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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 126-131 (OT)
21-38 42-31 34-15 23-36 6-11
Position#20
Record7-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game117.5
vs
Position#2
Record10-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game113.6
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
110-122
110
122
-12
94avg 97
H04/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
94-108
94
108
-14
82avg 97
A06/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
103-112
103
112
-9
85avg 97
A08/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
132-136 OT
132
136
-4
117avg 97
H10/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
132-113
132
113
+19
130avg 97
H12/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
145-135
145
135
+10
145avg 97
A13/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
122-126
122
126
-4
111avg 97
A15/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
121-120
121
120
+1
114avg 97
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
110-121
110
121
-11
105avg 97
A19/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
119-129
119
129
-10
108avg 97
H22/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-42
28-29
38-22
15-29
34-34
19-33
25-26
16-15
33-28
30-20
22-36
18-28
27-27
28-28
32-29
32-35
29-24
41-32
36-29
26-28
36-48
43-25
43-33
23-29
35-32
34-30
27-27
26-37
29-37
25-30
35-20
32-33
28-33
31-30
24-29
27-29
34-38
24-31
29-29
32-31
241.0Avg total
118.8Scored
122.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)116.4117.5233.9-1.241%
Season at home (8)117.6116.0233.6+1.650%
Season away (9)115.2118.9234.1-3.733%
Last 10 (10)118.8122.2241.0-3.430%
Last 5 (5)123.4126.2249.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)109.4124.2233.7-14.811%
vs Similar ◀ (20)114.5114.3228.8+0.150%
vs Weaker (1)103.0112.0215.0-9.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-110
122
110
+12
126avg 111
A04/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
126-101
126
101
+25
134avg 111
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
115-109
115
109
+6
112avg 111
A08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
122-119
122
119
+3
119avg 111
A10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
112-131
112
131
-19
100avg 111
A12/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
126-103
126
103
+23
129avg 111
A14/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
103-106
103
106
-3
92avg 111
H17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
99-127
99
127
-28
84avg 111
A19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
98-97
98
97
+1
94avg 111
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
108-110
108
110
-2
102avg 111
H23/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
42-29
29-28
22-38
29-15
40-27
30-24
29-25
27-25
28-28
37-34
29-27
21-20
35-27
21-43
33-25
33-24
25-33
32-33
34-31
21-34
32-20
30-27
35-29
29-27
27-30
27-25
30-25
19-26
27-29
28-44
28-32
16-22
25-25
30-31
24-18
19-23
29-28
28-30
24-25
27-27
224.4Avg total
113.1Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)113.5113.6227.2-0.159%
Season at home (6)114.3105.7220.0+8.767%
Season away (11)113.1118.0231.1-4.955%
Last 10 (10)113.1111.3224.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)106.8108.6215.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)114.4115.9230.3-1.547%
vs Weaker (13)115.8116.2232.0-0.562%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
57-71
57
71
-14
H04/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A06/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A08/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H10/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H12/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A13/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A15/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A19/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H22/11
NBA
124.8Avg total
61.7Scored
63.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.560.5116.0-5.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.059.9114.9-4.921%-
Last 30 away (16)55.961.1117.0-5.119%-
Last 10 (10)61.763.1124.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)63.866.8130.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)54.965.0119.9-10.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)55.459.1114.5-3.720%-
vs Weaker (1)63.048.0111.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A04/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A12/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A14/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H23/11
NBA
119.7Avg total
60.2Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.058.4117.4+0.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.157.6117.7+2.538%-
Last 30 away (17)58.258.9117.1-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)60.259.5119.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)56.657.8114.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)57.557.0114.5+0.529%-
vs Weaker (13)61.060.2121.2+0.854%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 118.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.633.4
55.1%
54.5%66.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.812.4
37.8%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
78.1%14.8
They take 93.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.331.6
55.1%
54.5%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.6
41.1%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.615.1
77.0%
78.1%15.1
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWLWWLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWLWWWW
#20
League position
#2
-3.2
Net rating
+1.8
111.9
Offensive rating
113.4
115.1
Defensive rating
111.6
55.7%
Effective FG%
57.3%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
13.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.8%
3-point %
41.1%
55.5%
Assist %
64.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 113.4Defence115.1 · 111.6Shooting55.7% · 57.3%3-point %37.8% · 41.1%Ball care13.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds23.6% · 23.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/22HNew York Knicks119-129
19/11/22AMemphis Grizzlies110-121
17/11/22AWashington Wizards121-120
15/11/22ABoston Celtics122-126
13/11/22ANew York Knicks145-135
12/11/22HToronto Raptors132-113
10/11/22HMilwaukee Bucks132-136 OT
08/11/22ADetroit Pistons103-112
06/11/22AMilwaukee Bucks94-108
04/11/22HDenver Nuggets110-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22HDetroit Pistons108-110
21/11/22ADallas Mavericks98-97
19/11/22ADallas Mavericks99-127
17/11/22HNew York Knicks103-106
14/11/22AChicago Bulls126-103
12/11/22ABoston Celtics112-131
10/11/22AIndiana Pacers122-119
08/11/22ASan Antonio Spurs115-109
06/11/22HSan Antonio Spurs126-101
04/11/22AOklahoma City Thunder122-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL41%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game116.4117.6115.2
Allowed / game117.5116.0118.9
Point differential-1.2+1.6-3.7
Avg total233.9233.6234.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL59%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17611
Win %59%67%55%
Points / game113.5114.3113.1
Allowed / game113.6105.7118.0
Point differential-0.1+8.7-4.9
Avg total227.2220.0231.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1814478%119.7113.4+6.3
2 Milwaukee Bucks1612475%111.4106.9+4.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers1812667%115.5107.6+7.9
4 Phoenix Suns1711665%115.1107.8+7.3
5 Utah Jazz1912763%117.4114.5+2.9
6 Atlanta Hawks1811761%114.4113.9+0.5
7 Los Angeles Clippers1811761%106.1105.8+0.3
8 New Orleans Pelicans1710759%116.9110.6+6.3
9 Sacramento Kings1710759%120.0116.8+3.2
10 Indiana Pacers1710759%115.9114.1+1.8
11 Denver Nuggets1710759%113.5113.6-0.1
12 Minnesota Timberwolves1810856%114.3113.7+0.7
13 Memphis Grizzlies1810856%114.1113.9+0.2
14 Portland Trail Blazers1810856%109.2109.2-0.1
15 Washington Wizards1810856%108.4109.6-1.2
16 Dallas Mavericks179853%109.2106.5+2.8
17 Philadelphia 76ers189950%108.6106.6+2.0
18 Toronto Raptors189950%111.7110.1+1.6
19 New York Knicks189950%113.3115.5-2.2
20 Brooklyn Nets1991047%111.4111.1+0.3
21 Golden State Warriors1881044%115.7118.0-2.3
22 Miami Heat1981142%108.5109.6-1.1
23 Chicago Bulls1771041%111.1111.3-0.2
24 Oklahoma City Thunder1771041%116.4117.5-1.2
25 San Antonio Spurs1861233%110.1120.3-10.2
26 Los Angeles Lakers1651131%110.7114.2-3.6
27 Orlando Magic1851328%109.5113.5-4.0
28 Charlotte Hornets1951426%109.4114.5-5.1
29 Detroit Pistons1941521%109.4118.0-8.6
30 Houston Rockets1731418%108.6116.0-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Oklahoma City Thunder214234236126
Denver Nuggets3831153611131
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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