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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Apr 2010
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-97
27-25 17-28 14-20 26-24
Position#29
Record17-65
FormLLLLW
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game107.3
vs
Position#14
Record44-37
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game94.0
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
10 Jul 2019
MIN90
MIA87
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#10
L
85-103
85
103
-18
H13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
100-114
100
114
-14
A15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#5
L
114-152
114
152
-38
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
100-122
100
122
-22
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
96-104
96
104
-8
A20/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
100-106
100
106
-6
H23/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
L
95-108
95
108
-13
A24/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
L
97-106
97
106
-9
A26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#5
L
105-111
105
111
-6
H28/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
22-29
15-22
27-30
28-32
21-32
12-30
39-20
33-38
28-41
27-35
26-38
26-26
17-26
30-35
27-35
20-31
29-28
19-19
28-26
22-21
23-25
23-32
32-28
33-30
12-25
31-30
19-23
29-27
25-32
19-23
24-24
25-26
19-40
31-17
30-28
31-31
22-13
34-26
21-29
212.5Avg total
100.0Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)98.3107.3205.6-9.121%
Season at home (40)97.8102.9200.7-5.128%
Season away (42)98.7111.5210.2-12.914%
Last 10 (10)100.0112.5212.5-12.510%
Last 5 (5)101.0106.0207.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)100.0109.2209.2-9.317%
vs Similar (1)111.097.0208.0+14.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
H14/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#10
L
76-88
76
88
-12
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
H18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
W
103-74
103
74
+29
A26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A27/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H28/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
98-81
98
81
+17
A31/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
105-96 OT
105
96
+9
A02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
26-28
21-24
26-18
14-29
23-26
17-16
22-17
25-29
29-25
17-22
24-19
20-21
27-24
14-11
16-15
25-32
27-21
27-14
20-22
31-19
32-14
23-16
17-25
28-20
20-15
21-20
18-19
26-23
17-26
24-28
30-17
23-25
31-20
21-17
23-19
23-22
16-27
31-18
19-22
181.4Avg total
94.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)96.094.0189.9+2.054%
Season at home (42)96.592.9189.3+3.657%
Season away (39)95.595.1190.6+0.351%
Last 10 (10)94.886.6181.4+8.280%
Last 5 (5)98.083.8181.8+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.0102.0193.0-11.00%
vs Similar (19)91.589.5181.0+2.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)100.490.3190.8+10.189%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -7.3-7.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#5
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A20/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A24/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#5
L
44-66
44
66
-22
H28/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H01/04
NBA
106.1Avg total
48.6Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.256.1105.2-6.923%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.053.0102.0-4.036%-
Last 30 away (16)49.358.8108.1-9.412%-
Last 10 (10)48.657.5106.1-8.910%-
Last 5 (5)48.254.0102.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)48.956.7105.7-7.821%-
vs Similar (1)56.037.093.0+19.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H14/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#10
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
W
63-33
63
33
+30
A26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A27/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A31/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A02/04
NBA
96.1Avg total
49.4Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.346.895.1+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.449.097.4-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)48.344.893.1+3.556%-
Last 10 (10)49.446.796.1+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)49.442.291.6+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.053.0104.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (19)47.146.093.1+1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)50.347.097.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
1
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/10HSacramento Kings108-99
28/03/10HPhoenix Suns105-111
26/03/10AOrlando Magic97-106
24/03/10ACharlotte Hornets95-108
23/03/10HToronto Raptors100-106
20/03/10ALos Angeles Lakers96-104
18/03/10AUtah Jazz100-122
17/03/10APhoenix Suns114-152
15/03/10ASacramento Kings100-114
13/03/10HSan Antonio Spurs85-103
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/10AIndiana Pacers105-96 OT
31/03/10ADetroit Pistons98-81
28/03/10HToronto Raptors97-94
27/03/10AMilwaukee Bucks87-74
26/03/10AChicago Bulls103-74
22/03/10ABrooklyn Nets99-89
20/03/10HCharlotte Hornets77-71
18/03/10HOrlando Magic102-108 OT
16/03/10HSan Antonio Spurs76-88
14/03/10HPhiladelphia 76ers104-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW21%
HomeLLLLW28%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824042
Win %21%28%14%
Points / game98.397.898.7
Allowed / game107.3102.9111.5
Point differential-9.1-5.1-12.9
Avg total205.6200.7210.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won28% (18)18% (11)43% (7)
Overtime %2%2%2%
Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW54%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayWWWWW51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814239
Win %54%57%51%
Points / game96.096.595.5
Allowed / game94.092.995.1
Point differential+2.0+3.6+0.3
Avg total189.9189.3190.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)56% (9)40% (10)
Overtime %6%7%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers82622076%101.494.7+6.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers83602372%102.497.3+5.0
3 Orlando Magic82592372%102.694.7+7.9
4 Dallas Mavericks82552767%101.599.4+2.1
5 Utah Jazz82542866%103.998.1+5.8
6 Boston Celtics82532965%98.994.4+4.5
7 Atlanta Hawks82532965%101.697.2+4.4
8 Denver Nuggets81522964%107.2102.6+4.7
9 Phoenix Suns83533064%110.4106.3+4.0
10 San Antonio Spurs80493161%101.496.5+4.9
11 Oklahoma City Thunder80483260%99.997.1+2.8
12 Portland Trail Blazers82483459%98.395.3+3.0
13 Miami Heat81443754%96.094.0+2.0
14 Milwaukee Bucks81443754%97.495.8+1.6
15 Charlotte Hornets81414051%95.093.8+1.1
16 Memphis Grizzlies81414051%102.5103.1-0.7
17 Houston Rockets81404149%101.9102.2-0.3
18 Chicago Bulls81404149%96.998.7-1.8
19 Toronto Raptors81404149%103.4105.4-2.0
20 New Orleans Pelicans84374744%99.0102.5-3.5
21 Los Angeles Clippers81324940%96.1101.6-5.5
22 Indiana Pacers81305137%100.2104.2-4.0
23 New York Knicks80295136%101.1104.7-3.6
24 Philadelphia 76ers82295335%97.3100.8-3.5
25 Sacramento Kings81265532%100.1104.2-4.1
26 Golden State Warriors81255631%108.9111.9-3.1
27 Washington Wizards82255730%95.7101.0-5.2
28 Detroit Pistons82255730%93.799.6-5.9
29 Minnesota Timberwolves82176521%98.3107.3-9.1
30 Brooklyn Nets82127015%92.0100.4-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves2717142684
Miami Heat2528202497
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