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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 106-109
31-27 30-33 27-23 18-26
Position#9
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game105.7
Allowed / game100.3
vs
Position#12
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game112.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
121-113
121
113
+8
112avg 104
H30/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
90-97
90
97
-7
74avg 104
H02/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
137-140 OT
137
140
-3
126avg 104
A04/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
116-112
116
112
+4
104avg 104
A05/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
124-98
124
98
+26
127avg 104
H08/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-119
108
119
-11
98avg 104
A10/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
96-100
96
100
-4
78avg 104
H12/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
108-100
108
100
+8
102avg 104
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
92avg 104
H26/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
101-94
101
94
+7
86avg 104
A29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-32
26-23
35-29
28-29
23-28
12-22
29-28
26-19
17-23
30-25
29-33
26-21
29-33
28-30
27-14
32-35
31-25
34-22
28-18
31-33
34-26
20-32
26-29
28-32
29-17
19-22
24-32
24-29
24-27
30-23
19-24
35-26
15-21
24-24
25-17
31-33
21-28
26-25
30-17
24-24
218.9Avg total
110.9Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)105.7100.3206.0+5.3100%
Season at home (1)108.0107.0215.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)104.597.0201.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)110.9108.0218.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)104.2104.0208.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)107.3107.5214.8-0.252%
vs Weaker (5)101.696.6198.2+5.080%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
106-103
106
103
+3
no box
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-102
122
102
+20
116avg 100
H02/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
108-110
108
110
-2
100avg 100
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
112-122
112
122
-10
no box
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
129-127 OT
129
127
+2
123avg 100
A07/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
120-109
120
109
+11
122avg 100
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
94-105
94
105
-11
no box
A11/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
108-100
108
100
+8
101avg 100
H24/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
123-116
123
116
+7
114avg 100
A26/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
119-121
119
121
-2
106avg 100
H27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
27-32
22-19
26-28
27-32
41-18
29-27
25-25
27-32
31-26
21-31
29-21
30-31
23-34
31-34
28-23
24-26
28-30
31-32
29-24
33-18
35-20
30-41
22-30
16-30
21-27
28-23
29-25
24-25
38-23
29-20
17-32
27-41
45-23
23-29
28-23
40-25
31-34
24-36
24-26
225.6Avg total
114.1Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)116.7112.3229.0+4.367%
Season at home (2)113.5110.5224.0+3.050%
Season away (1)123.0116.0239.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)114.1111.5225.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)112.8110.2223.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)109.1107.6216.7+1.540%
vs Similar ◀ (15)106.9117.7224.6-10.77%
vs Weaker (5)118.2112.4230.6+5.880%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H30/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H02/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A04/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A05/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H08/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A10/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H12/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H26/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A29/10
NBA
101.2Avg total
50.4Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.952.2105.1+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.947.5100.4+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)52.856.3109.1-3.525%-
Last 10 (10)50.450.8101.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)48.449.097.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)51.653.2104.8-1.636%-
vs Weaker (5)59.247.4106.6+11.8100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H02/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A07/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
68-38
68
38
+30
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A11/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H24/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A26/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H27/10
NBA
115.0Avg total
59.9Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.256.7113.9+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.654.7113.3+3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)55.758.7114.5-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)59.955.1115.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)62.053.2115.2+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)57.555.6113.1+1.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.458.6112.0-5.227%-
vs Weaker (5)67.853.2121.0+14.6100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.028.4
45.1%
52.3%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.1
34.2%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws29.123.8
81.8%
77.2%23.8
They take 92.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.127.6
54.0%
52.3%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.612.9
31.8%
35.7%38.7
🏀 Free throws26.319.8
75.3%
77.2%19.8
They take 91.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWWLLW
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLWWLLWW
#9
League position
#12
+2.8
Net rating
+2.3
108.7
Offensive rating
109.2
105.9
Defensive rating
106.9
47.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
10.9%
Turnover %
11.1%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.2%
3-point %
31.8%
56.6%
Assist %
62.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 109.2Defence105.9 · 106.9Shooting47.1% · 51.2%3-point %34.2% · 31.8%Ball care10.9% · 11.1%Off. rebounds29.3% · 22.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/19ASacramento Kings101-94
26/10/19HPhoenix Suns108-107 OT
24/10/19APortland Trail Blazers108-100
12/05/19HPortland Trail Blazers96-100
10/05/19APortland Trail Blazers108-119
08/05/19HPortland Trail Blazers124-98
05/05/19APortland Trail Blazers116-112
04/05/19APortland Trail Blazers137-140 OT
02/05/19HPortland Trail Blazers90-97
30/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers121-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/19HPortland Trail Blazers119-121
26/10/19ANew Orleans Pelicans123-116
24/10/19HWashington Wizards108-100
11/04/19ASan Antonio Spurs94-105
10/04/19HPhoenix Suns120-109
07/04/19AMemphis Grizzlies129-127 OT
06/04/19HMemphis Grizzlies112-122
04/04/19HMinnesota Timberwolves108-110
02/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers122-102
31/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder106-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game105.7108.0104.5
Allowed / game100.3107.097.0
Point differential+5.3+1.0+7.5
Avg total206.0215.0201.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%100%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game116.7113.5123.0
Allowed / game112.3110.5116.0
Point differential+4.3+3.0+7.0
Avg total229.0224.0239.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minnesota Timberwolves330100%121.3111.3+10.0
2 Philadelphia 76ers330100%109.7102.3+7.3
3 Denver Nuggets330100%105.7100.3+5.3
4 San Antonio Spurs330100%119.0114.3+4.7
5 Los Angeles Clippers43175%121.5112.5+9.0
6 Toronto Raptors43175%112.0103.2+8.8
7 Miami Heat43175%118.0110.0+8.0
8 Utah Jazz43175%98.891.5+7.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers32167%105.799.7+6.0
10 Milwaukee Bucks32167%124.0118.0+6.0
11 Boston Celtics32167%107.7102.7+5.0
12 Dallas Mavericks32167%116.7112.3+4.3
13 Houston Rockets32167%117.7117.3+0.3
14 Phoenix Suns42250%114.0105.2+8.8
15 Atlanta Hawks42250%105.0104.0+1.0
16 Portland Trail Blazers42250%113.2113.0+0.2
17 Detroit Pistons42250%106.5109.5-3.0
18 Brooklyn Nets31233%124.0123.3+0.7
19 Washington Wizards31233%106.3105.7+0.7
20 Orlando Magic31233%96.097.3-1.3
21 Cleveland Cavaliers31233%102.3107.3-5.0
22 Memphis Grizzlies31233%112.3121.0-8.7
23 Golden State Warriors31233%116.0128.0-12.0
24 Oklahoma City Thunder41325%103.0101.2+1.8
25 Chicago Bulls41325%104.2110.2-6.0
26 New York Knicks41325%105.0112.2-7.2
27 Charlotte Hornets41325%105.5119.2-13.8
28 New Orleans Pelicans4040%121.0128.2-7.2
29 Indiana Pacers3030%101.0108.3-7.3
30 Sacramento Kings4040%95.5115.0-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31302718106
Dallas Mavericks27332326109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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