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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game106.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#15
Record7-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game119.8
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 106
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 106
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 106
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 106
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 106
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 106
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 106
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
133-94
133
94
+39
136avg 106
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
106-117
106
117
-11
93avg 106
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
34-26
33-26
36-17
30-25
17-29
28-29
35-30
26-29
227.0Avg total
117.5Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.3106.8225.1+11.569%
Season at home (7)117.7103.6221.3+14.171%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)117.5109.5227.0+8.060%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.4222.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (11)114.9114.5229.4+0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)120.5106.9227.4+13.577%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
109-113
109
113
-4
96avg 114
H26/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
129-117
129
117
+12
131avg 114
A28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
145-125
145
125
+20
148avg 114
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
117-138
117
138
-21
108avg 114
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
117-116 OT
117
116
+1
112avg 114
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
100-120
100
120
-20
90avg 114
A06/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
114-108
114
108
+6
104avg 114
A09/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-109
115
109
+6
99avg 114
A11/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
133-121
133
121
+12
136avg 114
H14/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
137-117
137
117
+20
139avg 114
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
25-30
32-30
25-30
34-25
35-31
28-29
32-32
36-42
32-19
35-27
42-37
30-37
42-42
21-32
24-27
33-24
19-43
26-20
29-20
29-26
24-27
23-38
24-29
34-30
34-29
23-22
23-27
29-25
35-29
28-18
23-37
29-27
25-30
38-34
41-30
37-39
31-21
35-26
34-31
240.0Avg total
121.6Scored
118.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.7119.8238.5-1.254%
Season at home (6)123.5122.5246.0+1.050%
Season away (7)114.6117.6232.1-3.057%
Last 10 (10)121.6118.4240.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)119.8115.0234.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)115.9131.0246.9-15.114%
vs Similar (15)122.1122.9245.1-0.840%
vs Weaker (8)122.2117.6239.9+4.675%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H15/11
NBA
111.5Avg total
56.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.8112.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.554.2111.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)56.757.3114.0-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)56.954.6111.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (11)58.657.9116.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.153.2112.3+5.885%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H26/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
69-56
69
56
+13
A28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A06/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A09/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A11/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H14/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H15/11
NBA
121.9Avg total
62.0Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.762.7123.4-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.962.9123.9-2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)60.462.5122.9-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)62.059.9121.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)61.456.6118.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)60.068.9128.9-8.914%-
vs Similar (15)58.360.9119.3-2.640%-
vs Weaker (8)65.660.6126.2+5.062%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.828.8
52.6%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.2
36.0%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.018.9
70.0%
77.3%18.9
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 118.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.229.6
55.6%
54.0%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.213.2
33.7%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws26.519.8
74.7%
77.3%19.8
They take 92.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWLWLL
Miami Heat
WWWWLWLWWL
#7
League position
#15
+4.6
Net rating
-0.8
110.9
Offensive rating
111.8
106.3
Defensive rating
112.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
11.4%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
33.7%
57.6%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 111.8Defence106.3 · 112.5Shooting53.1% · 53.5%3-point %36.0% · 33.7%Ball care14.3% · 11.4%Off. rebounds34.8% · 19.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HChicago Bulls106-117
13/11/26HDallas Mavericks133-94
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HDetroit Pistons137-117
14/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers133-121
11/11/26AUtah Jazz115-109
09/11/26ASacramento Kings114-108
06/11/26AGolden State Warriors100-120
05/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers117-116 OT
03/11/26ALos Angeles Lakers117-138
31/10/26HIndiana Pacers145-125
28/10/26AAtlanta Hawks129-117
26/10/26HDallas Mavericks109-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game118.3117.7119.0
Allowed / game106.8103.6110.5
Point differential+11.5+14.1+8.5
Avg total225.1221.3229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Miami Heat
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW54%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game118.7123.5114.6
Allowed / game119.8122.5117.6
Point differential-1.2+1.0-3.0
Avg total238.5246.0232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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