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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 110-103
32-20 29-28 22-29 27-26
Position#3
Record42-18
FormWWWLL
Points / game116.9
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#9
Record39-21
FormWLWLW
Points / game121.4
Allowed / game116.1
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
112-105
112
105
+7
103avg 109
A05/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
120-127
120
127
-7
116avg 109
H07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
131-104
131
104
+27
127avg 109
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
103-85
103
85
+18
102avg 109
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
116-103
116
103
+13
112avg 109
H13/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
124-104
124
104
+20
126avg 109
A21/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
118-105
118
105
+13
116avg 109
H23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
111-101
111
101
+10
100avg 109
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
97-117
97
117
-20
83avg 109
A27/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
116-123
116
123
-7
103avg 109
H01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
26-29
33-31
25-30
23-32
33-35
27-37
37-23
30-19
31-29
35-28
35-28
18-24
34-19
36-22
15-20
37-19
29-28
27-34
23-22
36-28
36-28
28-18
24-30
38-19
26-24
25-39
29-23
35-24
31-30
23-22
22-25
20-29
35-26
24-35
18-27
38-26
36-38
24-31
18-28
222.2Avg total
114.8Scored
107.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)116.9108.3225.2+8.670%
Season at home (29)117.9109.9227.8+8.062%
Season away (31)115.9106.8222.7+9.177%
Last 10 (10)114.8107.4222.2+7.470%
Last 5 (5)113.2110.0223.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)106.7111.0217.7-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)115.8106.3222.1+9.570%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
144-119
144
119
+25
150avg 114
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
112-90
112
90
+22
117avg 114
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
122-105
122
105
+17
123avg 114
A09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
146-117
146
117
+29
155avg 114
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
132-121
132
121
+11
125avg 114
H13/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
129-115
129
115
+14
126avg 114
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
100-123
100
123
-23
94avg 114
H23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
125-116
125
116
+9
130avg 114
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
112-121
112
121
-9
104avg 114
A28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
134-119
134
119
+15
135avg 114
A01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-36
32-32
45-27
31-24
25-26
34-24
33-17
20-23
37-32
26-23
35-26
24-24
38-27
32-28
42-37
34-25
40-27
35-29
32-35
25-30
38-30
28-28
33-38
30-19
31-38
23-25
33-33
13-27
36-28
28-30
36-25
25-33
30-30
27-24
24-30
31-37
39-31
29-32
39-24
27-32
240.2Avg total
125.6Scored
114.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)121.4116.1237.5+5.365%
Season at home (29)122.8115.7238.5+7.169%
Season away (31)120.1116.5236.5+3.661%
Last 10 (10)125.6114.6240.2+11.080%
Last 5 (5)120.0118.8238.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)106.0118.0224.0-12.00%
vs Similar (14)117.2113.6230.9+3.664%
vs Weaker (15)128.9115.7244.7+13.287%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A05/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H13/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A21/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A27/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H01/03
NBA
114.1Avg total
62.0Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.953.1112.0+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.053.2113.2+6.869%-
Last 30 away (17)58.053.1111.1+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)62.052.1114.1+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)66.254.4120.6+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)64.354.3118.7+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)58.353.0111.2+5.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
D
68-68
68
68
+0
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H13/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A01/03
NBA
122.4Avg total
64.4Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.458.5121.9+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)64.959.0123.9+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)61.958.1120.0+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)64.458.0122.4+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)61.859.2121.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)57.057.0114.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (14)61.057.4118.4+3.664%-
vs Weaker (15)66.159.7125.8+6.373%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers54.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.124.0
57.0%
54.3%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.918.1
38.6%
35.9%54.3
🏀 Free throws15.212.5
82.2%
77.8%12.5
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 125.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.734.9
59.5%
54.3%69.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.113.6
39.9%
35.9%40.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.0
78.9%
77.8%15.0
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LLWWWWWWLW
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWWWWW
#3
League position
#9
+7.6
Net rating
+10.7
118.5
Offensive rating
122.7
110.9
Defensive rating
112.0
57.5%
Effective FG%
59.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
12.3%
Turnover %
13.5%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.20
38.6%
3-point %
39.9%
59.6%
Assist %
66.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 122.7Defence110.9 · 112.0Shooting57.5% · 59.6%3-point %38.6% · 39.9%Ball care12.3% · 13.5%Off. rebounds25.8% · 30.1%Free throws0.17 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boston Celtics wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HCleveland Cavaliers116-123
27/02/25ADetroit Pistons97-117
26/02/25AToronto Raptors111-101
23/02/25HNew York Knicks118-105
21/02/25APhiladelphia 76ers124-104
13/02/25HSan Antonio Spurs116-103
11/02/25AMiami Heat103-85
09/02/25ANew York Knicks131-104
07/02/25HDallas Mavericks120-127
05/02/25ACleveland Cavaliers112-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ADetroit Pistons134-119
28/02/25AMilwaukee Bucks112-121
25/02/25AIndiana Pacers125-116
23/02/25HLos Angeles Lakers100-123
21/02/25HCharlotte Hornets129-115
13/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers132-121
11/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers146-117
09/02/25APhoenix Suns122-105
07/02/25HOrlando Magic112-90
06/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans144-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL70%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWWWWL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games602931
Win %70%62%77%
Points / game116.9117.9115.9
Allowed / game108.3109.9106.8
Point differential+8.6+8.0+9.1
Avg total225.2227.8222.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%41%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)56% (9)50% (6)
Overtime %8%10%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayWWWLW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games602931
Win %65%69%61%
Points / game121.4122.8120.1
Allowed / game116.1115.7116.5
Point differential+5.3+7.1+3.6
Avg total237.5238.5236.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%52%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)57% (7)67% (9)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers59491083%122.9111.3+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder57461181%119.1106.4+12.6
3 Boston Celtics60421870%116.9108.3+8.6
4 New York Knicks58391967%118.0113.0+4.9
5 Denver Nuggets60392165%121.4116.1+5.3
6 Los Angeles Lakers58372164%112.8111.3+1.6
7 Memphis Grizzlies60382263%123.2116.7+6.4
8 Houston Rockets58362262%113.3109.1+4.2
9 Indiana Pacers58332557%116.4115.4+1.0
10 Milwaukee Bucks57322556%114.4112.7+1.7
11 Detroit Pistons61342756%114.4113.0+1.3
12 Los Angeles Clippers59322754%110.7108.6+2.2
13 Golden State Warriors59322754%113.4111.7+1.7
14 Dallas Mavericks60322853%115.1113.4+1.8
15 Sacramento Kings59312853%116.8115.3+1.5
16 Minnesota Timberwolves61322952%112.0109.2+2.8
17 Orlando Magic60293148%104.0105.6-1.6
18 Miami Heat58283048%110.3110.8-0.5
19 Phoenix Suns60283247%114.0115.9-1.9
20 Portland Trail Blazers60273345%110.2114.1-3.9
21 Atlanta Hawks58263245%117.0119.9-2.9
22 San Antonio Spurs58253343%112.7114.7-2.0
23 Chicago Bulls60243640%116.5120.3-3.8
24 Philadelphia 76ers59213836%109.2113.5-4.4
25 Brooklyn Nets60213935%104.8111.3-6.5
26 Toronto Raptors60184230%110.4116.4-6.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans60164427%110.7118.7-8.0
28 Utah Jazz59154425%112.3119.3-7.0
29 Charlotte Hornets59144524%105.2112.8-7.6
30 Washington Wizards59114819%108.4120.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics32292227110
Denver Nuggets20282926103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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