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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 116-109
36-23 19-34 22-27 39-25
Position#28
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game124.0
Allowed / game112.5
vs
Position#7
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game125.5
Allowed / game113.5
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-130 OT
131
130
+1
121avg 103
H30/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
109-118
109
118
-9
no box
H31/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
122-132
122
132
-10
112avg 103
H02/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
110-108
110
108
+2
102avg 103
A04/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
111-109
111
109
+2
no box
H06/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
126-132
126
132
-6
119avg 103
H07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
100-120
100
120
-20
86avg 103
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
95-99
95
99
-4
no box
A11/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
127-126 OT
127
126
+1
110avg 103
A23/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
121-99
121
99
+22
118avg 103
A25/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
27-36
32-18
29-29
20-38
35-30
26-24
28-26
23-38
41-37
36-22
22-35
32-27
26-31
31-21
21-29
36-35
25-34
29-22
21-18
31-38
29-24
37-33
29-37
28-26
19-43
31-29
22-22
21-22
29-29
29-22
16-26
33-22
35-34
20-37
27-22
30-32
28-24
45-25
18-18
232.5Avg total
115.2Scored
117.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)124.0112.5236.5+11.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)124.0112.5236.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)115.2117.3232.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)113.8115.2229.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)113.9122.2236.1-8.421%
vs Similar (13)117.5116.8234.3+0.662%
vs Weaker (3)113.7109.0222.7+4.767%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 99
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
100-92
100
92
+8
no box
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
101avg 99
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
102-112
102
112
-10
90avg 99
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
109-111
109
111
-2
no box
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
100avg 99
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-99
122
99
+23
119avg 99
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A11/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
120-101
120
101
+19
112avg 99
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
131-126 OT
131
126
+5
124avg 99
A26/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
23-30
26-23
30-17
29-33
26-28
24-18
21-13
17-36
30-25
30-27
28-22
31-29
18-24
32-30
21-29
35-36
34-25
22-29
18-21
26-25
31-25
22-28
24-25
34-20
27-22
30-18
31-39
23-32
24-31
24-29
23-21
24-32
30-28
29-24
37-17
29-33
24-37
29-23
39-28
217.7Avg total
109.7Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)125.5113.5239.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)120.0101.0221.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)131.0126.0257.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)109.7108.0217.7+1.750%
Last 5 (5)115.2111.2226.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)108.9118.3227.2-9.422%
vs Similar (17)105.599.8205.4+5.765%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)115.2109.8225.0+5.575%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +4.0+4.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +4.0+4.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H30/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H31/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H02/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A04/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H06/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A11/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A23/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A25/10
NBA
120.7Avg total
57.5Scored
63.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.260.5118.8-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.663.1120.8-5.529%-
Last 30 away (16)58.858.2117.0+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)57.563.2120.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)56.658.8115.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)55.962.3118.1-6.414%-
vs Similar (13)59.760.1119.8-0.446%-
vs Weaker (3)63.054.3117.3+8.7100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A11/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A26/10
NBA
112.1Avg total
54.1Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.954.4109.3+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.252.1107.3+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)54.656.7111.3-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)54.158.0112.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)54.457.0111.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)57.357.9115.2-0.644%-
vs Similar (17)52.651.8104.4+0.941%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)59.057.8116.8+1.225%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.131.2
51.9%
52.3%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.5
35.7%
35.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.718.1
79.7%
77.2%18.1
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.730.5
52.0%
52.3%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.310.5
31.5%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.616.6
73.5%
77.2%16.6
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLLLWWLLW
Miami Heat
WWLWLLLLWW
#28
League position
#7
-1.8
Net rating
+1.0
109.0
Offensive rating
102.2
110.8
Defensive rating
101.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.3%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
11.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
18.9%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.7%
3-point %
31.5%
60.9%
Assist %
62.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 102.2Defence110.8 · 101.2Shooting52.5% · 50.3%3-point %35.7% · 31.5%Ball care11.6% · 14.2%Off. rebounds18.9% · 21.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/19ACharlotte Hornets121-99
23/10/19ABrooklyn Nets127-126 OT
11/04/19ADenver Nuggets95-99
10/04/19HToronto Raptors100-120
07/04/19HOklahoma City Thunder126-132
06/04/19HMiami Heat111-109
04/04/19ADallas Mavericks110-108
02/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers122-132
31/03/19HPhiladelphia 76ers109-118
30/03/19HGolden State Warriors131-130 OT
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/19AMilwaukee Bucks131-126 OT
23/10/19HMemphis Grizzlies120-101
11/04/19ABrooklyn Nets94-113
09/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers122-99
07/04/19AToronto Raptors109-117 OT
06/04/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-111
03/04/19HBoston Celtics102-112
01/04/19ABoston Celtics105-110
30/03/19ANew York Knicks100-92
28/03/19HDallas Mavericks105-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game124.0-124.0
Allowed / game112.5-112.5
Point differential+11.5-+11.5
Avg total236.5-236.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%-50%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game125.5120.0131.0
Allowed / game113.5101.0126.0
Point differential+12.0+19.0+5.0
Avg total239.0221.0257.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat220100%125.5113.5+12.0
2 Minnesota Timberwolves220100%124.0112.5+11.5
3 Atlanta Hawks220100%110.099.5+10.5
4 Philadelphia 76ers220100%112.0102.0+10.0
5 Dallas Mavericks220100%115.5108.0+7.5
6 San Antonio Spurs220100%122.0116.5+5.5
7 Denver Nuggets220100%108.0103.5+4.5
8 Phoenix Suns32167%120.3108.3+12.0
9 Utah Jazz32167%99.790.3+9.3
10 Toronto Raptors32167%114.7106.0+8.7
11 Los Angeles Clippers32167%125.0118.0+7.0
12 Boston Celtics32167%107.7102.7+5.0
13 Orlando Magic21150%96.594.0+2.5
14 Cleveland Cavaliers21150%97.596.5+1.0
15 Portland Trail Blazers21150%111.0110.0+1.0
16 Milwaukee Bucks21150%121.5121.0+0.5
17 Los Angeles Lakers21150%98.599.0-0.5
18 Houston Rockets21150%118.5120.0-1.5
19 Charlotte Hornets21150%112.5123.0-10.5
20 Oklahoma City Thunder31233%100.096.3+3.7
21 Brooklyn Nets31233%124.0123.3+0.7
22 Washington Wizards31233%106.3105.7+0.7
23 Detroit Pistons31233%110.0114.7-4.7
24 Chicago Bulls31233%106.3112.0-5.7
25 Memphis Grizzlies31233%112.3121.0-8.7
26 New Orleans Pelicans3030%120.3126.3-6.0
27 Indiana Pacers2020%104.5114.5-10.0
28 New York Knicks3030%105.0117.0-12.0
29 Golden State Warriors2020%107.0130.5-23.5
30 Sacramento Kings3030%96.0119.7-23.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves36192239116
Miami Heat23342725109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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