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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 125-95
36-17 39-23 26-27 24-28
Position#1
Record13-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#12
Record10-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game108.8
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU110
DEN100
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
107-115
107
115
-8
88avg 107
H31/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
119-97
119
97
+22
110avg 107
A02/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
119-104
119
104
+15
114avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
137-110
137
110
+27
138avg 107
H06/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
117-113
117
113
+4
112avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
111-96
111
96
+15
100avg 107
H12/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
118-95
118
95
+23
111avg 107
A12/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
113-129
113
129
-16
107avg 107
H15/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
142-116
142
116
+26
139avg 107
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
105-83
105
83
+22
100avg 107
A19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-37
29-21
24-34
27-23
24-27
36-21
40-26
19-23
36-25
33-26
28-25
22-28
39-28
28-21
48-36
22-25
36-25
29-42
35-26
17-20
33-22
29-28
31-20
18-26
35-18
28-33
24-20
31-24
33-31
31-45
30-27
19-26
45-23
45-42
30-26
22-25
33-25
26-25
23-17
23-16
224.6Avg total
118.8Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)112.6104.0216.6+8.676%
Season at home (7)111.7107.4219.1+4.357%
Season away (10)113.3101.6214.9+11.790%
Last 10 (10)118.8105.8224.6+13.080%
Last 5 (5)117.8103.8221.6+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)108.4112.9221.3-4.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)112.1101.6213.7+10.683%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
129-111
129
111
+18
128avg 105
H02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
95-94
95
94
+1
81avg 105
H04/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
108-127
108
127
-19
102avg 105
H05/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
112-104
112
104
+8
104avg 105
H08/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
102-94
102
94
+8
99avg 105
H10/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
125-107
125
107
+18
125avg 105
H12/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
82-99
82
99
-17
61avg 105
A14/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
W
146-114
146
114
+32
154avg 105
H18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
109-127
109
127
-18
96avg 105
A20/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
114-98
114
98
+16
106avg 105
A21/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
26-27
43-25
26-40
28-37
23-21
25-13
19-23
23-36
32-24
21-43
32-24
28-21
29-25
36-27
19-31
22-28
29-25
24-22
27-19
39-23
31-24
28-30
27-30
21-25
28-29
17-30
16-15
37-19
27-37
42-24
40-34
26-32
22-38
36-29
25-28
22-22
25-25
34-23
33-28
219.7Avg total
112.2Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)108.8106.2215.1+2.659%
Season at home (9)113.0104.3217.3+8.778%
Season away (8)104.1108.4212.5-4.238%
Last 10 (10)112.2107.5219.7+4.770%
Last 5 (5)115.2109.0224.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)116.2118.2234.5-2.025%
vs Similar (19)110.1110.2220.3-0.153%
vs Weaker (7)112.3102.1214.4+10.186%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.0+8.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.0+8.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H31/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A02/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A03/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H12/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A12/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H15/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
90-65
90
65
+25
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A19/11
NBA
122.0Avg total
65.5Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.155.2114.3+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.455.1112.5+2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)60.655.2115.8+5.362%-
Last 10 (10)65.556.5122.0+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)67.658.4126.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)57.057.3114.3-0.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)60.453.8114.2+6.767%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H04/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H05/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H10/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H12/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A14/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
48-70
48
70
-22
A20/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A21/11
NBA
108.9Avg total
55.2Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.655.7111.3-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.551.7107.2+3.862%-
Last 30 away (17)55.658.8114.4-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)55.253.7108.9+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)55.654.8110.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)57.556.8114.2+0.850%-
vs Similar (19)56.157.4113.5-1.342%-
vs Weaker (7)53.150.6103.7+2.657%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 118.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.1
56.8%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.917.1
38.1%
36.1%51.3
🏀 Free throws28.523.3
81.8%
76.5%23.3
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.129.9
53.3%
51.0%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.6
38.8%
36.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws24.117.6
73.0%
76.5%17.6
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWLWWWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#12
+12.7
Net rating
+4.7
116.4
Offensive rating
111.3
103.7
Defensive rating
106.6
57.0%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.1%
3-point %
38.8%
57.1%
Assist %
59.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 111.3Defence103.7 · 106.6Shooting57.0% · 55.0%3-point %38.1% · 38.8%Ball care15.7% · 16.1%Off. rebounds24.6% · 28.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Houston Rockets wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/17AMemphis Grizzlies105-83
17/11/17APhoenix Suns142-116
15/11/17HToronto Raptors113-129
12/11/17AIndiana Pacers118-95
12/11/17HMemphis Grizzlies111-96
10/11/17HCleveland Cavaliers117-113
06/11/17HUtah Jazz137-110
03/11/17AAtlanta Hawks119-104
02/11/17ANew York Knicks119-97
31/10/17HPhiladelphia 76ers107-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/17ASacramento Kings114-98
20/11/17ALos Angeles Lakers109-127
18/11/17HNew Orleans Pelicans146-114
14/11/17APortland Trail Blazers82-99
12/11/17HOrlando Magic125-107
10/11/17HOklahoma City Thunder102-94
08/11/17HBrooklyn Nets112-104
05/11/17HGolden State Warriors108-127
04/11/17HMiami Heat95-94
02/11/17HToronto Raptors129-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW76%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %76%57%90%
Points / game112.6111.7113.3
Allowed / game104.0107.4101.6
Point differential+8.6+4.3+11.7
Avg total216.6219.1214.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%43%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%78%38%
Points / game108.8113.0104.1
Allowed / game106.2104.3108.4
Point differential+2.6+8.7-4.2
Avg total215.1217.3212.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1916384%102.695.3+7.3
2 Golden State Warriors1713476%117.9107.5+10.4
3 Houston Rockets1713476%112.6104.0+8.6
4 Toronto Raptors1711665%109.8103.8+6.0
5 San Antonio Spurs1711665%101.398.2+3.1
6 Detroit Pistons1711665%104.0102.1+1.9
7 Cleveland Cavaliers1811761%111.4110.7+0.7
8 Denver Nuggets1710759%108.8106.2+2.6
9 New York Knicks1710759%104.9103.4+1.5
10 Philadelphia 76ers1710759%108.4107.2+1.2
11 Minnesota Timberwolves1710759%107.2107.6-0.5
12 Portland Trail Blazers1810856%101.697.4+4.2
13 Washington Wizards1810856%108.4104.3+4.1
14 Indiana Pacers1810856%108.9107.3+1.6
15 New Orleans Pelicans179853%108.7110.4-1.6
16 Milwaukee Bucks168850%101.4104.5-3.1
17 Charlotte Hornets178947%106.9106.5+0.4
18 Orlando Magic178947%106.6108.1-1.5
19 Miami Heat178947%100.5102.8-2.4
20 Los Angeles Lakers1881044%105.4106.8-1.3
21 Oklahoma City Thunder167944%103.298.6+4.6
22 Memphis Grizzlies167944%100.2101.2-1.1
23 Utah Jazz1871139%99.7101.1-1.4
24 Phoenix Suns1871139%107.9115.9-8.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers1761135%105.6106.4-0.8
26 Brooklyn Nets1761135%110.5114.2-3.8
27 Sacramento Kings1741324%93.2105.8-12.6
28 Chicago Bulls1531220%95.4104.7-9.3
29 Atlanta Hawks1831517%102.8108.2-5.4
30 Dallas Mavericks1831517%99.1105.8-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets36392624125
Denver Nuggets1723272895
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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