100
+24
122avg 101
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
116-108
116
108
+8
120avg 101
A23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
86-113
86
113
-27
70avg 101
A24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
117-100
117
100
+17
122avg 101
H26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
108-117
108
117
-9
100avg 101
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
122-105
122
105
+17
120avg 101
H30/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
109-106
109
106
+3
92avg 101
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
121-110 OT
121
110
+11
116avg 101
A04/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
93-112
93
112
-19
84avg 101
A05/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
25-27
24-16
31-29
32-22
43-26
24-29
25-23
34-16
33-27
18-24
31-41
13-28
22-27
24-37
27-21
36-31
33-27
29-24
19-18
23-27
19-39
26-25
40-26
41-21
30-37
24-21
27-26
32-30
26-35
25-16
26-25
32-23
26-30
25-28
25-27
28-20
16-32
25-30
24-30
217.0Avg total
110.5Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)111.0105.7216.6+5.371%
Season at home (8)118.8100.6219.4+18.1100%
Season away (13)106.2108.8214.9-2.654%
Last 10 (10)110.5106.5217.0+4.070%
Last 5 (5)110.6110.0220.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)111.8116.2228.0-4.525%
vs Similar (15)105.9105.7211.5+0.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)112.7102.4215.1+10.491%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
121-125
121
125
-4
111avg 108
A17/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
138-132
138
132
+6
139avg 108
H21/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
125-118
125
118
+7
123avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
106-113
106
113
-7
100avg 108
H24/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
104-117
104
117
-13
87avg 108
A27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
140-132
140
132
+8
137avg 108
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
103-125
103
125
-22
90avg 108
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
125-150
125
150
-25
114avg 108
A02/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
120-127
120
127
-7
108avg 108
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
119-113
119
113
+6
108avg 108
H06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
30-32
25-27
44-37
35-38
28-31
38-29
37-34
33-34
29-34
28-28
35-22
27-24
30-33
28-33
21-23
23-25
24-39
22-22
35-31
36-34
38-35
34-26
32-37
23-37
26-33
30-35
24-20
35-39
22-43
41-34
27-34
26-32
28-36
34-29
32-30
25-33
40-22
26-26
28-32
245.3Avg total
120.1Scored
125.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)118.9122.4241.3-3.535%
Season at home (9)121.1122.8243.9-1.744%
Season away (11)117.1122.1239.2-5.027%
Last 10 (10)120.1125.2245.3-5.140%
Last 5 (5)121.4129.4250.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)115.6121.7237.3-6.127%
vs Similar (12)117.2119.6236.8-2.333%
vs Weaker (3)116.0116.3232.3-0.333%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
75-48
75
48
+27
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H30/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A04/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A05/12
NBA
112.0Avg total
57.3Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.353.6109.9+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.250.1110.2+10.175%-
Last 30 away (18)53.756.0109.7-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)57.354.7112.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)54.658.8113.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.558.5110.0-7.025%-
vs Similar (15)52.954.1106.9-1.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)62.751.3114.0+11.582%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A17/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H21/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H24/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A02/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H06/12
NBA
124.3Avg total
58.0Scored
66.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.864.5123.3-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.664.3123.9-4.743%-
Last 30 away (16)58.164.7122.8-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)58.066.3124.3-8.320%-
Last 5 (5)59.868.8128.6-9.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)59.166.3125.5-7.233%-
vs Similar (12)58.764.4123.1-5.825%-
vs Weaker (3)57.355.7113.0+1.767%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.426.2
53.0%
52.3%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.9
39.2%
35.7%38.7
🏀 Free throws24.819.4
78.2%
77.2%19.4
They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 120.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.031.5
53.4%
52.3%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.313.7
39.9%
35.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
77.2%16.0
They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWWLWLWWW
Washington Wizards
WLLLWLLWWL
#7
League position
#24
+4.0
Net rating
-4.8
110.4
Offensive rating
112.6
106.4
Defensive rating
117.4
55.3%
Effective FG%
55.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
12.3%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
18.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
39.2%
3-point %
39.9%
59.8%
Assist %
64.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 112.6Defence106.4 · 117.4Shooting55.3% · 55.8%3-point %39.2% · 39.9%Ball care16.8% · 12.3%Off. rebounds24.0% · 18.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Washington Wizards wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/19ABoston Celtics93-112
04/12/19AToronto Raptors121-110 OT
01/12/19ABrooklyn Nets109-106
30/11/19HGolden State Warriors122-105
28/11/19AHouston Rockets108-117
26/11/19HCharlotte Hornets117-100
24/11/19APhiladelphia 76ers86-113
23/11/19AChicago Bulls116-108
21/11/19HCleveland Cavaliers124-100
17/11/19HNew Orleans Pelicans109-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/19HPhiladelphia 76ers119-113
04/12/19HOrlando Magic120-127
02/12/19ALos Angeles Clippers125-150
30/11/19ALos Angeles Lakers103-125
28/11/19APhoenix Suns140-132
27/11/19ADenver Nuggets104-117
24/11/19HSacramento Kings106-113
23/11/19HCharlotte Hornets125-118
21/11/19HSan Antonio Spurs138-132
17/11/19AOrlando Magic121-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %71%100%54%
Points / game111.0118.8106.2
Allowed / game105.7100.6108.8
Point differential+5.3+18.1-2.6
Avg total216.6219.4214.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%88%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%15%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW35%
HomeWWLLW44%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %35%44%27%
Points / game118.9121.1117.1
Allowed / game122.4122.8122.1
Point differential-3.5-1.7-5.0
Avg total241.3243.9239.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%11%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks2219386%121.1108.2+12.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers2219386%112.3103.3+9.0
3 Boston Celtics2015575%110.8103.9+6.9
4 Denver Nuggets1914574%107.3101.4+5.9
5 Los Angeles Clippers2216673%115.5107.8+7.7
6 Dallas Mavericks2115671%118.0109.4+8.6
7 Toronto Raptors2115671%112.9105.7+7.2
8 Miami Heat2115671%111.0105.7+5.3
9 Philadelphia 76ers2215768%108.8104.4+4.4
10 Houston Rockets2114767%120.8115.2+5.6
11 Indiana Pacers2214864%109.5104.5+4.9
12 Utah Jazz22121055%105.7105.9-0.2
13 Brooklyn Nets22121055%113.0113.4-0.5
14 Orlando Magic22111150%103.0102.6+0.4
15 Minnesota Timberwolves20101050%113.7114.8-1.1
16 Phoenix Suns21101148%115.6114.1+1.4
17 Portland Trail Blazers2291341%113.5114.8-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder2081240%107.1108.2-1.1
19 Sacramento Kings2081240%104.9108.8-3.9
20 Detroit Pistons2391439%108.7108.5+0.3
21 Charlotte Hornets2491538%105.4112.8-7.4
22 Chicago Bulls2281436%106.4109.6-3.2
23 San Antonio Spurs2281436%112.0116.0-4.0
24 Washington Wizards2071335%118.9122.4-3.5
25 Memphis Grizzlies2161529%108.5116.5-8.0
26 New Orleans Pelicans2261627%114.5119.7-5.2
27 Cleveland Cavaliers2151624%103.3111.9-8.5
28 Atlanta Hawks2251723%108.0117.8-9.7
29 New York Knicks2241818%100.5111.3-10.8
30 Golden State Warriors2341917%104.9114.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27342526112
Washington Wizards28372018103
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