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Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record7-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game116.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
L
110-120
110
120
-10
92avg 107
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
117-129
117
129
-12
111avg 107
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
114-111
114
111
+3
113avg 107
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
99-121
99
121
-22
32avg 107
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
108-104
108
104
+4
92avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
120-105
120
105
+15
118avg 107
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
139-132
139
132
+7
139avg 107
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
124-121
124
121
+3
108avg 107
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
114-124
114
124
-10
109avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
117-125 OT
117
125
-8
103avg 107
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
18-33
30-30
26-29
25-29
37-29
31-27
19-23
21-25
37-32
31-29
25-24
27-20
28-32
38-27
39-35
34-38
27-37
39-33
22-25
36-26
22-31
35-37
33-27
24-29
24-33
29-27
30-24
27-26
235.4Avg total
116.2Scored
119.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.2116.8235.0+1.354%
Season at home (6)120.3123.0243.3-2.750%
Season away (7)116.3111.6227.9+4.757%
Last 10 (10)116.2119.2235.4-3.050%
Last 5 (5)122.8121.4244.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)106.8116.9223.8-10.131%
vs Similar ◀ (7)118.0116.0234.0+2.057%
vs Weaker (10)126.9113.7240.6+13.280%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 113
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 113
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 113
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 113
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 113
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 113
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 113
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 113
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 113
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 113
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
232.2Avg total
117.7Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.6112.8227.5+1.864%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (7)109.7106.4216.1+3.371%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.5232.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.4225.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.0113.2228.2+1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)113.9115.5229.4-1.554%
vs Weaker (13)126.5116.8243.2+9.792%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A14/11
NBA
120.7Avg total
59.4Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.758.5118.1+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.158.2114.4-2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)62.858.7121.4+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)59.461.3120.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)62.063.6125.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)54.660.0114.6-5.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)61.657.3118.9+4.371%-
vs Weaker (10)64.957.3122.2+7.670%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A15/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.6Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.762.4124.1-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)57.853.5111.3+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.0110.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.553.8111.2+3.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)58.258.0116.2+0.246%-
vs Weaker (13)62.359.8122.2+2.554%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.430.3
55.7%
54.0%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.213.1
31.8%
35.1%39.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.0
75.8%
77.3%16.0
They take 95.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.3%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLWWWWLWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWWLW
#13
League position
#10
-8.0
Net rating
-1.6
109.5
Offensive rating
110.1
117.6
Defensive rating
111.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
13.8%
Turnover %
11.1%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
16.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.8%
3-point %
32.2%
69.6%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 110.1Defence117.6 · 111.6Shooting52.2% · 53.6%3-point %31.8% · 32.2%Ball care13.8% · 11.1%Off. rebounds26.3% · 16.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Atlanta Hawks wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChicago Bulls117-125 OT
10/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers114-124
08/11/26HBrooklyn Nets124-121
07/11/26HWashington Wizards139-132
05/11/26AWashington Wizards120-105
03/11/26AIndiana Pacers108-104
31/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans99-121
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans116-108
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game118.2120.3116.3
Allowed / game116.8123.0111.6
Point differential+1.3-2.7+4.7
Avg total235.0243.3227.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game114.6123.2109.7
Allowed / game112.8124.0106.4
Point differential+1.8-0.8+3.3
Avg total227.5247.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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