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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 107-124
32-40 29-35 27-33 19-16
Position#11
Record14-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game105.6
vs
Position#12
Record12-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game108.1
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
100-119
100
119
-19
96avg 106
A24/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
109-120
109
120
-11
92avg 106
H27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
120-111
120
111
+9
123avg 106
A30/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
103-108
103
108
-5
93avg 106
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
113-99
113
99
+14
114avg 106
A04/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
97-109
97
109
-12
89avg 106
A07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
120-114 OT
120
114
+6
110avg 106
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
111-123
111
123
-12
98avg 106
A10/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
127-112
127
112
+15
124avg 106
A12/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
113-107
113
107
+6
114avg 106
H14/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-33
25-33
27-24
21-29
16-27
31-31
26-32
36-30
32-23
31-20
32-35
25-33
29-15
34-32
20-32
20-29
30-25
30-24
32-22
21-28
27-18
22-28
22-31
26-32
35-33
29-24
16-20
25-28
29-37
36-37
25-26
21-23
28-29
44-27
31-18
24-38
29-22
30-19
32-29
22-37
223.5Avg total
111.3Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)105.8105.6211.4+0.352%
Season at home (12)104.399.4203.8+4.967%
Season away (15)107.0110.5217.5-3.540%
Last 10 (10)111.3112.2223.5-0.950%
Last 5 (5)113.6113.0226.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.5112.0215.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)106.0107.7213.7-1.741%
vs Weaker (6)106.0103.5209.5+2.567%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#4
W
113-101
113
101
+12
105avg 101
H25/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
115-133
115
133
-18
100avg 101
A27/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
121-120 OT
121
120
+1
113avg 101
A27/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
100-98
100
98
+2
95avg 101
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
107-115
107
115
-8
89avg 101
A02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
105-110
105
110
-5
90avg 101
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
110-121
110
121
-11
96avg 101
H07/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
104-136
104
136
-32
82avg 101
H09/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
106-123
106
123
-17
91avg 101
H11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
116-111
116
111
+5
106avg 101
A13/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
24-35
32-20
27-19
28-30
30-38
25-31
32-34
35-20
21-21
16-29
28-30
20-26
28-31
30-19
22-22
24-24
33-29
31-38
19-24
34-27
21-32
30-27
20-24
24-33
24-28
30-35
32-25
33-34
26-26
22-35
23-41
20-34
24-31
27-27
35-31
33-26
23-29
33-29
27-27
226.5Avg total
109.7Scored
116.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)108.1109.4217.4-1.344%
Season at home (16)105.9106.2212.1-0.444%
Season away (11)111.3113.9225.2-2.645%
Last 10 (10)109.7116.8226.5-7.140%
Last 5 (5)108.2120.2228.4-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)110.8114.5225.2-3.825%
vs Similar ◀ (19)108.6112.1220.7-3.437%
vs Weaker (7)108.3103.6211.9+4.771%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A24/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
63-43
63
43
+20
A30/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A04/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A10/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A12/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H14/12
NBA
113.1Avg total
59.4Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.453.8109.2+1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.151.1104.1+2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)57.456.2113.6+1.244%-
Last 10 (10)59.453.7113.1+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)61.854.8116.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.565.5121.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)55.553.9109.3+1.645%-
vs Weaker (6)55.249.7104.8+5.550%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#4
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H25/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A27/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A27/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H07/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H09/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
44-65
44
65
-21
H11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A13/12
NBA
111.6Avg total
53.5Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.855.0109.7-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (19)54.453.6108.1+0.842%-
Last 30 away (11)55.457.3112.6-1.945%-
Last 10 (10)53.558.1111.6-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)52.460.0112.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.557.2110.8-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)55.355.8111.1-0.542%-
vs Weaker (7)54.151.4105.6+2.757%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.826.8
54.9%
53.1%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.014.5
39.2%
35.3%43.5
🏀 Free throws17.414.2
81.6%
77.4%14.2
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.025.6
49.2%
53.1%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.213.5
33.6%
35.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws22.818.0
78.9%
77.4%18.0
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWLWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLLLWWLW
#11
League position
#12
-0.9
Net rating
-6.8
112.8
Offensive rating
105.7
113.7
Defensive rating
112.6
56.6%
Effective FG%
49.7%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
11.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
15.9%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.2%
3-point %
33.6%
67.8%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 105.7Defence113.7 · 112.6Shooting56.6% · 49.7%3-point %39.2% · 33.6%Ball care11.9% · 13.7%Off. rebounds15.9% · 24.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/21HWashington Wizards113-107
12/12/21ASan Antonio Spurs127-112
10/12/21ASan Antonio Spurs111-123
09/12/21ANew Orleans Pelicans120-114 OT
07/12/21AChicago Bulls97-109
04/12/21ANew York Knicks113-99
02/12/21AOrlando Magic103-108
30/11/21AMiami Heat120-111
27/11/21HMilwaukee Bucks109-120
24/11/21APortland Trail Blazers100-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/21APortland Trail Blazers116-111
11/12/21HCleveland Cavaliers106-123
09/12/21HUtah Jazz104-136
07/12/21HAtlanta Hawks110-121
04/12/21ABrooklyn Nets105-110
02/12/21AWashington Wizards107-115
30/11/21HIndiana Pacers100-98
27/11/21APhiladelphia 76ers121-120 OT
27/11/21ACharlotte Hornets115-133
25/11/21HMiami Heat113-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW52%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayWLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %52%67%40%
Points / game105.8104.3107.0
Allowed / game105.699.4110.5
Point differential+0.3+4.9-3.5
Avg total211.4203.8217.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWWLLL44%
AwayLWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %44%44%45%
Points / game108.1105.9111.3
Allowed / game109.4106.2113.9
Point differential-1.3-0.4-2.6
Avg total217.4212.1225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2823582%111.8100.2+11.6
2 Phoenix Suns2722581%110.8104.8+6.0
3 Utah Jazz2619773%115.3104.2+11.2
4 Brooklyn Nets2820871%110.1106.6+3.6
5 Milwaukee Bucks30191163%110.6106.6+4.0
6 Chicago Bulls27171063%108.3105.7+2.6
7 Memphis Grizzlies28171161%111.0109.2+1.8
8 Cleveland Cavaliers30181260%106.6101.5+5.1
9 Miami Heat29171259%106.9103.8+3.1
10 Los Angeles Clippers28161257%106.2104.2+2.0
11 Los Angeles Lakers29161355%111.1111.2-0.1
12 Washington Wizards28151354%105.8107.6-1.8
13 Charlotte Hornets30161453%115.6116.4-0.8
14 Denver Nuggets27141352%105.8105.6+0.3
15 Philadelphia 76ers29151452%105.6106.4-0.8
16 Atlanta Hawks28141450%111.4109.1+2.2
17 Boston Celtics28141450%108.3107.2+1.1
18 Dallas Mavericks28141450%104.4104.6-0.2
19 Toronto Raptors28131546%105.9105.4+0.5
20 Minnesota Timberwolves27121544%108.1109.4-1.3
21 New York Knicks28121643%105.5107.3-1.9
22 Indiana Pacers30121840%107.5106.2+1.3
23 Portland Trail Blazers28111739%108.2111.2-3.0
24 Sacramento Kings28111739%110.9114.4-3.5
25 San Antonio Spurs27101737%108.8109.5-0.7
26 Houston Rockets2891932%106.2113.0-6.8
27 New Orleans Pelicans3092130%104.0109.9-5.9
28 Oklahoma City Thunder2781930%99.0108.3-9.4
29 Orlando Magic2952417%101.3111.8-10.5
30 Detroit Pistons2642215%99.7109.4-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets32292719107
Minnesota Timberwolves40353316124
← all games of the day
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