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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 102-108
21-28 31-26 21-32 29-22
Position#2
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
14 Oct 2022
GSW112
DEN119
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
06 Oct 2021
GSW118
DEN116
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
10 Jul 2019
GSW73
DEN69
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
30 Sep 2017
GSW102
DEN108
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
13 Oct 2015
GSW103
DEN114
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
24 Oct 2014
GSW119
DEN112
16 Oct 2014
GSW104
DEN101
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
132-113
132
113
+19
H05/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
118-113
118
113
+5
A08/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
116-137
116
137
-21
A10/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
129-120
129
120
+9
H13/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#21
L
93-95
93
95
-2
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
109-100
109
100
+9
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-34
27-30
35-24
30-25
39-32
28-29
22-33
29-19
33-49
35-37
28-29
20-22
33-37
38-23
27-33
31-27
27-27
24-21
27-24
15-23
19-30
12-20
19-24
24-17
9-13
20-24
29-15
15-21
18-17
20-18
16-16
23-18
5-20
25-28
17-27
22-18
21-19
35-35
24-20
29-26
200.2Avg total
99.3Scored
100.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)99.3100.9200.2-1.650%
Last 5 (5)81.086.2167.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.094.7178.7-10.733%
vs Similar (3)82.080.7162.7+1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)118.6105.4224.0+13.292%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
122-106
122
106
+16
H08/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
105-106
105
106
-1
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
109-91
109
91
+18
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
111-105
111
105
+6
A13/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
L
99-102
99
102
-3
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Houston Rockets
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#8
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
21-25
41-24
30-32
26-27
27-25
38-29
14-25
23-26
34-18
26-31
26-16
25-26
31-38
30-21
25-20
17-26
25-26
29-25
28-25
17-22
19-28
19-23
16-17
18-20
19-26
28-17
16-19
20-12
21-24
22-21
24-24
15-22
22-23
13-24
24-16
23-22
23-22
27-23
23-24
189.4Avg total
95.5Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)95.593.9189.4+1.650%
Last 5 (5)81.885.8167.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)97.6102.2199.8-4.60%
vs Similar (22)109.7107.4217.1+2.359%
vs Weaker (3)114.096.3210.3+17.7100%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H05/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A08/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A10/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H13/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#21
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
105.1Avg total
50.8Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.453.1109.6+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.553.0112.5+6.581%-
Last 30 away (14)52.953.3106.2-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)50.854.3105.1-3.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.881.6-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.050.789.7-11.733%-
vs Similar (3)39.340.079.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)60.855.1115.8+5.775%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H08/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A13/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Houston Rockets
#14
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
93.9Avg total
45.6Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.452.9107.3+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.952.3105.2+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)55.853.6109.4+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)45.648.393.9-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.283.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)49.052.6101.6-3.640%-
vs Similar (22)54.954.0108.9+0.950%-
vs Weaker (3)59.345.7105.0+13.7100%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 122.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.430.6
57.3%
51.0%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.513.6
39.4%
36.1%40.8
🏀 Free throws25.420.7
81.5%
76.5%20.7
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.132.1
54.3%
51.0%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.5
34.0%
36.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.416.1
78.9%
76.5%16.1
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WLWLLLWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLWLLLWWLW
#2
League position
#12
+12.0
Net rating
-0.3
118.7
Offensive rating
109.4
106.7
Defensive rating
109.7
58.0%
Effective FG%
53.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.5%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.4%
3-point %
34.0%
65.4%
Assist %
62.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.7 · 109.4Defence106.7 · 109.7Shooting58.0% · 53.2%3-point %39.4% · 34.0%Ball care14.6% · 12.5%Off. rebounds25.6% · 20.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/07/17ALos Angeles Clippers109-100
13/07/17ABoston Celtics69-93
12/07/17AMinnesota Timberwolves77-69
12/07/17AMinnesota Timberwolves76-78 OT
11/07/17ACleveland Cavaliers74-91
09/07/17HPhiladelphia 76ers93-95
13/06/17HCleveland Cavaliers129-120
10/06/17ACleveland Cavaliers116-137
08/06/17ACleveland Cavaliers118-113
05/06/17HCleveland Cavaliers132-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/17HNew Orleans Pelicans96-91
13/07/17ABrooklyn Nets74-85
12/07/17AHouston Rockets87-81
11/07/17AToronto Raptors81-82
09/07/17HMinnesota Timberwolves71-90
08/07/17HHouston Rockets99-102
13/04/17AOklahoma City Thunder111-105
12/04/17ADallas Mavericks109-91
09/04/17HOklahoma City Thunder105-106
08/04/17HNew Orleans Pelicans122-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors21312129102
Denver Nuggets28263222108
← all games of the day
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