PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 117-130
28-39 26-29 36-29 27-33
Position#26
Record22-58
FormLLLLL
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game125.6
vs
Position#6
Record51-30
FormWWWWW
Points / game120.5
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· Delta Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
12 Dec 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
06 Oct 2026
UTA106
DEN117
01 Apr 2026
UTA117
DEN130
02 Mar 2026
UTA125
DEN128
30 Dec 2024
UTA121
DEN132
27 Nov 2024
UTA103
DEN122
09 Apr 2024
UTA95
DEN111
10 Jan 2024
UTA124
DEN111
12 Jul 2023
UTA96
DEN91
08 Apr 2023
UTA118
DEN114
19 Oct 2022
UTA123
DEN102
17 Jul 2022
UTA82
DEN72
02 Feb 2022
UTA108
DEN104
26 Oct 2021
UTA122
DEN110
07 May 2021
UTA127
DEN120
30 Aug 2020
UTA107
DEN119
23 Aug 2020
UTA129
DEN127
21 Aug 2020
UTA124
DEN87
14 Apr 2020
UTA v DEN
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
UTA95
DEN98
09 Apr 2019
UTA118
DEN108
23 Jan 2019
UTA114
DEN108
28 Nov 2017
UTA106
DEN77
18 Oct 2017
UTA106
DEN96
03 Dec 2016
UTA105
DEN98
23 Nov 2016
UTA108
DEN83
03 Feb 2016
UTA85
DEN81
18 Dec 2015
UTA97
DEN88
22 Oct 2015
UTA98
DEN78
01 Apr 2015
UTA98
DEN84
01 Dec 2014
UTA101
DEN103
13 Jan 2014
UTA118
DEN103
11 Nov 2013
UTA81
DEN100
03 Apr 2013
UTA96
DEN113
26 Nov 2012
UTA105
DEN103
23 Mar 2012
UTA121
DEN102
13 Apr 2011
UTA107
DEN103
03 Mar 2011
UTA101
DEN103
30 Apr 2010
UTA112
DEN104
25 Apr 2010
UTA117
DEN106
23 Apr 2010
UTA105
DEN93
06 Feb 2010
UTA116
DEN106
02 Jan 2010
UTA95
DEN105
06 Mar 2009
UTA97
DEN91
29 Oct 2008
UTA98
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Utah Jazz
4.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 115.6
117.6▲ 2.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 123.8
133.4▲ 9.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
58%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 28.2
30.8▲ 2.6
🔥 Form · Denver Nuggets
4.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 117.3
129.2▲ 11.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 114.4
118.4▲ 4.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
65%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 27.3
34.6▲ 7.3
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
114-124
114
124
-10
A14/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
111-116
111
116
-5
A16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
111-147
111
147
-36
A19/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
128-96
128
96
+32
H20/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
116-126
116
126
-10
H22/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
127-143
127
143
-16
H24/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
110-133
110
133
-23
H26/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
129-135
129
135
-6
A28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
109-134
109
134
-25
A29/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-122
113
122
-9
H31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-28
20-38
31-29
25-29
28-26
21-28
39-35
23-27
31-43
27-29
26-38
27-37
30-19
34-25
30-29
34-23
34-38
36-26
24-31
22-31
25-31
33-37
30-49
39-26
20-33
25-39
30-32
35-29
26-37
36-25
43-36
24-37
21-39
24-34
38-35
26-26
29-31
24-32
36-31
24-28
244.4Avg total
116.8Scored
127.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)117.6125.6243.2-8.028%
Season at home (41)120.5126.7247.2-6.334%
Season away (39)114.6124.4238.9-9.821%
Last 10 (10)116.8127.6244.4-10.810%
Last 5 (5)117.6133.4251.0-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)114.9125.7240.7-10.811%
vs Similar (11)114.4114.6229.0-0.336%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
136-131
136
131
+5
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
124-96
124
96
+28
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
118-125
118
125
-7
A19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
121-115
121
115
+6
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
128-112
128
112
+16
H22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
125-123
125
123
+2
A25/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
142-135
142
135
+7
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
135-129
135
129
+6
H28/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
116-93
116
93
+23
H30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
28-32
41-37
42-25
26-34
24-27
37-26
31-31
38-22
34-18
28-31
24-25
30-31
30-29
31-39
27-26
27-30
30-23
28-41
36-21
42-40
33-29
32-24
21-19
28-35
39-22
30-38
28-28
34-33
34-26
43-41
31-35
37-26
25-36
36-43
37-24
23-28
23-25
40-21
30-19
245.6Avg total
127.0Scored
118.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)120.5116.0236.6+4.563%
Season at home (39)119.4114.7234.2+4.764%
Season away (42)121.5117.3238.8+4.362%
Last 10 (10)127.0118.6245.6+8.480%
Last 5 (5)129.2118.4247.6+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)123.5127.0250.5-3.525%
vs Similar (14)117.3116.0233.3+1.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)127.5115.4242.9+12.183%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +5.4+5.4
Utah JazzDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A14/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A19/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H20/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H22/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H24/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
45-72
45
72
-27
H26/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
45-73
45
73
-28
A29/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H31/03
NBA
120.0Avg total
56.2Scored
63.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.359.6116.9-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.560.7119.2-2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)56.258.5114.7-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)56.263.8120.0-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)52.667.6120.2-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)58.161.4119.5-3.347%-
vs Similar (11)56.056.5112.5-0.536%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
72-40
72
40
+32
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A25/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H28/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H30/03
NBA
119.3Avg total
61.0Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.957.4116.3+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.254.6112.8+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)59.861.0120.8-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)61.058.3119.3+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)63.660.0123.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.861.8118.5-5.025%-
vs Similar (14)54.254.9109.1-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)65.158.9124.0+6.250%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 115.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.530.7
53.4%
54.8%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.111.9
36.0%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws24.918.6
74.7%
78.1%18.6
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 127.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.028.9
57.8%
54.8%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.816.2
41.8%
35.8%48.6
🏀 Free throws25.420.6
81.1%
78.1%20.6
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LLLLLLWLLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWLWLW
#26
League position
#6
-14.1
Net rating
+8.0
103.6
Offensive rating
121.4
117.7
Defensive rating
113.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
59.9%
60.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.1%
Turnover %
11.7%
2.5%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
41.8%
67.8%
Assist %
72.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 121.4Defence117.7 · 113.4Shooting53.6% · 59.9%3-point %36.0% · 41.8%Ball care13.1% · 11.7%Off. rebounds2.5% · 23.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Utah Jazz wins
9
Denver Nuggets wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/26HCleveland Cavaliers113-122
29/03/26APhoenix Suns109-134
28/03/26ADenver Nuggets129-135
26/03/26HWashington Wizards110-133
24/03/26HToronto Raptors127-143
22/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers116-126
20/03/26HMilwaukee Bucks128-96
19/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-147
16/03/26ASacramento Kings111-116
14/03/26APortland Trail Blazers114-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/26HGolden State Warriors116-93
28/03/26HUtah Jazz135-129
26/03/26HDallas Mavericks142-135
25/03/26APhoenix Suns125-123
22/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-112
21/03/26HToronto Raptors121-115
19/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies118-125
18/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers124-96
15/03/26ALos Angeles Lakers125-127 OT
13/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs136-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeWLLLL34%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804139
Win %28%34%21%
Points / game117.6120.5114.6
Allowed / game125.6126.7124.4
Point differential-8.0-6.3-9.8
Avg total243.2247.2238.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (22)64% (11)27% (11)
Overtime %8%10%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games813942
Win %63%64%62%
Points / game120.5119.4121.5
Allowed / game116.0114.7117.3
Point differential+4.5+4.7+4.3
Avg total236.6234.2238.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (28)44% (9)53% (19)
Overtime %9%5%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder80631779%117.8107.9+9.9
2 San Antonio Spurs77591877%119.8111.3+8.5
3 Detroit Pistons80572371%117.4109.7+7.7
4 Boston Celtics80542668%114.6107.1+7.5
5 New York Knicks80512964%115.8110.1+5.7
6 Houston Rockets80512964%115.3110.5+4.8
7 Denver Nuggets81513063%120.5116.0+4.5
8 Los Angeles Lakers81513063%115.8114.4+1.4
9 Cleveland Cavaliers80483260%119.0115.5+3.6
10 Minnesota Timberwolves80473359%117.9114.5+3.4
11 Phoenix Suns79453457%113.3110.5+2.8
12 Toronto Raptors81463557%114.5112.3+2.2
13 Atlanta Hawks81463557%118.3116.3+1.9
14 Orlando Magic78433555%115.6114.9+0.7
15 Philadelphia 76ers80433754%115.9116.5-0.6
16 Los Angeles Clippers79413852%113.5112.0+1.5
17 Charlotte Hornets81423952%116.4112.0+4.4
18 Portland Trail Blazers81404149%115.6116.5-0.8
19 Miami Heat82404249%119.8118.4+1.5
20 Golden State Warriors80394149%114.9114.8+0.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks80334741%110.8116.3-5.5
22 Chicago Bulls81324940%116.7121.3-4.6
23 Dallas Mavericks80275334%113.4118.2-4.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies81265532%115.2120.0-4.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans78255332%115.4119.8-4.4
26 Utah Jazz80225828%117.6125.6-8.0
27 Sacramento Kings81216026%111.0121.0-10.0
28 Indiana Pacers80206025%112.8120.8-8.0
29 Brooklyn Nets79196024%106.5115.6-9.2
30 Washington Wizards79186123%112.6123.8-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Jazz28263627117
Denver Nuggets39292933130
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.