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Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 115-123
31-29 25-35 30-27 29-32
Position#27
Record8-28
FormLLWLW
Points / game107.3
Allowed / game117.2
vs
Position#9
Record24-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game108.8
Allowed / game104.9
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
96-101
96
101
-5
81avg 100
H15/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
120-143
120
143
-23
99avg 100
A18/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
106-111
106
111
-5
95avg 100
H20/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
112-122
112
122
-10
90avg 100
A21/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
118-121
118
121
-3
102avg 100
A24/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
86-112
86
112
-26
70avg 100
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
81-116
81
116
-35
69avg 100
A29/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
101-93
101
93
+8
99avg 100
A31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
106-109
106
109
-3
94avg 100
A04/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
116-111
116
111
+5
110avg 100
H05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
23-31
30-27
18-19
27-41
26-36
31-32
36-34
30-28
26-24
28-31
22-28
34-34
39-26
25-25
14-37
32-42
32-29
30-23
24-27
19-32
21-31
23-21
23-28
19-35
24-29
22-19
16-33
25-21
22-36
27-15
27-21
32-19
23-34
25-29
26-27
43-26
21-34
32-35
20-16
218.1Avg total
104.2Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)107.3117.2224.5-9.822%
Season at home (16)105.9111.1217.0-5.125%
Season away (20)108.5122.0230.5-13.620%
Last 10 (10)104.2113.9218.1-9.720%
Last 5 (5)98.0108.2206.2-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)106.5120.8227.3-14.412%
vs Similar (5)115.4115.0230.4+0.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
113-104
113
104
+9
115avg 103
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
109-100
109
100
+9
105avg 103
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
128-104
128
104
+24
124avg 103
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
113-111
113
111
+2
116avg 103
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
100-112
100
112
-12
86avg 103
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 103
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 103
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
104-130
104
130
-26
90avg 103
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
124-116
124
116
+8
123avg 103
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
114-128
114
128
-14
96avg 103
A05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
18-28
39-16
29-28
33-20
28-31
21-24
27-25
23-28
32-25
36-25
37-26
34-22
22-27
26-32
31-30
26-29
29-29
25-26
20-28
26-11
24-28
32-29
37-42
31-32
31-25
26-24
32-34
26-38
26-31
37-23
15-38
27-37
35-27
30-24
32-28
19-31
36-30
35-34
24-33
227.4Avg total
114.4Scored
113.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)108.8104.9213.7+3.869%
Season at home (19)109.0103.5212.5+5.579%
Season away (16)108.5106.6215.1+1.956%
Last 10 (10)114.4113.0227.4+1.470%
Last 5 (5)116.2119.8236.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)103.8102.2206.0+1.550%
vs Similar (19)108.5104.2212.7+4.374%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)114.4107.4221.9+7.071%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H15/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A18/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H20/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A21/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A24/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
40-63
40
63
-23
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
43-64
43
64
-21
A29/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A04/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H05/01
NBA
115.5Avg total
54.3Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.060.3114.3-6.333%-
Last 30 at home (12)52.256.0108.2-3.850%-
Last 30 away (18)55.363.2118.4-7.922%-
Last 10 (10)54.361.2115.5-6.940%-
Last 5 (5)49.859.4109.2-9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)53.660.6114.2-7.032%-
vs Similar (5)56.259.0115.2-2.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A05/01
NBA
111.4Avg total
55.3Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.552.8107.3+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.252.7106.9+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)54.952.8107.8+2.146%-
Last 10 (10)55.356.1111.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)56.258.0114.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.550.098.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (19)53.953.4107.3+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)59.652.7112.3+6.957%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 104.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.326.4
50.5%
52.3%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.512.0
31.2%
35.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.915.4
81.5%
77.2%15.4
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.932.9
55.9%
52.3%65.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.8
33.7%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.819.2
84.2%
77.2%19.2
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WLWLLLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LWLWWLWWWW
#27
League position
#9
-9.1
Net rating
+1.4
97.9
Offensive rating
115.5
107.0
Defensive rating
114.1
48.9%
Effective FG%
54.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.4%
16.8%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.2%
3-point %
33.7%
56.0%
Assist %
61.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 115.5Defence107.0 · 114.1Shooting48.9% · 54.1%3-point %31.2% · 33.7%Ball care14.5% · 13.4%Off. rebounds16.8% · 28.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Atlanta Hawks wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/20HIndiana Pacers116-111
04/01/20ABoston Celtics106-109
31/12/19AOrlando Magic101-93
29/12/19AChicago Bulls81-116
28/12/19HMilwaukee Bucks86-112
24/12/19ACleveland Cavaliers118-121
21/12/19ABrooklyn Nets112-122
20/12/19HUtah Jazz106-111
18/12/19ANew York Knicks120-143
15/12/19HLos Angeles Lakers96-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/20AWashington Wizards114-128
03/01/20AIndiana Pacers124-116
01/01/20AHouston Rockets104-130
30/12/19HSacramento Kings120-115
28/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies119-110
26/12/19HNew Orleans Pelicans100-112
24/12/19APhoenix Suns113-111
23/12/19ALos Angeles Lakers128-104
21/12/19HMinnesota Timberwolves109-100
19/12/19HOrlando Magic113-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW22%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361620
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game107.3105.9108.5
Allowed / game117.2111.1122.0
Point differential-9.8-5.1-13.6
Avg total224.5217.0230.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%6%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)33% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %69%79%56%
Points / game108.8109.0108.5
Allowed / game104.9103.5106.6
Point differential+3.8+5.5+1.9
Avg total213.7212.5215.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%26%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %9%5%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks3732586%119.6106.8+12.8
2 Los Angeles Lakers3629781%112.7105.4+7.3
3 Boston Celtics3425974%110.9103.5+7.3
4 Miami Heat36261072%111.1107.3+3.8
5 Houston Rockets35241169%119.4113.9+5.5
6 Denver Nuggets35241169%108.8104.9+3.8
7 Los Angeles Clippers38261268%115.8109.8+6.0
8 Toronto Raptors36241267%110.8105.2+5.6
9 Utah Jazz35231266%107.9105.3+2.6
10 Philadelphia 76ers38241463%109.8105.9+3.8
11 Dallas Mavericks35221363%116.6109.3+7.4
12 Indiana Pacers37231462%109.5106.2+3.3
13 Oklahoma City Thunder36201656%108.8107.5+1.3
14 Orlando Magic37172046%103.2103.8-0.6
15 Brooklyn Nets35161946%109.7111.7-1.9
16 San Antonio Spurs34142041%113.2115.1-1.9
17 Portland Trail Blazers37152241%112.3114.0-1.7
18 Memphis Grizzlies37152241%112.4116.4-4.0
19 Minnesota Timberwolves35142140%111.8114.3-2.5
20 Phoenix Suns36142239%114.2115.2-1.0
21 Charlotte Hornets39152438%104.4111.0-6.6
22 Chicago Bulls36132336%105.6106.9-1.3
23 Sacramento Kings36132336%105.9109.0-3.1
24 Detroit Pistons37132435%108.2111.0-2.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans36122433%112.4116.6-4.2
26 Washington Wizards36122433%115.6120.1-4.5
27 New York Knicks36102628%104.7111.8-7.1
28 Cleveland Cavaliers36102628%104.4113.6-9.2
29 Golden State Warriors3792824%105.3113.0-7.7
30 Atlanta Hawks3682822%107.3117.2-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks31253029115
Denver Nuggets29352732123
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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