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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 105-122
32-37 23-26 26-35 24-24
Position#22
Record26-25
FormWLLLW
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game114.7
vs
Position#9
Record33-19
FormWWWWW
Points / game120.8
Allowed / game115.9
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
92-118
92
118
-26
84avg 108
A20/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
108-84
108
84
+24
106avg 108
A23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
119-109
119
109
+10
114avg 108
H26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
111-109
111
109
+2
102avg 108
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
113-121
113
121
-8
108avg 108
H30/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
130-105
130
105
+25
138avg 108
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
108-127
108
127
-19
96avg 108
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
119-121 OT
119
121
-2
115avg 108
A04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
109-140
109
140
-31
106avg 108
A06/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
135-127 OT
135
127
+8
126avg 108
H08/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
19-32
24-34
22-25
28-16
26-26
28-26
26-16
35-24
33-29
28-32
23-24
34-30
26-17
23-31
28-31
29-22
30-33
18-26
36-40
30-27
32-24
36-28
32-26
27-31
19-30
33-37
29-29
31-31
24-18
25-37
27-21
33-37
30-24
16-43
30-36
20-30
35-25
40-35
27-32
230.5Avg total
114.4Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)113.4114.7228.1-1.351%
Season at home (25)114.3112.3226.6+2.064%
Season away (26)112.6117.0229.6-4.338%
Last 10 (10)114.4116.1230.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)120.2124.0244.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)110.8118.2229.0-7.331%
vs Similar (9)111.3114.1225.4-2.833%
vs Weaker (8)120.5112.9233.4+7.688%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
144-109
144
109
+35
158avg 112
H22/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
132-123
132
123
+9
126avg 112
H24/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
104-133
104
133
-29
98avg 112
A25/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
121-129
121
129
-8
118avg 112
A28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
112-122
112
122
-10
107avg 112
A30/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
137-134
137
134
+3
146avg 112
A01/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
107-104
107
104
+3
103avg 112
A02/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
125-113
125
113
+12
120avg 112
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
144-119
144
119
+25
150avg 112
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
112-90
112
90
+22
117avg 112
H07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
42-40
40-27
27-15
40-31
34-21
36-33
22-38
31-40
29-31
31-38
13-24
35-32
33-29
28-34
25-34
27-31
27-29
32-33
26-29
38-36
35-33
30-31
34-34
27-20
27-26
36-35
17-23
33-23
35-27
25-35
32-28
36-36
32-32
45-27
31-24
25-26
34-24
33-17
20-23
241.4Avg total
123.8Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)120.8115.9236.8+4.963%
Season at home (25)122.2115.2237.4+7.068%
Season away (27)119.6116.7236.3+2.959%
Last 10 (10)123.8117.6241.4+6.270%
Last 5 (5)125.0112.0237.0+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)120.5133.5254.0-13.00%
vs Similar (13)119.5112.3231.8+7.277%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)125.2115.5240.7+9.773%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A20/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H30/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A06/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H08/02
NBA
110.1Avg total
56.8Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.757.1114.8+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.857.9116.7+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)56.956.5113.4+0.559%-
Last 10 (10)56.853.3110.1+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)56.255.4111.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)58.058.0116.0+0.054%-
vs Similar (9)53.756.4110.1-2.844%-
vs Weaker (8)61.956.4118.2+5.562%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H22/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H24/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A25/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A30/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A01/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A02/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
D
68-68
68
68
+0
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H07/02
NBA
124.9Avg total
65.5Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.559.7122.3+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.959.5122.3+3.467%-
Last 30 away (15)62.260.0122.2+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)65.559.4124.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)64.456.6121.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.068.5129.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (13)61.657.0118.6+4.669%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)63.560.9124.5+2.653%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.525.8
55.5%
54.3%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.215.1
38.5%
35.9%45.3
🏀 Free throws20.917.5
83.7%
77.8%17.5
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 123.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers72.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.236.4
62.5%
54.3%72.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.5
35.8%
35.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.316.5
81.3%
77.8%16.5
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLLLWLWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLLLWW
#22
League position
#9
-1.7
Net rating
+6.2
114.0
Offensive rating
123.0
115.7
Defensive rating
116.8
56.5%
Effective FG%
59.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.0%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.5%
3-point %
35.8%
66.3%
Assist %
68.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 123.0Defence115.7 · 116.8Shooting56.5% · 59.4%3-point %38.5% · 35.8%Ball care14.0% · 13.0%Off. rebounds20.5% · 30.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Phoenix Suns wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HUtah Jazz135-127 OT
06/02/25AOklahoma City Thunder109-140
04/02/25APortland Trail Blazers119-121 OT
02/02/25APortland Trail Blazers108-127
01/02/25AGolden State Warriors130-105
30/01/25HMinnesota Timberwolves113-121
28/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers111-109
26/01/25HWashington Wizards119-109
23/01/25ABrooklyn Nets108-84
20/01/25ACleveland Cavaliers92-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25HOrlando Magic112-90
06/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans144-119
04/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans125-113
02/02/25ACharlotte Hornets107-104
01/02/25APhiladelphia 76ers137-134
30/01/25ANew York Knicks112-122
28/01/25AChicago Bulls121-129
25/01/25AMinnesota Timberwolves104-133
24/01/25HSacramento Kings132-123
22/01/25HPhiladelphia 76ers144-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW51%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %51%64%38%
Points / game113.4114.3112.6
Allowed / game114.7112.3117.0
Point differential-1.3+2.0-4.3
Avg total228.1226.6229.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)80% (5)33% (9)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayLLLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522527
Win %63%68%59%
Points / game120.8122.2119.6
Allowed / game115.9115.2116.7
Point differential+4.9+7.0+2.9
Avg total236.8237.4236.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%48%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)57% (7)67% (9)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4940982%118.0105.0+12.9
2 Cleveland Cavaliers52421081%122.4112.1+10.3
3 Boston Celtics53371670%117.5108.7+8.8
4 Memphis Grizzlies52351767%123.5115.6+7.9
5 New York Knicks51341767%118.0111.8+6.2
6 Denver Nuggets52331963%120.8115.9+4.9
7 Houston Rockets50311962%114.0109.4+4.6
8 Los Angeles Lakers50311962%112.8112.1+0.7
9 Indiana Pacers51292257%115.7115.1+0.6
10 Minnesota Timberwolves53302357%111.7108.0+3.8
11 Los Angeles Clippers51282355%110.1107.7+2.4
12 Dallas Mavericks52282454%115.8113.2+2.5
13 Milwaukee Bucks48252352%114.2112.9+1.4
14 Golden State Warriors51262551%112.3112.3+0.0
15 Phoenix Suns51262551%113.4114.7-1.3
16 Miami Heat50252550%110.5110.6-0.2
17 Detroit Pistons52262650%113.0113.8-0.8
18 Orlando Magic53262749%103.9105.5-1.6
19 Sacramento Kings51252649%116.1115.4+0.7
20 Atlanta Hawks51242747%116.7119.4-2.7
21 San Antonio Spurs50222844%112.8114.3-1.5
22 Portland Trail Blazers53233043%108.8113.9-5.1
23 Chicago Bulls53223142%116.6120.3-3.8
24 Philadelphia 76ers51203139%109.1112.9-3.7
25 Brooklyn Nets52183435%105.3111.7-6.4
26 Toronto Raptors52163631%111.2116.9-5.8
27 Charlotte Hornets49133627%107.1112.3-5.2
28 Utah Jazz50123824%111.9118.9-7.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans51123924%110.0118.8-8.7
30 Washington Wizards5294317%107.9121.6-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns32232624105
Denver Nuggets37263524122
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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