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Neptunas vs Jonava Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record4-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#8
Record2-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.0
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas v Jonava
21 Mar 2027
NEP v JON
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
NEP v JON
upcoming
17 May 2026
NEP95
JON89
26 Oct 2025
NEP117
JON113
05 Apr 2025
NEP97
JON98
13 Nov 2024
NEP111
JON110
29 Sep 2024
NEP90
JON87
10 Dec 2023
NEP69
JON64
26 Mar 2023
NEP76
JON70
04 Jan 2023
NEP80
JON85
31 Oct 2022
NEP77
JON93
26 Mar 2022
NEP75
JON78
24 Jan 2022
NEP75
JON87
29 Sep 2021
NEP89
JON74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#22
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#25
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#18
L
89-104
89
104
-15
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#3
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
20-16
27-24
7-29
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
172.4Avg total
86.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.683.3169.9+3.357%
Season at home (4)91.881.8173.5+10.075%
Season away (3)79.785.3165.0-5.733%
Last 10 (10)86.286.2172.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)92.291.6183.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.393.8176.2-11.50%
vs Similar (10)82.581.5164.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.685.9179.4+7.764%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
H22/05
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
A19/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A28/10
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
18-31
17-24
30-25
14-32
18-25
26-15
17-18
18-16
20-25
11-26
32-14
18-19
19-18
21-18
27-10
14-22
23-14
21-22
13-19
16-20
17-28
17-22
13-9
20-13
13-15
14-15
24-22
24-29
21-19
21-17
17-19
15-24
11-17
14-24
23-21
20-18
17-20
24-12
19-17
157.3Avg total
76.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.879.0154.8-3.233%
Season at home (3)77.076.0153.0+1.033%
Season away (3)74.782.0156.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)76.381.0157.3-4.730%
Last 5 (5)72.076.2148.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)82.790.2173.0-7.526%
vs Similar (4)77.280.2157.5-3.050%
vs Weaker (3)85.075.7160.7+9.367%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +4.1+4.1
NeptunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#22
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#5
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#25
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#18
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
87.1Avg total
45.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.588.1+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.641.988.5+4.659%-
Last 30 away (13)44.343.387.6+1.054%-
Last 10 (10)45.142.087.1+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.446.293.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.749.090.7-7.30%-
vs Similar (10)44.038.182.1+5.970%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.442.991.4+5.571%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
H22/05
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
ENBL
78.0Avg total
35.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.584.2-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.643.183.8-2.543%-
Last 30 away (16)38.945.684.5-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)35.342.778.0-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.675.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)40.045.885.8-5.930%-
vs Similar (4)40.041.081.0-1.075%-
vs Weaker (3)37.338.776.0-1.30%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.3
52.5%
55.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
35.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.519.4
79.2%
70.4%19.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.7
55.0%
55.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
70.4%13.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLWWLLWLL
Jonava
WLLWLLWLLL
#4
League position
#8
-0.5
Net rating
+2.6
97.6
Offensive rating
89.5
98.0
Defensive rating
86.9
50.9%
Effective FG%
50.7%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.2%
3-point %
29.8%
64.0%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 89.5Defence98.0 · 86.9Shooting50.9% · 50.7%3-point %32.2% · 29.8%Ball care14.9% · 17.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Jonava v Neptunas83-84
17/05/26Neptunas v Jonava95-89
21/03/26Jonava v Neptunas81-64
07/12/25Jonava v Neptunas117-124 OT
26/10/25Neptunas v Jonava117-113
20/05/25Jonava v Neptunas93-98 OT
05/04/25Neptunas v Jonava97-98
28/12/24Jonava v Neptunas86-82
13/11/24Neptunas v Jonava111-110 OT
15/10/24Jonava v Neptunas88-84
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86
07/10/26AChemnitz84-93
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
29/09/26HTrento73-76
26/09/26AGargzdai78-87
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ACIU80-67
25/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas63-86
17/10/26HNeptunas83-84
10/10/26ALietkabelis71-65
03/10/26HSiauliai63-79
27/09/26HTindastoll71-77
22/09/26HNevezis85-65
19/09/26ATaurage90-95 OT
22/05/26HZalgiris Kaunas75-90
20/05/26AZalgiris Kaunas82-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game86.691.879.7
Allowed / game83.381.885.3
Point differential+3.3+10.0-5.7
Avg total169.9173.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game75.877.074.7
Allowed / game79.076.082.0
Point differential-3.2+1.0-7.3
Avg total154.8153.0156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%93.073.0+20.0
2 Rytas54180%91.283.4+7.8
3 Gargzdai75271%90.688.4+2.1
4 Neptunas74357%86.683.3+3.3
5 Juventus73443%85.786.3-0.6
6 Siauliai73443%83.686.7-3.1
7 Lietkabelis73443%76.081.4-5.4
8 Jonava62433%75.879.0-3.2
9 Taurage72529%80.088.7-8.7
10 Nevezis6060%71.383.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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