Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jul 2019

Tip-off: 02:00

Final 105-96

19-22 32-25 28-19 26-30

Position-

Record-

FormLWWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Houston Rockets 🏆

Denver Nuggets

Position-

Record-

FormLWWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

NBA - Las Vegas Summer LeagueNBA Las Vegas Summer League - Final

Other2019

Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Denver Nuggets winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston Rockets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRockets

Date

Competition

Utah Jazz

118-98

118

+20

110avg 102

H18/04

NBA

Utah Jazz

104-101

104

101

92avg 102

A21/04

NBA

Utah Jazz

91-107

107

-16

72avg 102

A23/04

NBA

Utah Jazz

100-93

100

90avg 102

H25/04

NBA

Golden State Warriors

100-104

100

104

-4

no box

A28/04

NBA

Golden State Warriors

109-115

109

115

-6

100avg 102

A01/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

126-121 OT

126

121

117avg 102

H05/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

112-108

112

108

no box

H07/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

99-104

104

-5

88avg 102

A09/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

113-118

113

118

-5

100avg 102

H11/05

NBA

39-19

31-25

25-23

23-31

28-30

22-25

24-21

30-25

24-32

23-21

32-23

12-31

20-20

26-22

29-27

25-24

19-28

34-25

23-30

24-21

20-29

29-29

26-24

34-33

25-26

33-23

33-35

21-28

25-28

36-26

32-30

19-24

17-31

26-26

29-15

27-32

28-27

29-30

30-25

26-36

214.1Avg total

107.2Scored

106.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	107.2	106.9	214.1	+0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	111.8	113.2	225.0	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	94.0	108.0	202.0	-14.0	0%
vs Similar (17)	108.6	103.1	211.7	+5.5	59%
vs Weaker (12)	120.8	104.1	224.8	+16.7	92%

Denver Nuggets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNuggets

Date

Competition

San Antonio Spurs

#11

108-90

108

+18

109avg 105

H24/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

#11

103-120

103

120

-17

89avg 105

A26/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

#11

90-86

no box

H28/04

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

121-113

121

113

112avg 105

H30/04

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

90-97

-7

74avg 105

H02/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

137-140 OT

137

140

-3

126avg 105

A04/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

116-112

116

112

104avg 105

A05/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

124-98

124

+26

127avg 105

H08/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

108-119

108

119

-11

98avg 105

A10/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

96-100

100

-4

78avg 105

H12/05

NBA

26-19

27-23

32-21

23-27

24-34

36-30

25-26

18-30

23-13

24-21

25-27

18-25

32-32

26-23

35-29

28-29

23-28

12-22

29-28

26-19

17-23

30-25

29-33

26-21

29-33

28-30

27-14

32-35

31-25

34-22

28-18

31-33

34-26

20-32

26-29

28-32

29-17

19-22

24-32

24-29

216.8Avg total

109.3Scored

107.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	109.3	107.5	216.8	+1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	116.2	113.8	230.0	+2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (24)	107.6	108.0	215.6	-0.4	50%
vs Weaker (6)	101.3	97.0	198.3	+4.3	83%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.2	25.7	53.9	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	29.8	24.9	54.8	+4.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.3	26.6	52.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	27.0	51.5	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	28.2	51.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (17)	26.4	26.0	52.4	+0.4	41%	-
vs Weaker (12)	30.9	25.8	56.7	+5.2	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.1	25.7	51.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.9	23.7	49.7	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.2	27.7	53.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	25.0	51.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	24.8	52.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (24)	25.1	26.7	51.8	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	29.8	21.7	51.5	+8.2	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.9	24.6	54.4	+5.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	31.1	23.8	54.8	+7.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.5	25.5	54.0	+3.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.9	25.2	54.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	26.8	57.4	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	38.0	66.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	29.1	23.6	52.6	+5.5	71%	-
vs Weaker (12)	31.2	24.8	56.0	+6.3	92%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.6	27.2	54.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	28.1	25.4	53.5	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.1	29.0	56.1	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	25.0	50.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	26.2	52.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (24)	27.5	27.2	54.6	+0.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	28.0	27.3	55.3	+0.7	33%	-

Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Utah Jazz

70-44

+26

H18/04

NBA

Utah Jazz

50-55

-5

A21/04

NBA

Utah Jazz

47-53

-6

A23/04

NBA

Utah Jazz

46-42

H25/04

NBA

Golden State Warriors

53-53

A28/04

NBA

Golden State Warriors

49-58

-9

A01/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

58-49

H05/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

61-54

H07/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

43-57

-14

A09/05

NBA

Golden State Warriors

57-57

H11/05

NBA

105.6Avg total

53.4Scored

52.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	58.0	50.3	108.3	+7.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	60.9	48.7	109.6	+12.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	54.8	52.1	106.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.4	52.2	105.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.6	55.0	108.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	53.0	58.0	111.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	55.5	49.6	105.1	+5.9	59%	-
vs Weaker (12)	62.1	50.6	112.7	+11.5	83%	-

Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Antonio Spurs

#11

53-42

+11

H24/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

#11

60-64

-4

A26/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

#11

47-34

+13

H28/04

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

58-55

H30/04

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

35-50

-15

H02/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

47-48

-1

A04/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

57-63

-6

A05/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

65-47

+18

H08/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

54-58

-4

A10/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

48-39

H12/05

NBA

102.4Avg total

52.4Scored

50.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	53.6	52.9	106.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	54.0	49.1	103.1	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	53.3	56.7	109.9	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.4	50.0	102.4	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.2	51.0	105.2	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (24)	52.6	53.9	106.5	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	57.8	49.0	106.8	+8.8	83%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.6	27.1	54.7	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	28.9	28.2	57.1	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.1	25.8	51.9	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.3	25.3	53.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	25.8	55.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	32.0	50.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	26.6	26.5	53.1	+0.1	65%	-
vs Weaker (12)	29.8	27.5	57.3	+2.3	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	25.5	51.0	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.4	24.7	49.1	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.5	26.4	52.9	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.0	25.7	53.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	25.2	52.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (24)	26.6	25.3	51.9	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	26.3	47.2	-5.5	17%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.5	25.7	52.2	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.3	25.2	50.5	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	27.9	26.2	54.1	+1.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	28.5	52.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	30.6	56.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (17)	25.7	26.5	52.2	-0.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (12)	28.0	25.1	53.1	+2.9	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.1	26.1	52.2	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.4	23.9	49.3	+1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.8	28.3	55.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	28.0	53.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	30.0	58.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (24)	27.0	27.2	54.2	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	21.7	44.3	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.1	52.7	106.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	54.2	53.4	107.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	54.0	52.0	106.0	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.4	53.8	106.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.4	56.4	111.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	50.0	91.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	52.3	53.0	105.3	-0.7	41%	-
vs Weaker (12)	57.8	52.6	110.4	+5.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.5	51.6	103.2	-0.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.8	48.6	98.4	+1.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	53.3	54.7	107.9	-1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.4	53.7	107.1	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.0	55.2	110.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (24)	53.5	52.5	106.1	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.5	48.0	91.5	-4.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 107.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀38%

🏀🏀🏀44%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	20.3	51.0%	-	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	42.9	15.7	36.6%	-	47.1
🏀 Free throws	25.5	19.3	75.7%	-	19.3

They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	63.9	30.9	48.4%	-	61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	8.8	31.8%	-	26.4
🏀 Free throws	26.2	21.1	80.5%	-	21.1

They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.5	27.8	53.0%	-	55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.1	10.9	31.1%	-	32.7
🏀 Free throws	24.5	18.4	75.1%	-	18.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	61.4	30.2	49.2%	-	60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	9.6	32.5%	-	28.8
🏀 Free throws	23.9	18.1	75.7%	-	18.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	21.9	53.5%	-	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	45.6	17.0	37.3%	-	51.0
🏀 Free throws	22.6	17.4	77.3%	-	17.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	59.6	30.1	50.5%	-	60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.9	33.1%	-	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.4	76.8%	-	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.7	28.1	50.5%	-	56.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.9	10.0	31.3%	-	30.0
🏀 Free throws	21.6	16.5	76.1%	-	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	59.9	30.4	50.8%	-	60.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.2	32.3%	-	27.5
🏀 Free throws	22.4	17.0	76.2%	-	17.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jul 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Houston Rockets

LLWWLLWLWW

Denver Nuggets

LLWWLLWWLW

+0.3

Net rating

+2.0

107.0

Offensive rating

110.7

106.7

Defensive rating

108.6

53.0%

Effective FG%

48.1%

50.4%

Opp. effective FG%

49.1%

15.3%

Turnover %

9.6%

23.6%

Off. rebound %

29.2%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.29

36.6%

3-point %

31.8%

48.9%

Assist %

56.9%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Houston Rockets ■ Denver Nuggets

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Houston Rockets wins

Denver Nuggets wins

Date	Game	Score
29/03/19	Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets	112-85
02/02/19	Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets	136-122
08/01/19	Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets	125-113
14/11/18	Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets	99-109
26/02/18	Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets	114-119
10/02/18	Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets	130-104
23/11/17	Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets	125-95
06/04/17	Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets	110-104
21/03/17	Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets	125-124
19/03/17	Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets	105-109

Houston Rocketslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/19	H	Golden State Warriors	113-118
09/05/19	A	Golden State Warriors	99-104
07/05/19	H	Golden State Warriors	112-108
05/05/19	H	Golden State Warriors	126-121 OT
01/05/19	A	Golden State Warriors	109-115
28/04/19	A	Golden State Warriors	100-104
25/04/19	H	Utah Jazz	100-93
23/04/19	A	Utah Jazz	91-107
21/04/19	A	Utah Jazz	104-101
18/04/19	H	Utah Jazz	118-98

Denver Nuggetslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/05/19	H	Portland Trail Blazers	96-100
10/05/19	A	Portland Trail Blazers	108-119
08/05/19	H	Portland Trail Blazers	124-98
05/05/19	A	Portland Trail Blazers	116-112
04/05/19	A	Portland Trail Blazers	137-140 OT
02/05/19	H	Portland Trail Blazers	90-97
30/04/19	H	Portland Trail Blazers	121-113
28/04/19	H	San Antonio Spurs	90-86
26/04/19	A	San Antonio Spurs	103-120
24/04/19	H	San Antonio Spurs	108-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2019

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Denver Nuggets

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2019

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Houston Rockets	19	32	28	26	105
Denver Nuggets	22	25	19	30	96

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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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