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Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 100-105
23-26 29-27 19-22 29-30
Position#28
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game102.5
vs
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game103.9
USANBA· Philips Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#16
L
90-96
90
96
-6
A01/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
109-93
109
93
+16
A04/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
87-109
87
109
-22
A06/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H09/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
94-108
94
108
-14
H12/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
117-111
117
111
+6
A19/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
91-109
91
109
-18
A20/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
104-116
104
116
-12
A22/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
17-20
24-35
24-22
20-28
27-22
28-19
34-24
29-29
14-19
21-37
23-24
23-16
28-25
18-21
30-26
19-31
22-26
30-24
23-27
27-24
31-23
24-35
35-29
28-18
28-31
17-35
18-25
25-19
28-37
24-35
27-25
23-26
21-36
29-15
20-27
20-18
19-19
20-28
27-26
199.5Avg total
97.0Scored
102.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.0102.5199.5-5.530%
Season at home (2)96.598.0194.5-1.550%
Season away (8)97.1103.6200.8-6.525%
Last 10 (10)97.0102.5199.5-5.530%
Last 5 (5)98.2106.2204.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)94.0102.2196.2-8.220%
vs Similar (18)103.4103.1206.5+0.344%
vs Weaker (7)88.986.0174.9+2.971%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
108-102
108
102
+6
A01/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
113-107
113
107
+6
A03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
122-104
122
104
+18
A05/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
100-122
100
122
-22
A08/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
96-106
96
106
-10
A19/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H22/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
104-109
104
109
-5
H24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
93-110
93
110
-17
A25/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
23-22
27-23
23-24
28-21
26-31
32-21
22-29
26-31
35-25
30-24
22-27
41-30
33-22
29-23
19-29
32-35
22-31
28-17
18-39
17-25
22-24
25-20
22-27
30-21
28-28
25-29
13-28
17-18
25-16
24-18
30-27
29-29
26-27
22-22
27-31
23-27
16-35
29-23
25-25
204.0Avg total
101.4Scored
102.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)102.0103.9205.9-1.944%
Season at home (3)95.394.7190.0+0.733%
Season away (6)105.3108.5213.8-3.250%
Last 10 (10)101.4102.6204.0-1.250%
Last 5 (5)95.0100.0195.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)99.3102.2201.5-2.817%
vs Similar (23)107.0107.5214.5-0.552%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)96.079.0175.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -6.5-6.5
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A04/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A06/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H09/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H12/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A19/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A20/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A22/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A27/10
NBA
96.0Avg total
47.4Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.148.496.5-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (11)51.151.5102.5-0.455%-
Last 30 away (19)46.446.693.0-0.242%-
Last 10 (10)47.448.696.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)50.050.2100.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)46.449.696.0-3.240%-
vs Similar (18)50.250.2100.3+0.050%-
vs Weaker (7)44.142.987.0+1.343%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A01/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
74-52
74
52
+22
A05/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A08/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A19/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H22/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A25/10
NBA
104.2Avg total
52.2Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.253.3106.5-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (12)49.349.899.2-0.558%-
Last 30 away (18)55.855.6111.4+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)52.252.0104.2+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.650.096.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.852.5102.3-2.750%-
vs Similar (23)54.654.3108.9+0.252%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.326.2
45.7%
51.0%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.1
32.9%
36.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.417.3
80.8%
76.5%17.3
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.725.9
46.5%
51.0%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.1
37.6%
36.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws23.016.5
71.7%
76.5%16.5
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLLLWLWLWL
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLLWWWW
#28
League position
#12
-8.1
Net rating
-1.1
96.1
Offensive rating
100.3
104.2
Defensive rating
101.4
46.9%
Effective FG%
49.9%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.9%
3-point %
37.6%
60.3%
Assist %
63.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 100.3Defence104.2 · 101.4Shooting46.9% · 49.9%3-point %32.9% · 37.6%Ball care16.1% · 16.7%Off. rebounds20.5% · 22.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Atlanta Hawks wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/17AChicago Bulls86-91
23/10/17AMiami Heat93-104
22/10/17ABrooklyn Nets104-116
20/10/17ACharlotte Hornets91-109
19/10/17ADallas Mavericks117-111
12/10/17HDallas Mavericks94-108
09/10/17HMemphis Grizzlies99-88
06/10/17ADetroit Pistons87-109
04/10/17ACleveland Cavaliers109-93
01/10/17AMiami Heat90-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/17ACharlotte Hornets93-110
24/10/17HWashington Wizards104-109
22/10/17HSacramento Kings96-79
19/10/17AUtah Jazz96-106
11/10/17HOklahoma City Thunder86-96
08/10/17ASan Antonio Spurs100-122
05/10/17ALos Angeles Lakers122-104
03/10/17ALos Angeles Lakers113-107
01/10/17AGolden State Warriors108-102
15/07/17HNew Orleans Pelicans96-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1028
Win %30%50%25%
Points / game97.096.597.1
Allowed / game102.598.0103.6
Point differential-5.5-1.5-6.5
Avg total199.5194.5200.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%33%50%
Points / game102.095.3105.3
Allowed / game103.994.7108.5
Point differential-1.9+0.7-3.2
Avg total205.9190.0213.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets108280%105.799.4+6.3
2 Boston Celtics97278%103.695.6+8.0
3 Washington Wizards86275%109.2105.9+3.4
4 Portland Trail Blazers107370%111.699.0+12.6
5 Memphis Grizzlies107370%102.395.0+7.3
6 San Antonio Spurs107370%103.898.6+5.2
7 Los Angeles Clippers96367%107.7100.4+7.2
8 Brooklyn Nets96367%117.7112.0+5.7
9 Orlando Magic117464%107.6101.5+6.1
10 Utah Jazz85362%101.098.0+3.0
11 Oklahoma City Thunder74357%102.096.0+6.0
12 Toronto Raptors95456%111.2103.0+8.2
13 Golden State Warriors95456%117.3111.4+5.9
14 Detroit Pistons105550%105.1102.5+2.6
15 Indiana Pacers84450%109.6109.1+0.5
16 Miami Heat105550%102.0106.4-4.4
17 Minnesota Timberwolves84450%106.4113.1-6.8
18 Denver Nuggets94544%102.0103.9-1.9
19 Milwaukee Bucks94544%100.9104.8-3.9
20 Dallas Mavericks125742%100.2102.3-2.1
21 Charlotte Hornets104640%100.3101.1-0.8
22 Cleveland Cavaliers104640%103.4106.5-3.1
23 Los Angeles Lakers104640%103.3107.7-4.4
24 Chicago Bulls104640%98.5106.4-7.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans93633%105.1111.6-6.4
26 Phoenix Suns93633%103.2116.2-13.0
27 Philadelphia 76ers103730%104.1108.3-4.2
28 Atlanta Hawks103730%97.0102.5-5.5
29 Sacramento Kings112918%94.3102.4-8.1
30 New York Knicks8080%96.0111.1-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks23291929100
Denver Nuggets26272230105
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