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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 102-107
30-39 22-27 21-19 29-22
Position#14
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#9
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
14 Oct 2019
PHX102
DEN107
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
98-118
98
118
-20
no box
H22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
103-112
103
112
-9
93avg 97
A24/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
92-125
92
125
-33
76avg 97
A26/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
121-124
121
124
-3
115avg 97
H28/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
115-120
115
120
-5
no box
H31/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
122-113
122
113
+9
120avg 97
H02/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
97-118
97
118
-21
78avg 97
H04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
133-126 OT
133
126
+7
no box
H06/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
113-149
113
149
-36
102avg 97
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
109-120
109
120
-11
93avg 97
A10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
28-29
20-29
18-31
32-19
21-28
22-32
28-33
21-26
22-36
31-26
18-37
30-27
29-32
31-30
31-35
38-23
24-31
30-34
23-32
31-23
40-29
20-32
31-29
31-25
22-31
23-28
21-34
31-38
34-38
31-23
21-18
24-34
23-43
30-40
36-32
18-33
20-35
41-30
30-22
232.8Avg total
110.3Scored
122.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)110.3122.5232.8-12.220%
Last 5 (5)114.8125.2240.0-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)111.0120.9231.9-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)108.7112.3221.0-3.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
108-90
108
90
+18
109avg 105
H24/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
103-120
103
120
-17
89avg 105
A26/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
H28/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
121-113
121
113
+8
112avg 105
H30/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
90-97
90
97
-7
74avg 105
H02/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
137-140 OT
137
140
-3
126avg 105
A04/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
116-112
116
112
+4
104avg 105
A05/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
124-98
124
98
+26
127avg 105
H08/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-119
108
119
-11
98avg 105
A10/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
96-100
96
100
-4
78avg 105
H12/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
27-23
32-21
23-27
24-34
36-30
25-26
18-30
23-13
24-21
25-27
18-25
32-32
26-23
35-29
28-29
23-28
12-22
29-28
26-19
17-23
30-25
29-33
26-21
29-33
28-30
27-14
32-35
31-25
34-22
28-18
31-33
34-26
20-32
26-29
28-32
29-17
19-22
24-32
24-29
216.8Avg total
109.3Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)109.3107.5216.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)116.2113.8230.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)107.6108.0215.6-0.450%
vs Weaker (6)101.397.0198.3+4.383%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -6.9-6.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -6.9-6.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A24/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
43-62
43
62
-19
A26/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H28/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H31/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H02/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H06/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
47-77
47
77
-30
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
38-68
38
68
-30
A10/04
NBA
116.0Avg total
55.1Scored
60.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.159.7113.8-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.557.4113.9-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)51.861.9113.7-10.120%-
Last 10 (10)55.160.9116.0-5.840%-
Last 5 (5)54.865.8120.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)53.960.8114.7-6.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)55.055.2110.2-0.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H24/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A26/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H28/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H30/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H02/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A04/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A05/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H08/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A10/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H12/05
NBA
102.4Avg total
52.4Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.652.9106.5+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.049.1103.1+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)53.356.7109.9-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)52.450.0102.4+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)54.251.0105.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)52.653.9106.5-1.338%-
vs Weaker (6)57.849.0106.8+8.883%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 107.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.429.8
54.8%
52.3%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.8
32.6%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.718.1
76.4%
77.2%18.1
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.930.9
48.4%
52.3%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.8
31.8%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.221.1
80.5%
77.2%21.1
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWLWLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LLWWLLWWLW
#14
League position
#9
-13.5
Net rating
+2.0
105.0
Offensive rating
110.7
118.5
Defensive rating
108.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
48.1%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
9.6%
18.3%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.6%
3-point %
31.8%
57.6%
Assist %
56.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 110.7Defence118.5 · 108.6Shooting52.7% · 48.1%3-point %32.6% · 31.8%Ball care14.8% · 9.6%Off. rebounds18.3% · 29.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Phoenix Suns wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/19ADallas Mavericks109-120
07/04/19AHouston Rockets113-149
06/04/19HNew Orleans Pelicans133-126 OT
04/04/19HUtah Jazz97-118
02/04/19HCleveland Cavaliers122-113
31/03/19HMemphis Grizzlies115-120
28/03/19HWashington Wizards121-124
26/03/19AUtah Jazz92-125
24/03/19ASacramento Kings103-112
22/03/19HDetroit Pistons98-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/19HPortland Trail Blazers96-100
10/05/19APortland Trail Blazers108-119
08/05/19HPortland Trail Blazers124-98
05/05/19APortland Trail Blazers116-112
04/05/19APortland Trail Blazers137-140 OT
02/05/19HPortland Trail Blazers90-97
30/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers121-113
28/04/19HSan Antonio Spurs90-86
26/04/19ASan Antonio Spurs103-120
24/04/19HSan Antonio Spurs108-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns30222129102
Denver Nuggets39271922107
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