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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 130-104
34-29 33-31 42-16 21-28
Position#3
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#9
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
06 Oct 2024
BOS130
DEN104
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
113-98
113
98
+15
117avg 112
H15/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
133-128 OT
133
128
+5
123avg 112
H22/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
126-110
126
110
+16
122avg 112
H24/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
114-111
114
111
+3
104avg 112
A26/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
105-102
105
102
+3
95avg 112
A28/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
107-89
107
89
+18
102avg 112
H07/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
105-98
105
98
+7
102avg 112
H10/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
106-99
106
99
+7
100avg 112
A13/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
84-122
84
122
-38
67avg 112
A15/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
106-88
106
88
+18
101avg 112
H18/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
30-24
27-26
28-20
34-31
30-33
30-29
23-24
25-27
32-24
36-29
33-30
32-31
25-38
24-21
33-21
29-27
29-30
22-26
25-19
37-20
26-22
23-24
21-23
25-28
29-23
29-23
22-24
30-31
20-20
35-19
21-29
21-34
14-27
25-31
24-30
28-18
39-28
19-21
20-21
214.4Avg total
109.9Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)109.9104.5214.4+5.490%
Last 5 (5)101.699.2200.8+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)135.0100.0235.0+35.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)110.9103.5214.4+7.476%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
112-105
112
105
+7
110avg 108
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
108-119
108
119
-11
102avg 108
A28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
108-106
108
106
+2
104avg 108
H30/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
99-106
99
106
-7
93avg 108
H04/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
80-106
80
106
-26
68avg 108
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
117-90
117
90
+27
115avg 108
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 108
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 108
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
70-115
70
115
-45
53avg 108
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
79avg 108
H20/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
26-20
34-22
29-30
23-28
25-33
32-30
28-28
28-24
22-29
31-26
27-27
25-23
19-17
27-33
28-33
20-28
15-33
25-21
20-24
28-20
28-21
37-25
24-24
29-24
35-25
26-30
25-28
28-26
22-18
38-30
24-23
14-31
26-28
21-27
9-29
24-19
29-19
14-28
23-32
206.0Avg total
101.1Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)101.1104.9206.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)100.8101.4202.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (16)103.6103.2206.8+0.450%
vs Weaker (14)116.9108.1224.9+8.886%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.1-4.1
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H15/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H22/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H24/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A26/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A28/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H07/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H10/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A13/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A15/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H18/06
NBA
110.7Avg total
56.3Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.752.9111.7+5.877%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.551.9112.4+8.682%-
Last 30 away (13)56.454.3110.7+2.169%-
Last 10 (10)56.354.4110.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)53.850.2104.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.047.0108.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)58.753.1111.8+5.576%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
35-61
35
61
-26
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/05
NBA
98.8Avg total
48.9Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.952.9107.9+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.953.9106.8-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)57.251.9109.1+5.471%-
Last 10 (10)48.949.998.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)52.646.298.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (16)52.651.7104.3+0.962%-
vs Weaker (14)57.654.4111.9+3.257%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.424.8
57.1%
54.3%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.214.9
35.3%
35.9%44.7
🏀 Free throws18.815.6
83.0%
77.8%15.6
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.927.8
52.6%
54.3%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.714.6
82.5%
77.8%14.6
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLWWWWWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWLLWLW
#3
League position
#9
+5.7
Net rating
-4.1
115.4
Offensive rating
108.0
109.8
Defensive rating
112.0
55.1%
Effective FG%
52.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
11.1%
Turnover %
13.1%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.3%
3-point %
34.0%
64.7%
Assist %
64.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 108.0Defence109.8 · 112.0Shooting55.1% · 52.0%3-point %35.3% · 34.0%Ball care11.1% · 13.1%Off. rebounds24.0% · 22.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/24HDallas Mavericks106-88
15/06/24ADallas Mavericks84-122
13/06/24ADallas Mavericks106-99
10/06/24HDallas Mavericks105-98
07/06/24HDallas Mavericks107-89
28/05/24AIndiana Pacers105-102
26/05/24AIndiana Pacers114-111
24/05/24HIndiana Pacers126-110
22/05/24HIndiana Pacers133-128 OT
15/05/24HCleveland Cavaliers113-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves90-98
17/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves70-115
15/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-97
13/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-107
11/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves117-90
07/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves80-106
04/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves99-106
30/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers108-106
28/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers108-119
26/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers112-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics34334221130
Denver Nuggets29311628104
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