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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 105-114
22-24 30-31 28-25 25-34
Position#8
Record43-27
FormWWLWW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game107.5
vs
Position#4
Record46-22
FormWLWWW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game107.0
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
95-118
95
118
-23
no box
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
92-97
92
97
-5
81avg 101
H28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
107-96
107
96
+11
no box
H02/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
104-115
104
115
-11
no box
H03/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
128-95
128
95
+33
no box
A06/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
111-109
111
109
+2
no box
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
120-107
120
107
+13
116avg 101
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
115-140
115
140
-25
99avg 101
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
126-120
126
120
+6
123avg 101
H14/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
129-120
129
120
+9
122avg 101
H16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
13-36
23-29
27-23
24-25
18-18
22-31
28-23
30-20
19-25
33-36
25-15
23-33
20-32
35-35
26-15
32-24
41-24
32-28
23-19
26-32
23-17
33-28
29-32
25-24
32-23
36-29
27-31
19-25
30-37
36-39
30-39
25-38
31-24
37-29
33-29
43-36
31-26
31-30
24-28
224.4Avg total
112.7Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)112.8107.5220.2+5.361%
Season at home (36)115.1106.6221.8+8.572%
Season away (34)110.3108.4218.6+1.950%
Last 10 (10)112.7111.7224.4+1.060%
Last 5 (5)120.2119.2239.4+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.098.0195.0-1.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)112.0114.9226.9-2.940%
vs Weaker (19)114.6108.5223.2+6.174%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
123-96
123
96
+27
125avg 107
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
121-112
121
112
+9
no box
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
104-111
104
111
-7
93avg 107
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
112-120
112
120
-8
101avg 107
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
103-104
103
104
-1
93avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
115-99
115
99
+16
no box
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
105-122
105
122
-17
91avg 107
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
133-107
133
107
+26
139avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
100-99
100
99
+1
99avg 107
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
102-100
102
100
+2
96avg 107
H17/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-27
30-29
33-21
26-19
29-26
35-25
27-27
30-34
22-19
15-33
33-29
34-30
39-27
32-40
22-29
19-24
17-36
31-22
21-27
34-19
43-25
23-24
19-28
30-22
20-30
30-37
25-23
30-32
31-20
27-28
36-30
39-29
26-29
25-28
28-32
21-10
25-36
32-24
22-15
23-25
218.8Avg total
111.8Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)112.0107.0219.0+5.068%
Season at home (36)115.6104.8220.4+10.983%
Season away (32)107.9109.6217.5-1.750%
Last 10 (10)111.8107.0218.8+4.860%
Last 5 (5)111.0105.4216.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)112.8109.9222.7+2.960%
vs Weaker (15)114.5107.5222.0+7.173%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.2+4.2
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H02/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
43-65
43
65
-22
H03/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
73-48
73
48
+25
A06/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H14/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H16/03
NBA
108.6Avg total
53.7Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.154.3110.4+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.155.1114.2+4.062%-
Last 30 away (14)52.653.4106.1-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)53.754.9108.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)57.056.4113.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.053.0100.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)56.755.5112.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (19)56.353.8110.1+2.558%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H17/03
NBA
113.1Avg total
56.6Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.558.9117.4-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.258.2120.4+4.165%-
Last 30 away (13)53.559.8113.4-6.315%-
Last 10 (10)56.656.5113.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)56.456.2112.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)58.759.9118.5-1.240%-
vs Weaker (15)58.357.9116.2+0.347%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 112.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.631.7
56.0%
51.7%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.6
32.5%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.9
77.5%
76.6%16.9
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.129.1
51.9%
51.7%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.0
36.3%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.117.4
75.3%
76.6%17.4
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWLWWWLWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWLLLWW
#8
League position
#4
+0.8
Net rating
+4.7
108.4
Offensive rating
109.6
107.6
Defensive rating
104.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.6%
18.8%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.5%
3-point %
36.3%
65.5%
Assist %
68.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 109.6Defence107.6 · 104.9Shooting53.4% · 52.8%3-point %32.5% · 36.3%Ball care13.1% · 13.6%Off. rebounds18.8% · 25.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/19HAtlanta Hawks129-120
14/03/19HSacramento Kings126-120
12/03/19ALos Angeles Clippers115-140
10/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers120-107
07/03/19ASacramento Kings111-109
06/03/19AGolden State Warriors128-95
03/03/19HHouston Rockets104-115
02/03/19HWashington Wizards107-96
28/02/19HPortland Trail Blazers92-97
27/02/19AToronto Raptors95-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19HIndiana Pacers102-100
15/03/19HDallas Mavericks100-99
13/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves133-107
09/03/19AGolden State Warriors105-122
07/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers115-99
05/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs103-104
03/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans112-120
01/03/19HUtah Jazz104-111
27/02/19HOklahoma City Thunder121-112
24/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers123-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeLWLWW72%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703634
Win %61%72%50%
Points / game112.8115.1110.3
Allowed / game107.5106.6108.4
Point differential+5.3+8.5+1.9
Avg total220.2221.8218.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%39%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)43% (7)50% (8)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeLLWWW83%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683632
Win %68%83%50%
Points / game112.0115.6107.9
Allowed / game107.0104.8109.6
Point differential+5.0+10.9-1.7
Avg total219.0220.4217.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%47%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (20)88% (8)75% (12)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks70521874%117.7108.6+9.1
2 Toronto Raptors70492170%113.9108.8+5.1
3 Golden State Warriors68472169%117.9111.8+6.0
4 Denver Nuggets68462268%112.0107.0+5.0
5 Philadelphia 76ers70452564%115.1111.7+3.4
6 Indiana Pacers70442663%108.0103.9+4.2
7 Houston Rockets70442663%112.9109.9+3.0
8 Boston Celtics70432761%112.8107.5+5.3
9 Portland Trail Blazers69422761%114.0110.4+3.6
10 Oklahoma City Thunder70422860%114.6110.8+3.7
11 Utah Jazz70412959%110.2106.2+4.0
12 San Antonio Spurs70412959%111.9110.4+1.5
13 Los Angeles Clippers71413058%114.7113.7+0.9
14 Detroit Pistons70363451%107.4107.9-0.4
15 Brooklyn Nets72363650%111.5111.8-0.4
16 Sacramento Kings69343549%114.0114.9-0.9
17 Miami Heat69333648%105.8105.7+0.0
18 Orlando Magic71333846%105.7106.2-0.5
19 Minnesota Timberwolves70323846%112.6113.5-0.9
20 Charlotte Hornets69313845%110.3111.5-1.2
21 Los Angeles Lakers70313944%111.9114.0-2.1
22 Washington Wizards71304142%114.4116.9-2.5
23 New Orleans Pelicans72304242%115.8116.0-0.2
24 Dallas Mavericks69284141%107.9109.6-1.7
25 Memphis Grizzlies70284240%102.1104.6-2.4
26 Atlanta Hawks71244734%112.5118.5-6.1
27 Chicago Bulls71195227%105.2113.3-8.1
28 Cleveland Cavaliers71185325%104.3113.5-9.2
29 Phoenix Suns71175424%107.2116.1-8.9
30 New York Knicks70145620%105.3113.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics22302825105
Denver Nuggets24312534114
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