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Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 129-126
30-30 24-36 30-25 45-35
Position#22
Record15-25
FormWLWWL
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game102.8
vs
Position#11
Record22-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game98.8
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
27 Dec 2026
DEN v IND
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
DEN117
IND100
06 Apr 2025
DEN120
IND125
14 Jan 2024
DEN117
IND109
20 Jan 2023
DEN134
IND111
10 Nov 2021
DEN101
IND98
15 Mar 2021
DEN121
IND106
19 Jan 2020
DEN107
IND115
16 Mar 2019
DEN102
IND100
03 Apr 2018
DEN107
IND104
12 Jan 2017
DEN140
IND112
17 Jan 2016
DEN129
IND126
20 Dec 2014
DEN76
IND73
25 Jan 2014
DEN109
IND96
28 Jan 2013
DEN102
IND101
23 Jan 2011
DEN121
IND107
05 Mar 2010
DEN122
IND114
05 Jan 2009
DEN135
IND115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
112-122
112
122
-10
98avg 89
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
77avg 89
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
103-110
103
110
-7
92avg 89
A31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
94avg 89
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
106-112
106
112
-6
91avg 89
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
78-74
78
74
+4
69avg 89
A07/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
84-91
84
91
-7
78avg 89
A09/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
92avg 89
H11/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
112-110
112
110
+2
104avg 89
H14/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
95-98
95
98
-3
87avg 89
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-32
30-21
29-38
22-31
21-26
21-27
20-19
25-21
27-26
24-32
20-26
32-26
13-37
34-26
30-27
25-12
22-23
34-38
24-19
26-32
21-25
21-19
24-21
12-9
30-29
7-20
29-18
18-24
36-26
17-30
28-21
14-15
32-25
23-29
28-19
29-37
31-20
31-26
16-30
17-22
199.3Avg total
98.0Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)98.5102.8201.4-4.338%
Season at home (19)99.6104.0203.6-4.437%
Season away (21)97.6101.8199.4-4.138%
Last 10 (10)98.0101.3199.3-3.330%
Last 5 (5)92.893.0185.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)97.4104.5201.8-7.123%
vs Similar (15)98.5100.6199.1-2.140%
vs Weaker (2)107.5108.0215.5-0.550%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
80avg 91
A31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
116-120
116
120
-4
109avg 91
H31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
94-82
94
82
+12
84avg 91
H03/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
86avg 91
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
95-86
95
86
+9
87avg 91
A07/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
91-86
91
86
+5
88avg 91
A09/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
99avg 91
A11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
116-97
116
97
+19
112avg 91
H13/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
94-103
94
103
-9
80avg 91
A14/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
104-118
104
118
-14
91avg 91
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
19-29
22-16
29-25
24-33
28-26
25-30
39-31
24-20
17-22
23-17
30-23
29-19
18-25
27-22
21-29
22-20
15-18
29-21
29-27
16-30
22-13
30-27
23-16
24-28
26-20
27-16
16-29
25-19
27-23
28-34
36-21
24-28
25-29
27-21
18-25
27-24
19-35
26-29
32-30
201.7Avg total
101.3Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)102.198.8200.9+3.255%
Season at home (19)103.497.5200.9+5.968%
Season away (21)100.9100.0201.0+0.943%
Last 10 (10)101.3100.4201.7+0.940%
Last 5 (5)101.6102.2203.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)107.5118.5226.0-11.00%
vs Similar (18)102.499.4201.8+2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)106.196.6202.7+9.570%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
Denver NuggetsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A09/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H11/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H14/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H16/01
NBA
104.3Avg total
50.6Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.153.0105.1-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.053.7107.7+0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)50.452.4102.9-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)50.653.7104.3-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)49.849.899.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)51.554.0105.5-2.531%-
vs Similar (15)51.851.9103.7-0.140%-
vs Weaker (2)58.055.0113.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H03/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A07/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H13/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A14/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H16/01
NBA
93.4Avg total
45.2Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.949.898.7-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.150.8100.9-0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)47.949.096.9-1.135%-
Last 10 (10)45.248.293.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.896.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.064.5118.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (18)48.749.998.6-1.239%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.146.794.8+1.450%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 98.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.128.7
45.5%
49.0%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.3
31.2%
35.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.818.7
78.6%
75.5%18.7
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 100.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.829.8
49.8%
49.0%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.7
30.6%
35.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.117.5
75.8%
75.5%17.5
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWLLLLL
Indiana Pacers
LLWLWWLWLL
#22
League position
#11
-3.5
Net rating
+2.9
102.5
Offensive rating
99.2
105.9
Defensive rating
96.3
45.8%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
13.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.2%
3-point %
30.6%
60.8%
Assist %
53.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 99.2Defence105.9 · 96.3Shooting45.8% · 48.6%3-point %31.2% · 30.6%Ball care13.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds29.5% · 23.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/16HMiami Heat95-98
14/01/16HGolden State Warriors112-110
11/01/16HCharlotte Hornets95-92
09/01/16AMemphis Grizzlies84-91
07/01/16AMinnesota Timberwolves78-74
04/01/16HPortland Trail Blazers106-112
03/01/16AGolden State Warriors108-111 OT
31/12/15APortland Trail Blazers103-110
30/12/15HCleveland Cavaliers87-93
28/12/15AOklahoma City Thunder112-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/16HWashington Wizards104-118
14/01/16ABoston Celtics94-103
13/01/16HPhoenix Suns116-97
11/01/16AHouston Rockets103-107 OT
09/01/16ANew Orleans Pelicans91-86
07/01/16AOrlando Magic95-86
05/01/16AMiami Heat100-103 OT
03/01/16HDetroit Pistons94-82
31/12/15HMilwaukee Bucks116-120
31/12/15AChicago Bulls100-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL38%
HomeLLWWL37%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %38%37%38%
Points / game98.599.697.6
Allowed / game102.8104.0101.8
Point differential-4.3-4.4-4.1
Avg total201.4203.6199.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)62% (8)75% (4)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL55%
HomeWLWWL68%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %55%68%43%
Points / game102.1103.4100.9
Allowed / game98.897.5100.0
Point differential+3.2+5.9+0.9
Avg total200.9200.9201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)60% (5)25% (8)
Overtime %10%0%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4137490%113.9102.7+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs4236686%103.989.6+14.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers38281074%101.495.1+6.3
4 Oklahoma City Thunder42301271%108.5100.0+8.6
5 Los Angeles Clippers40261465%103.9100.2+3.6
6 Toronto Raptors40251562%100.396.8+3.5
7 Chicago Bulls39231659%101.8100.6+1.2
8 Atlanta Hawks41241759%102.7100.6+2.1
9 Miami Heat41231856%96.495.5+0.9
10 Indiana Pacers40221855%102.198.8+3.2
11 Detroit Pistons40221855%101.599.2+2.2
12 Dallas Mavericks42231955%100.5100.8-0.4
13 Memphis Grizzlies42231955%96.298.7-2.5
14 Boston Celtics41221954%103.3100.0+3.3
15 Orlando Magic39201951%99.198.8+0.2
16 Houston Rockets41212051%103.4104.7-1.2
17 Washington Wizards39192049%102.2104.1-1.9
18 New York Knicks42202248%98.899.8-1.0
19 Charlotte Hornets40182245%101.1100.4+0.8
20 Utah Jazz40182245%96.596.5-0.0
21 Sacramento Kings40172342%106.3108.3-2.0
22 Portland Trail Blazers43182542%101.3102.9-1.6
23 Milwaukee Bucks43182542%98.3103.3-5.0
24 Denver Nuggets40152538%98.5102.8-4.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans39132633%101.4105.5-4.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves42132931%99.0102.5-3.5
27 Phoenix Suns42132931%102.1106.9-4.8
28 Brooklyn Nets41113027%95.6103.0-7.5
29 Los Angeles Lakers4293321%96.4105.9-9.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers4253712%93.8104.9-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30243045129
Indiana Pacers30362535126
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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