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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 108-102
30-32 21-28 25-19 32-23
Position#6
Record31-25
FormWWWWW
Points / game108.4
Allowed / game103.8
vs
Position#11
Record30-24
FormLLLWW
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game107.6
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
105-109
105
109
-4
100avg 103
H22/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
116-87
116
87
+29
114avg 103
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
128-75
128
75
+53
132avg 103
H26/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
92-108
92
108
-16
80avg 103
A29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
107-97
107
97
+10
109avg 103
A30/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
122-92
122
92
+30
116avg 103
H01/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
113-107
113
107
+6
114avg 103
H03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
102-93
102
93
+9
101avg 103
A05/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
116-83
116
83
+33
112avg 103
A06/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
126-91
126
91
+35
129avg 103
A09/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
33-24
24-29
23-26
31-25
29-20
31-24
25-18
38-13
25-17
34-25
31-20
20-32
27-30
30-18
15-28
27-15
25-19
26-36
29-27
27-14
27-31
40-25
28-22
27-22
27-31
34-25
25-29
28-16
18-15
32-25
24-37
21-15
28-24
29-22
38-22
35-16
34-27
28-28
29-20
206.9Avg total
112.7Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)108.4103.8212.2+4.755%
Season at home (28)108.2103.0211.1+5.264%
Season away (28)108.7104.6213.2+4.146%
Last 10 (10)112.794.2206.9+18.580%
Last 5 (5)115.893.2209.0+22.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)112.0107.0219.0+5.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)107.299.2206.5+8.062%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
117-111
117
111
+6
110avg 106
H24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
110-105
110
105
+5
110avg 106
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
124-118
124
118
+6
121avg 106
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
116-105
116
105
+11
116avg 106
A29/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
136-100
136
100
+36
142avg 106
A31/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
115-130
115
130
-15
109avg 106
A02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
104-108
104
108
-4
101avg 106
A03/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
105-113
105
113
-8
95avg 106
H05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
124-104
124
104
+20
129avg 106
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
132-115
132
115
+17
136avg 106
H09/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
31-30
32-16
25-35
34-32
35-27
28-26
13-20
29-28
25-37
42-26
28-27
26-17
24-31
36-30
30-27
33-30
32-27
38-24
33-19
28-30
23-39
27-31
37-30
30-28
31-32
18-22
25-26
29-27
23-24
30-31
23-31
39-40
37-35
31-16
17-13
40-36
43-24
28-34
21-21
229.2Avg total
118.3Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)109.7107.6217.2+2.156%
Season at home (25)111.9107.2219.1+4.760%
Season away (29)107.8107.9215.7-0.152%
Last 10 (10)118.3110.9229.2+7.470%
Last 5 (5)116.0114.0230.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)112.7111.8224.5+0.948%
vs Weaker (9)116.8105.8222.6+11.089%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H22/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-30
63
30
+33
H26/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A30/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H01/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A05/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A06/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
69-43
69
43
+26
A09/02
NBA
98.8Avg total
55.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.547.399.8+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (18)52.448.1100.5+4.367%-
Last 30 away (12)52.746.298.8+6.575%-
Last 10 (10)55.243.698.8+11.690%-
Last 5 (5)54.442.296.6+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)54.551.3105.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)52.046.398.3+5.771%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#28
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A29/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A31/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A03/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H09/02
NBA
122.5Avg total
62.1Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.456.9118.3+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)63.659.6123.3+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)59.454.4113.9+5.069%-
Last 10 (10)62.160.4122.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)64.663.0127.6+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)59.757.8117.4+1.957%-
vs Weaker (9)65.454.8120.2+10.778%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.028.2
57.6%
53.1%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.013.7
35.1%
35.3%41.1
🏀 Free throws18.815.2
80.9%
77.4%15.2
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.028.3
57.8%
53.1%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.314.3
39.4%
35.3%42.9
🏀 Free throws22.518.8
83.6%
77.4%18.8
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWWWLWWL
Denver Nuggets
WWLLLWWWWW
#6
League position
#11
+18.7
Net rating
+7.4
114.1
Offensive rating
118.5
95.4
Defensive rating
111.1
55.4%
Effective FG%
58.3%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.3%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.1%
3-point %
39.4%
64.0%
Assist %
68.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 118.5Defence95.4 · 111.1Shooting55.4% · 58.3%3-point %35.1% · 39.4%Ball care13.5% · 14.3%Off. rebounds25.9% · 24.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boston Celtics wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/22ABrooklyn Nets126-91
06/02/22AOrlando Magic116-83
05/02/22ADetroit Pistons102-93
03/02/22HCharlotte Hornets113-107
01/02/22HMiami Heat122-92
30/01/22ANew Orleans Pelicans107-97
29/01/22AAtlanta Hawks92-108
26/01/22HSacramento Kings128-75
23/01/22AWashington Wizards116-87
22/01/22HPortland Trail Blazers105-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/22HNew York Knicks132-115
06/02/22HBrooklyn Nets124-104
05/02/22HNew Orleans Pelicans105-113
03/02/22AUtah Jazz104-108
02/02/22AMinnesota Timberwolves115-130
31/01/22AMilwaukee Bucks136-100
29/01/22ANew Orleans Pelicans116-105
27/01/22ABrooklyn Nets124-118
26/01/22ADetroit Pistons110-105
24/01/22HDetroit Pistons117-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW55%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayLWWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %55%64%46%
Points / game108.4108.2108.7
Allowed / game103.8103.0104.6
Point differential+4.7+5.2+4.1
Avg total212.2211.1213.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (16)50% (8)0% (8)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542529
Win %56%60%52%
Points / game109.7111.9107.8
Allowed / game107.6107.2107.9
Point differential+2.1+4.7-0.1
Avg total217.2219.1215.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%32%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)75% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %4%4%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns55451082%113.3105.4+7.9
2 Golden State Warriors56411573%110.5103.0+7.5
3 Memphis Grizzlies57391868%113.4108.5+4.8
4 Miami Heat56362064%108.9104.2+4.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers56352162%106.7102.1+4.6
6 Utah Jazz55342162%113.6107.1+6.4
7 Chicago Bulls55342162%112.0110.2+1.8
8 Milwaukee Bucks57352261%112.9109.2+3.7
9 Philadelphia 76ers55332260%107.7105.4+2.3
10 Dallas Mavericks56332359%106.5103.2+3.3
11 Toronto Raptors54312357%109.1106.9+2.2
12 Denver Nuggets54302456%109.7107.6+2.1
13 Boston Celtics56312555%108.4103.8+4.7
14 Minnesota Timberwolves55292653%112.9111.2+1.7
15 Brooklyn Nets55292653%110.9111.1-0.2
16 Charlotte Hornets57292851%113.8114.4-0.6
17 Atlanta Hawks54262848%111.9111.4+0.4
18 Los Angeles Clippers57273047%106.4108.0-1.6
19 Los Angeles Lakers56263046%110.9112.5-1.6
20 Washington Wizards54252946%106.9110.0-3.1
21 New York Knicks56253145%104.8106.0-1.3
22 New Orleans Pelicans55223340%105.7109.1-3.5
23 Portland Trail Blazers56223439%107.6112.2-4.6
24 Sacramento Kings57213637%109.9114.9-4.9
25 San Antonio Spurs55203536%111.1111.4-0.3
26 Indiana Pacers57193833%108.9111.4-2.6
27 Oklahoma City Thunder55173831%100.7107.5-6.8
28 Houston Rockets55154027%108.3117.3-8.9
29 Orlando Magic56134323%103.1111.1-7.9
30 Detroit Pistons56124421%102.5112.8-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics30212532108
Denver Nuggets32281923102
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