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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-101
30-27 24-35 32-20 27-19
Position#12
Record8-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game105.0
vs
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game109.2
Allowed / game101.8
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
84-104
84
104
-20
66avg 101
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
118-125 OT
118
125
-7
104avg 101
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
110-123
110
123
-13
98avg 101
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
107-83
107
83
+24
101avg 101
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
102-129
102
129
-27
83avg 101
A14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
96-99
96
99
-3
86avg 101
H16/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
107-97
107
97
+10
96avg 101
H18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
115-90
115
90
+25
114avg 101
H19/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
138-95
138
95
+43
135avg 101
H21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
110-96
110
96
+14
92avg 101
A23/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
24-24
15-28
12-29
34-34
20-24
38-23
21-32
28-31
26-38
30-24
26-30
19-26
25-23
40-12
23-22
26-32
17-38
28-28
31-31
21-18
18-22
23-26
34-33
22-18
22-30
33-24
30-25
34-20
32-33
27-25
22-12
40-23
32-20
41-28
25-24
28-29
38-21
23-19
21-27
212.8Avg total
108.7Scored
104.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)107.1105.0212.1+2.147%
Season at home (11)105.5101.9207.5+3.645%
Season away (6)110.0110.7220.7-0.750%
Last 10 (10)108.7104.1212.8+4.650%
Last 5 (5)113.295.4208.6+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)115.8117.2233.0-1.440%
vs Similar ◀ (16)111.0107.2218.2+3.850%
vs Weaker (4)108.8100.2209.0+8.575%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
W
118-115
118
115
+3
120avg 102
H06/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
96-113
96
113
-17
86avg 102
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
117-120 OT
117
120
-3
104avg 102
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
109-112
109
112
-3
95avg 102
A12/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
111-105
111
105
+6
108avg 102
A13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
103-90
103
90
+13
98avg 102
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
113-98
113
98
+15
108avg 102
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
112-97
112
97
+15
109avg 102
H19/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
100-103
100
103
-3
90avg 102
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
100-92
100
92
+8
98avg 102
A24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
28-28
32-26
31-37
25-30
24-34
21-27
26-22
25-28
32-27
29-27
26-30
40-25
18-31
20-30
31-26
27-24
31-24
37-21
16-36
23-24
20-19
31-24
29-23
21-34
26-18
34-18
32-28
21-19
26-21
36-30
29-27
25-26
18-15
32-30
25-32
20-25
26-28
21-23
33-16
212.4Avg total
107.9Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)109.2101.8211.0+7.467%
Season at home (7)111.398.4209.7+12.986%
Season away (11)107.9103.9211.8+4.055%
Last 10 (10)107.9104.5212.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)105.696.0201.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)101.0115.0216.0-14.017%
vs Similar ◀ (13)116.4109.2225.5+7.277%
vs Weaker (11)107.9101.4209.3+6.564%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
54-69
54
69
-15
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
43-70
43
70
-27
A14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H16/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H19/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
66-50
66
50
+16
A23/11
NBA
106.6Avg total
53.9Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.854.4111.2+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.653.2109.7+3.456%-
Last 30 away (12)57.256.2113.5+1.042%-
Last 10 (10)53.952.7106.6+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)57.446.8104.2+10.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)55.758.9114.6-3.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)58.153.0111.1+5.162%-
vs Weaker (4)54.548.8103.2+5.850%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H06/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A12/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A24/11
NBA
100.7Avg total
50.3Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.453.0108.4+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.049.3103.3+4.767%-
Last 30 away (18)56.355.4111.7+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)50.350.4100.7-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.891.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)52.058.0110.0-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)60.254.0114.2+6.269%-
vs Weaker (11)51.549.1100.6+2.564%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.324.8
50.3%
53.1%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.814.8
34.6%
35.3%44.4
🏀 Free throws19.414.7
75.8%
77.4%14.7
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.228.1
54.9%
53.1%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.5
34.8%
35.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.317.2
80.8%
77.4%17.2
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLLWLLL
Miami Heat
WLWWWWLLLW
#12
League position
#4
+4.5
Net rating
+3.5
107.4
Offensive rating
110.9
102.9
Defensive rating
107.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
53.9%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.0%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.6%
3-point %
34.8%
59.6%
Assist %
60.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 110.9Defence102.9 · 107.4Shooting51.0% · 53.9%3-point %34.6% · 34.8%Ball care14.6% · 14.0%Off. rebounds28.6% · 25.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/21ANew Orleans Pelicans110-96
21/11/21HMemphis Grizzlies138-95
19/11/21HSan Antonio Spurs115-90
18/11/21HSacramento Kings107-97
16/11/21HPhoenix Suns96-99
14/11/21ALos Angeles Clippers102-129
13/11/21ALos Angeles Lakers107-83
11/11/21AGolden State Warriors110-123
09/11/21AMemphis Grizzlies118-125 OT
06/11/21HLos Angeles Clippers84-104
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/21ADetroit Pistons100-92
21/11/21AWashington Wizards100-103
19/11/21HWashington Wizards112-97
18/11/21HNew Orleans Pelicans113-98
16/11/21AOklahoma City Thunder103-90
13/11/21AUtah Jazz111-105
12/11/21ALos Angeles Clippers109-112
11/11/21ALos Angeles Lakers117-120 OT
09/11/21ADenver Nuggets96-113
06/11/21HUtah Jazz118-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeLLWWW45%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %47%45%50%
Points / game107.1105.5110.0
Allowed / game105.0101.9110.7
Point differential+2.1+3.6-0.7
Avg total212.1207.5220.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%17%
Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %67%86%55%
Points / game109.2111.3107.9
Allowed / game101.898.4103.9
Point differential+7.4+12.9+4.0
Avg total211.0209.7211.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1715288%114.2101.1+13.1
2 Phoenix Suns1815383%112.3105.3+6.9
3 Brooklyn Nets1914574%109.6104.9+4.6
4 Miami Heat1812667%109.2101.8+7.4
5 Chicago Bulls1812667%107.1103.9+3.2
6 Utah Jazz1711665%112.5103.4+9.1
7 Washington Wizards1711665%105.8103.7+2.1
8 Charlotte Hornets2012860%111.8112.4-0.6
9 Dallas Mavericks1710759%104.1105.4-1.3
10 Los Angeles Clippers1810856%105.9102.9+3.1
11 Philadelphia 76ers1810856%107.7105.6+2.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers1810856%110.4108.7+1.7
13 Milwaukee Bucks1810856%108.6107.1+1.5
14 New York Knicks1810856%107.2106.4+0.8
15 Memphis Grizzlies179853%110.1114.9-4.8
16 Boston Celtics1910953%108.1106.4+1.6
17 Atlanta Hawks189950%109.6108.8+0.8
18 Denver Nuggets189950%102.4102.6-0.2
19 Los Angeles Lakers20101050%110.1113.2-3.1
20 Cleveland Cavaliers1991047%102.9103.5-0.5
21 Minnesota Timberwolves178947%107.1105.0+2.1
22 Toronto Raptors1881044%105.8105.8-0.1
23 Indiana Pacers2081240%107.8106.2+1.6
24 Oklahoma City Thunder1761135%98.7106.0-7.3
25 Sacramento Kings1861233%108.2110.6-2.3
26 San Antonio Spurs1641225%107.4110.0-2.6
27 Detroit Pistons1741324%99.1107.8-8.6
28 Orlando Magic1941521%100.8110.6-9.8
29 New Orleans Pelicans1931616%100.6109.7-9.1
30 Houston Rockets171166%100.2111.4-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves30243227113
Miami Heat27352019101
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