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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 115-70
31-14 28-26 27-21 29-9
Position#4
Record62-29
FormWWLLL
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game106.3
vs
Position#3
Record64-28
FormLLWWW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game109.0
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Target Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
106-125
106
125
-19
102avg 108
H14/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
120-95
120
95
+25
119avg 108
H20/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
105-93
105
93
+12
98avg 108
H23/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
126-109
126
109
+17
124avg 108
A27/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
122-116
122
116
+6
112avg 108
A29/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
106-99
106
99
+7
102avg 108
A04/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
106-80
106
80
+26
103avg 108
A07/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
90-117
90
117
-27
82avg 108
H11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
107-115
107
115
-8
97avg 108
H13/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
97-112
97
112
-15
93avg 108
A15/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-44
31-22
25-23
28-36
27-28
34-23
31-21
28-23
24-21
26-30
28-20
27-22
34-32
25-21
36-20
31-36
25-26
31-35
34-31
32-24
23-25
17-19
33-27
33-28
28-20
33-15
21-25
24-20
20-28
21-28
25-37
24-24
24-29
25-35
30-26
28-25
26-28
18-22
30-38
23-24
214.6Avg total
108.5Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (91)112.6106.3218.8+6.368%
Season at home (45)111.4103.8215.2+7.671%
Season away (46)113.7108.7222.3+5.065%
Last 10 (10)108.5106.1214.6+2.460%
Last 5 (5)101.2104.6205.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)108.6106.4215.0+2.359%
vs Weaker (13)114.5105.9220.4+8.577%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
114-103
114
103
+11
104avg 109
H21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
101-99
101
99
+2
95avg 109
H23/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
112-105
112
105
+7
110avg 109
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
108-119
108
119
-11
102avg 109
A28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
108-106
108
106
+2
104avg 109
H30/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
99-106
99
106
-7
93avg 109
H04/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
80-106
80
106
-26
68avg 109
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
117-90
117
90
+27
115avg 109
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 109
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 109
H15/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
32-27
32-18
25-25
24-28
20-31
25-20
32-20
23-33
26-20
34-22
29-30
23-28
25-33
32-30
28-28
28-24
22-29
31-26
27-27
25-23
19-17
27-33
28-33
20-28
15-33
25-21
20-24
28-20
28-21
37-25
24-24
29-24
35-25
26-30
25-28
28-26
22-18
38-30
24-23
210.4Avg total
106.6Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (92)114.0109.0222.9+5.070%
Season at home (47)116.4108.0224.4+8.579%
Season away (45)111.4110.0221.4+1.460%
Last 10 (10)106.6103.8210.4+2.870%
Last 5 (5)104.6101.2205.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)115.0109.0224.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)106.9102.7209.6+4.257%
vs Weaker (15)118.5108.9227.5+9.687%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H14/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H20/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H23/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A27/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A29/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A04/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
61-35
61
35
+26
A07/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H13/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A15/05
NBA
104.5Avg total
51.4Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.854.0107.8-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.354.8107.1-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)55.253.2108.4+2.040%-
Last 10 (10)51.453.1104.5-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.896.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.153.9105.9-1.835%-
vs Weaker (13)56.054.2110.2+1.846%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H23/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
35-61
35
61
-26
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/05
NBA
101.8Avg total
49.7Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.553.0109.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.954.2109.2+0.753%-
Last 30 away (13)58.551.3109.8+7.277%-
Last 10 (10)49.752.1101.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)49.847.096.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.054.0116.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.552.1105.6+1.464%-
vs Weaker (15)58.953.7112.6+5.360%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.228.1
56.0%
54.4%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.1
36.2%
36.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.219.0
78.5%
78.2%19.0
They take 80.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.329.6
54.5%
54.4%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.1
35.8%
36.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.014.1
82.9%
78.2%14.1
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWWWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWLWWW
#4
League position
#3
+2.6
Net rating
+3.0
116.0
Offensive rating
113.1
113.4
Defensive rating
110.1
55.3%
Effective FG%
54.2%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.2%
3-point %
35.8%
62.8%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 113.1Defence113.4 · 110.1Shooting55.3% · 54.2%3-point %36.2% · 35.8%Ball care14.6% · 12.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 23.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/24ADenver Nuggets97-112
13/05/24HDenver Nuggets107-115
11/05/24HDenver Nuggets90-117
07/05/24ADenver Nuggets106-80
04/05/24ADenver Nuggets106-99
29/04/24APhoenix Suns122-116
27/04/24APhoenix Suns126-109
23/04/24HPhoenix Suns105-93
20/04/24HPhoenix Suns120-95
14/04/24HPhoenix Suns106-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-97
13/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-107
11/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves117-90
07/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves80-106
04/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves99-106
30/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers108-106
28/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers108-119
26/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers112-105
23/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers101-99
21/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers114-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL68%
HomeLWWLL71%
AwayWWWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games914546
Win %68%71%65%
Points / game112.6111.4113.7
Allowed / game106.3103.8108.7
Point differential+6.3+7.6+5.0
Avg total218.8215.2222.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)50% (14)71% (7)
Overtime %5%4%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWLLW79%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games924745
Win %70%79%60%
Points / game114.0116.4111.4
Allowed / game109.0108.0110.0
Point differential+5.0+8.5+1.4
Avg total222.9224.4221.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (24)62% (8)50% (16)
Overtime %1%2%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics91721979%119.3107.7+11.6
2 Denver Nuggets92642870%114.0109.0+5.0
3 Oklahoma City Thunder91632869%118.5111.2+7.4
4 Minnesota Timberwolves91622968%112.6106.3+6.3
5 New York Knicks92573562%112.4108.0+4.4
6 Dallas Mavericks93573661%116.4114.0+2.4
7 Los Angeles Clippers88533560%114.6112.0+2.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks86503658%118.0115.9+2.1
9 Phoenix Suns85493658%115.8113.5+2.3
10 New Orleans Pelicans86493757%113.8109.9+3.9
11 Sacramento Kings83473657%116.3114.3+2.0
12 Cleveland Cavaliers94534156%110.8109.4+1.4
13 Philadelphia 76ers89503956%114.1111.2+2.8
14 Orlando Magic89503956%109.7107.4+2.2
15 Indiana Pacers91514056%122.0119.3+2.7
16 Golden State Warriors83463755%117.5115.2+2.3
17 Los Angeles Lakers86473955%117.2117.3-0.1
18 Miami Heat89484154%109.1108.1+1.0
19 Houston Rockets82414150%114.3113.2+1.1
20 Chicago Bulls84404448%112.2113.7-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks83364743%118.3120.6-2.3
22 Brooklyn Nets82325039%110.4113.3-2.9
23 Utah Jazz82315138%115.7120.5-4.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies82275533%105.8112.8-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors82255730%112.4118.8-6.4
26 San Antonio Spurs82226027%112.1118.6-6.5
27 Portland Trail Blazers82216126%106.4115.4-9.0
28 Charlotte Hornets82216126%106.6116.8-10.2
29 Washington Wizards82156718%113.7123.0-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons82146817%109.9119.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves31282729115
Denver Nuggets142621970
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