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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 98-107
26-27 23-23 26-33 23-24
Position#20
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#7
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
17 Oct 2019
ORL98
MIA107
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
109-121
109
121
-12
105avg 97
A01/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
114-100
114
100
+14
108avg 97
H03/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
149-113
149
113
+36
no box
H05/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
116-108
116
108
+8
112avg 97
A07/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
122-114
122
114
+8
no box
A11/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
104-101
104
101
+3
no box
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
82-111
82
111
-29
67avg 97
A17/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
93-98
93
98
-5
82avg 97
H19/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
85-107
85
107
-22
72avg 97
H21/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
96-115
96
115
-19
86avg 97
A23/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-29
16-33
23-33
34-26
26-26
32-19
27-29
29-26
42-18
39-30
32-32
36-33
27-27
21-25
35-26
33-30
30-25
32-33
35-30
25-26
25-30
32-19
18-27
29-25
18-26
21-25
27-39
16-21
21-26
24-22
20-28
28-22
26-28
16-30
28-24
15-25
19-35
28-32
23-32
26-16
215.8Avg total
107.0Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)107.0108.8215.8-1.850%
Last 5 (5)92.0106.4198.4-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)100.1106.1206.2-6.044%
vs Similar (14)112.3105.1217.4+7.271%
vs Weaker (7)112.7102.9215.6+9.957%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
W
113-108
113
108
+5
109avg 98
A23/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
99-104
99
104
-5
no box
H26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 98
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
100-92
100
92
+8
no box
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
101avg 98
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
102-112
102
112
-10
90avg 98
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
109-111
109
111
-2
no box
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
100avg 98
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-99
122
99
+23
119avg 98
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
27-26
26-26
35-29
32-18
19-24
19-34
29-28
26-29
23-30
26-23
30-17
29-33
26-28
24-18
21-13
17-36
30-25
30-27
28-22
31-29
18-24
32-30
21-29
35-36
34-25
22-29
18-21
26-25
31-25
22-28
24-25
34-20
27-22
30-18
31-39
23-32
24-31
24-29
23-21
212.3Avg total
105.8Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)105.8106.5212.3-0.740%
Last 5 (5)107.2110.4217.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)107.4117.7225.1-10.211%
vs Similar (17)104.199.9204.0+4.259%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)115.2109.8225.0+5.575%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A01/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H03/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
81-48
81
48
+33
H05/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A07/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A11/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A17/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H19/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H21/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A23/04
NBA
106.9Avg total
53.1Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.553.1108.6+2.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.349.3108.6+10.069%-
Last 30 away (17)52.655.9108.5-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)53.153.8106.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)46.054.6100.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)49.154.2103.3-5.133%-
vs Similar (14)57.554.6112.1+2.936%-
vs Weaker (7)59.748.4108.1+11.386%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A23/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A11/04
NBA
108.2Avg total
53.7Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.353.5108.8+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.351.5106.8+3.850%-
Last 30 away (16)55.255.3110.6-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)53.754.5108.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)58.056.1114.1+1.956%-
vs Similar (17)52.951.2104.1+1.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)59.057.8116.8+1.225%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 106.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.827.7
51.5%
52.3%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.6
34.2%
35.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.316.6
77.9%
77.2%16.6
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.530.0
53.1%
52.3%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.310.4
30.3%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
77.2%14.0
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LLLLWWWWWL
Miami Heat
LWLLLLWWLW
#20
League position
#7
-1.8
Net rating
-1.1
107.0
Offensive rating
102.6
108.8
Defensive rating
103.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.2%
3-point %
30.3%
62.1%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 102.6Defence108.8 · 103.7Shooting51.4% · 50.2%3-point %34.2% · 30.3%Ball care14.1% · 13.4%Off. rebounds23.9% · 21.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Orlando Magic wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/19AToronto Raptors96-115
21/04/19HToronto Raptors85-107
19/04/19HToronto Raptors93-98
17/04/19AToronto Raptors82-111
13/04/19AToronto Raptors104-101
11/04/19ACharlotte Hornets122-114
07/04/19ABoston Celtics116-108
05/04/19HAtlanta Hawks149-113
03/04/19HNew York Knicks114-100
01/04/19AToronto Raptors109-121
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/19ABrooklyn Nets94-113
09/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers122-99
07/04/19AToronto Raptors109-117 OT
06/04/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-111
03/04/19HBoston Celtics102-112
01/04/19ABoston Celtics105-110
30/03/19ANew York Knicks100-92
28/03/19HDallas Mavericks105-99
26/03/19HOrlando Magic99-104
23/03/19AWashington Wizards113-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic2623262398
Miami Heat27233324107
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