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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 116-107
33-32 23-29 43-22 17-24
Position#13
Record27-29
FormLLWLW
Points / game112.1
Allowed / game113.6
vs
Position#6
Record36-20
FormWWWWL
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
98-108
98
108
-10
86avg 105
H24/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
119-141
119
141
-22
111avg 105
A26/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
108-124
108
124
-16
103avg 105
H27/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
116-102
116
102
+14
109avg 105
H30/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
109-116
109
116
-7
104avg 105
A02/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
77-130
77
130
-53
63avg 105
A02/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
111-117
111
117
-6
101avg 105
A04/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
122-121
122
121
+1
113avg 105
H07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
107-110
107
110
-3
98avg 105
H10/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
125-109
125
109
+16
124avg 105
H11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-35
28-24
40-21
13-28
37-35
24-37
25-34
33-35
26-33
26-37
32-30
24-24
34-29
31-31
31-25
20-17
24-23
30-36
27-27
28-30
26-27
16-35
14-46
21-22
24-24
35-33
23-22
29-38
28-26
25-24
30-38
39-33
23-32
27-25
29-28
28-25
32-30
33-18
29-32
31-29
227.0Avg total
109.2Scored
117.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)112.1113.6225.8-1.548%
Season at home (27)115.2111.4226.6+3.863%
Season away (29)109.3115.7225.0-6.434%
Last 10 (10)109.2117.8227.0-8.630%
Last 5 (5)108.4117.4225.8-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)113.8119.5233.2-5.850%
vs Similar ◀ (20)107.2113.2220.4-6.035%
vs Weaker (6)118.7111.8230.5+6.867%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
111-135
111
135
-24
98avg 108
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
113-108
113
108
+5
104avg 108
A27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
126-102
126
102
+24
126avg 108
H29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
104-95
104
95
+9
105avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 108
A02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
119-109
119
109
+10
118avg 108
H05/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
134-119
134
119
+15
137avg 108
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
106-96
106
96
+10
101avg 108
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
121-119
121
119
+2
128avg 108
H10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
87-105
87
105
-18
76avg 108
H11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-38
24-34
27-26
30-37
26-33
28-30
31-23
28-22
31-35
34-20
32-24
29-23
44-22
24-23
20-26
16-24
31-20
31-29
19-21
20-24
23-29
24-36
38-21
34-23
39-32
37-24
33-30
25-33
30-32
24-18
27-24
25-22
36-26
25-24
35-33
25-36
27-16
24-29
28-29
8-31
220.4Avg total
112.2Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)115.3109.4224.7+5.964%
Season at home (30)116.4109.1225.5+7.367%
Season away (26)114.1109.8223.8+4.362%
Last 10 (10)112.2108.2220.4+4.080%
Last 5 (5)113.4109.6223.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)109.0105.2214.2+3.864%
vs Weaker (19)118.3109.5227.8+8.879%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.5-3.5
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H24/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A26/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
52-70
52
70
-18
H27/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H30/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A02/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A02/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A04/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H10/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H11/04
NBA
114.0Avg total
54.6Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.557.3111.8-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.557.7113.2-2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)53.857.1110.8-3.341%-
Last 10 (10)54.659.4114.0-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)53.854.8108.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.055.5107.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)53.558.0111.6-4.540%-
vs Weaker (6)59.356.2115.5+3.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H05/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/04
NBA
114.2Avg total
59.2Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.754.4113.1+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.753.6111.4+4.159%-
Last 30 away (13)59.955.5115.4+4.554%-
Last 10 (10)59.255.0114.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.2111.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)59.554.7114.2+4.755%-
vs Weaker (19)58.254.3112.5+3.958%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.427.8
53.1%
52.8%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.512.9
37.4%
36.6%38.7
🏀 Free throws19.114.9
78.0%
77.7%14.9
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.530.9
53.7%
52.8%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.012.1
39.0%
36.6%36.3
🏀 Free throws17.714.1
79.7%
77.7%14.1
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WLWLLLWLLL
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWWWWWL
#13
League position
#6
-8.5
Net rating
+4.1
107.5
Offensive rating
116.1
116.0
Defensive rating
111.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
55.4%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.4%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.20
37.4%
3-point %
39.0%
62.9%
Assist %
65.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 116.1Defence116.0 · 111.9Shooting54.3% · 55.4%3-point %37.4% · 39.0%Ball care14.5% · 13.4%Off. rebounds19.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21HHouston Rockets125-109
10/04/21HWashington Wizards107-110
07/04/21HMilwaukee Bucks122-121
04/04/21AAtlanta Hawks111-117
02/04/21AToronto Raptors77-130
02/04/21AMiami Heat109-116
30/03/21HChicago Bulls116-102
27/03/21HAtlanta Hawks108-124
26/03/21ASacramento Kings119-141
24/03/21HPhiladelphia 76ers98-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21HBoston Celtics87-105
10/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs121-119
08/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs106-96
07/04/21HDetroit Pistons134-119
05/04/21HOrlando Magic119-109
02/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers101-94
31/03/21HPhiladelphia 76ers104-95
29/03/21HAtlanta Hawks126-102
27/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans113-108
24/03/21AToronto Raptors111-135

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeLWWLW63%
AwayLLLLL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562729
Win %48%63%34%
Points / game112.1115.2109.3
Allowed / game113.6111.4115.7
Point differential-1.5+3.8-6.4
Avg total225.8226.6225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%41%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)60% (5)33% (9)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games563026
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game115.3116.4114.1
Allowed / game109.4109.1109.8
Point differential+5.9+7.3+4.3
Avg total224.7225.5223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)44% (9)57% (7)
Overtime %9%10%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz57431475%117.2107.4+9.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers56391770%113.6108.1+5.4
3 Brooklyn Nets55381769%118.6113.9+4.7
4 Phoenix Suns56371966%114.0108.3+5.8
5 Denver Nuggets56362064%115.3109.4+5.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers58372164%114.2108.6+5.6
7 Los Angeles Lakers58372164%110.0105.6+4.4
8 Milwaukee Bucks56332359%118.5113.4+5.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers57322556%114.1115.2-1.1
10 Dallas Mavericks56312555%111.9109.9+2.0
11 Memphis Grizzlies56302654%113.3111.3+2.0
12 Atlanta Hawks58312753%113.3111.7+1.6
13 Miami Heat55292653%106.5107.3-0.7
14 New York Knicks59312853%105.1103.2+1.8
15 Boston Celtics56282850%111.7110.4+1.3
16 Charlotte Hornets56282850%111.0111.9-0.9
17 New Orleans Pelicans56272948%114.9114.5+0.4
18 Golden State Warriors56272948%112.1113.6-1.5
19 San Antonio Spurs55262947%110.3112.3-2.0
20 Indiana Pacers55253045%113.1113.6-0.5
21 Chicago Bulls57253244%112.1113.0-0.8
22 Sacramento Kings58243441%114.0118.4-4.4
23 Toronto Raptors57233440%111.9111.5+0.4
24 Washington Wizards56213538%112.8118.0-5.2
25 Oklahoma City Thunder56213538%105.6113.8-8.2
26 Cleveland Cavaliers57213637%103.7111.1-7.4
27 Orlando Magic58193933%104.8112.4-7.6
28 Detroit Pistons58184031%106.9110.2-3.3
29 Houston Rockets57174030%108.2113.5-5.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves57154226%110.6117.8-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors33234317116
Denver Nuggets32292224107
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