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Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 123-115
27-33 37-23 29-20 30-39
Position#10
Record14-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game113.6
vs
Position#6
Record18-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game110.3
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
99-107
99
107
-8
95avg 106
H02/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
116-122
116
122
-6
114avg 106
H04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
91-112
91
112
-21
73avg 106
H05/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
132-121
132
121
+11
139avg 106
H07/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
117-118
117
118
-1
no box
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
114-125
114
125
-11
99avg 106
H13/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
113-125
113
125
-12
109avg 106
H14/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
112-123
112
123
-11
99avg 106
A16/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
122-114
122
114
+8
116avg 106
A18/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
109-121
109
121
-12
96avg 106
A20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
21-22
30-25
23-32
22-26
34-27
27-35
33-34
16-20
21-25
26-35
28-32
28-34
38-29
35-31
31-27
32-33
30-19
28-29
27-37
29-36
19-41
24-33
42-15
26-27
32-35
29-22
26-41
28-39
35-27
27-29
22-28
33-35
29-21
28-25
32-33
22-33
19-33
32-32
36-23
231.3Avg total
112.5Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)112.9113.6226.5-0.642%
Season at home (17)111.4111.9223.3-0.641%
Season away (16)114.6115.3229.9-0.744%
Last 10 (10)112.5118.8231.3-6.320%
Last 5 (5)114.0121.6235.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)98.3107.3205.7-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (22)115.1115.9231.0-0.836%
vs Weaker (5)113.2105.2218.4+8.080%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
W
128-117
128
117
+11
124avg 107
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
93-114
93
114
-21
76avg 107
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 107
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
112-125
112
125
-13
no box
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
133-95
133
95
+38
no box
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
97-95
97
95
+2
88avg 107
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
122-105
122
105
+17
118avg 107
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
99-112
99
112
-13
92avg 107
A17/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
128-130
128
130
-2
119avg 107
A18/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
120-103
120
103
+17
116avg 107
A20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-29
36-25
24-37
25-26
30-27
28-19
17-37
18-31
25-26
27-27
29-34
33-32
42-37
20-22
26-34
24-32
34-17
30-26
36-23
33-29
16-28
24-25
30-26
27-16
33-33
40-28
30-24
19-20
26-30
28-29
21-27
24-26
41-24
23-46
29-30
35-30
33-23
36-27
26-30
25-23
226.1Avg total
114.6Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)115.9110.3226.2+5.756%
Season at home (16)117.6109.0226.6+8.662%
Season away (16)114.2111.6225.8+2.750%
Last 10 (10)114.6111.5226.1+3.150%
Last 5 (5)113.2109.0222.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)114.2111.6225.9+2.653%
vs Weaker (13)118.2109.9228.2+8.362%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H02/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H05/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H07/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
48-77
48
77
-29
H13/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H14/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A16/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A18/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
41-66
41
66
-25
A20/02
NBA
112.9Avg total
53.9Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.956.4112.3-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.154.6107.7-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)58.758.2116.9+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)53.959.0112.9-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)54.465.4119.8-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.352.0101.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)56.558.6115.1-2.150%-
vs Weaker (5)57.249.2106.4+8.080%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A17/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A18/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A20/02
NBA
116.3Avg total
61.5Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.055.1116.1+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.255.3117.5+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)59.754.9114.7+4.853%-
Last 10 (10)61.554.8116.3+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)60.058.6118.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)61.955.2117.2+6.771%-
vs Weaker (13)59.755.0114.7+4.754%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.727.9
52.0%
52.8%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.6
35.9%
36.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws25.821.7
84.1%
77.7%21.7
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.029.1
54.9%
52.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.314.0
39.7%
36.6%42.0
🏀 Free throws17.914.4
80.4%
77.7%14.4
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LWLLLLWLLL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWLLLW
#10
League position
#6
-6.5
Net rating
+3.5
111.9
Offensive rating
115.6
118.4
Defensive rating
112.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.7%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.1%
Turnover %
11.8%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.9%
3-point %
39.7%
63.0%
Assist %
58.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 115.6Defence118.4 · 112.0Shooting52.7% · 56.7%3-point %35.9% · 39.7%Ball care13.1% · 11.8%Off. rebounds23.5% · 21.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Atlanta Hawks wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21ABoston Celtics109-121
18/02/21ABoston Celtics122-114
16/02/21ANew York Knicks112-123
14/02/21HIndiana Pacers113-125
13/02/21HSan Antonio Spurs114-125
11/02/21ADallas Mavericks117-118
07/02/21HToronto Raptors132-121
05/02/21HUtah Jazz91-112
04/02/21HDallas Mavericks116-122
02/02/21HLos Angeles Lakers99-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers120-103
18/02/21AWashington Wizards128-130
17/02/21ABoston Celtics99-112
15/02/21HLos Angeles Lakers122-105
13/02/21HOklahoma City Thunder97-95
11/02/21HCleveland Cavaliers133-95
09/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks112-125
06/02/21ASacramento Kings114-119
05/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers93-114
31/01/21HUtah Jazz128-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeLLWLL41%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %42%41%44%
Points / game112.9111.4114.6
Allowed / game113.6111.9115.3
Point differential-0.6-0.6-0.7
Avg total226.5223.3229.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%18%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game115.9117.6114.2
Allowed / game110.3109.0111.6
Point differential+5.7+8.6+2.7
Avg total226.2226.6225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3327682%115.8105.8+10.0
2 Los Angeles Lakers3526974%111.7105.1+6.6
3 Philadelphia 76ers33221167%113.9110.9+3.0
4 Los Angeles Clippers34221265%113.9109.2+4.7
5 Brooklyn Nets33211264%120.9116.3+4.6
6 Phoenix Suns33191458%111.5108.5+3.0
7 Portland Trail Blazers33191458%114.5115.7-1.2
8 Denver Nuggets32181456%115.9110.3+5.7
9 Memphis Grizzlies30161453%112.1111.8+0.3
10 San Antonio Spurs30161453%110.4112.4-1.9
11 Toronto Raptors34181653%112.7110.1+2.6
12 Golden State Warriors34181653%114.1112.4+1.6
13 Milwaukee Bucks33171652%118.0112.9+5.1
14 New York Knicks35181751%103.1101.9+1.2
15 Chicago Bulls33161748%113.8114.1-0.2
16 Dallas Mavericks31151648%113.8114.6-0.8
17 New Orleans Pelicans32151747%115.2114.3+0.8
18 Indiana Pacers32151747%112.7111.9+0.8
19 Boston Celtics32151747%109.8109.8-0.1
20 Charlotte Hornets33151845%111.1111.7-0.6
21 Houston Rockets32141844%109.9110.2-0.3
22 Miami Heat32141844%106.7109.9-3.2
23 Orlando Magic35152043%106.6111.5-5.0
24 Atlanta Hawks33141942%112.9113.6-0.6
25 Sacramento Kings33141942%113.3118.8-5.5
26 Oklahoma City Thunder33132039%107.4112.6-5.2
27 Washington Wizards30111937%112.6117.6-5.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers35122334%103.3112.7-9.3
29 Detroit Pistons34102429%106.2109.9-3.7
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3482624%108.0115.2-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks27372930123
Denver Nuggets33232039115
← all games of the day
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