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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 110-114
35-31 23-27 24-21 28-35
Position#5
Record23-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game110.5
Boston Celtics
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
Position#6
Record24-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game124.4
Allowed / game118.3
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
105-112
105
112
-7
89avg 107
H16/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
129-116
129
116
+13
128avg 107
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
112-96
112
96
+16
105avg 107
A21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
103-95
103
95
+8
92avg 107
H23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
140-122
140
122
+18
137avg 107
A27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
108-114
108
114
-6
92avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
129-119
129
119
+10
122avg 107
A31/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
120-106
120
106
+14
113avg 107
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
146-115
146
115
+31
143avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
115-101
115
101
+14
101avg 107
H06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
24-28
24-32
24-27
30-29
28-29
34-31
37-27
32-20
17-31
34-29
29-16
26-35
17-26
31-21
29-13
28-39
47-22
36-30
29-31
30-31
33-24
22-31
23-28
31-38
28-26
40-32
30-23
28-29
34-32
26-27
32-18
42-28
29-35
42-36
33-16
31-14
23-19
31-34
30-34
230.3Avg total
120.7Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)117.8110.5228.2+7.366%
Season at home (16)118.4111.1229.4+7.369%
Season away (19)117.3109.9227.2+7.363%
Last 10 (10)120.7109.6230.3+11.180%
Last 5 (5)123.6111.0234.6+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)111.5117.8229.2-6.250%
vs Weaker (26)119.4110.0229.4+9.573%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
101-115
101
115
-14
84avg 115
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
135-112
135
112
+23
139avg 115
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
130-131
130
131
-1
133avg 115
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
142-138 OT
142
138
+4
133avg 115
H26/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
126-127
126
127
-1
126avg 115
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
123-147
123
147
-24
116avg 115
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
106-103
106
103
+3
97avg 115
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
108-113
108
113
-5
92avg 115
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
115-127
115
127
-12
106avg 115
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
120avg 115
A06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
16-27
21-29
35-33
40-15
29-31
34-38
32-28
27-41
29-25
47-37
27-28
32-29
25-26
35-23
23-37
31-23
31-25
31-36
33-43
29-41
34-22
36-47
24-37
32-23
31-31
22-25
21-24
24-28
35-34
38-26
11-25
29-33
23-26
32-41
31-27
29-26
29-32
29-35
33-27
244.8Avg total
121.1Scored
123.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)124.4118.3242.6+6.167%
Season at home (15)126.1118.1244.3+8.067%
Season away (21)123.1118.4241.5+4.767%
Last 10 (10)121.1123.7244.8-2.640%
Last 5 (5)115.4122.8238.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)122.1120.0242.1+2.171%
vs Weaker (16)126.1118.4244.5+7.662%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H16/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A28/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A31/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A04/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H06/01
NBA
115.1Avg total
59.1Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.555.4115.9+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.852.6111.4+6.164%-
Last 30 away (16)62.057.8119.8+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)59.156.0115.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)61.855.2117.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)55.057.2112.2-2.250%-
vs Weaker (26)61.355.1116.5+6.269%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H26/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
D
63-63
63
63
+0
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A06/01
NBA
114.8Avg total
58.4Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.457.2118.6+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (12)63.255.6118.8+7.683%-
Last 30 away (18)60.258.2118.4+2.044%-
Last 10 (10)58.456.4114.8+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)59.059.2118.2-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)58.958.9117.9+0.043%-
vs Weaker (16)63.655.6119.2+7.975%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 120.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.427.7
58.4%
54.8%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.916.1
37.5%
35.8%48.3
🏀 Free throws21.117.0
80.6%
78.1%17.0
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.828.0
54.1%
54.8%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.814.9
40.5%
35.8%44.7
🏀 Free throws24.520.4
83.3%
78.1%20.4
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLLWLWL
#5
League position
#6
+11.4
Net rating
-2.5
122.2
Offensive rating
117.8
110.7
Defensive rating
120.3
57.4%
Effective FG%
56.8%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
11.3%
Turnover %
12.0%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.5%
3-point %
40.5%
52.7%
Assist %
65.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence122.2 · 117.8Defence110.7 · 120.3Shooting57.4% · 56.8%3-point %37.5% · 40.5%Ball care11.3% · 12.0%Off. rebounds29.2% · 21.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boston Celtics wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets110-103
08/01/25Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics106-118
08/03/24Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics115-109
20/01/24Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets100-102
02/01/23Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics123-111
12/11/22Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets131-112
21/03/22Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics104-124
12/02/22Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets108-102
11/04/21Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics87-105
17/02/21Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets112-99
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26HChicago Bulls115-101
04/01/26ALos Angeles Clippers146-115
02/01/26ASacramento Kings120-106
31/12/25AUtah Jazz129-119
28/12/25APortland Trail Blazers108-114
27/12/25AIndiana Pacers140-122
23/12/25HIndiana Pacers103-95
21/12/25AToronto Raptors112-96
20/12/25HMiami Heat129-116
16/12/25HDetroit Pistons105-112
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-124 OT
04/01/26ABrooklyn Nets115-127
03/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers108-113
01/01/26AToronto Raptors106-103
30/12/25AMiami Heat123-147
28/12/25AOrlando Magic126-127
26/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves142-138 OT
24/12/25ADallas Mavericks130-131
23/12/25HUtah Jazz135-112
20/12/25HHouston Rockets101-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWLWWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %66%69%63%
Points / game117.8118.4117.3
Allowed / game110.5111.1109.9
Point differential+7.3+7.3+7.3
Avg total228.2229.4227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%38%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361521
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game124.4126.1123.1
Allowed / game118.3118.1118.4
Point differential+6.1+8.0+4.7
Avg total242.6244.3241.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%47%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)40% (5)50% (8)
Overtime %11%13%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3529683%121.1108.1+13.1
2 Detroit Pistons3627975%118.8112.1+6.7
3 Los Angeles Lakers33231070%117.0116.4+0.6
4 San Antonio Spurs34231168%119.2113.9+5.3
5 Houston Rockets33221167%119.4111.0+8.4
6 Denver Nuggets36241267%124.4118.3+6.1
7 Boston Celtics35231266%117.8110.5+7.3
8 Minnesota Timberwolves37241365%119.6114.1+5.6
9 New York Knicks34211362%119.3115.4+3.9
10 Toronto Raptors36221461%114.9112.2+2.7
11 Phoenix Suns35211460%115.5112.1+3.4
12 Philadelphia 76ers34191556%117.2116.4+0.9
13 Miami Heat36201656%120.4117.4+3.0
14 Cleveland Cavaliers38211755%119.2116.8+2.4
15 Orlando Magic35191654%116.8115.3+1.5
16 Golden State Warriors37191851%114.8113.6+1.2
17 Chicago Bulls36171947%117.8121.6-3.8
18 Portland Trail Blazers37172046%116.9119.6-2.7
19 Atlanta Hawks38172145%118.5119.9-1.4
20 Memphis Grizzlies36162044%115.7116.6-0.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks36162044%113.3115.5-2.2
22 Dallas Mavericks37142338%113.1116.9-3.8
23 Los Angeles Clippers35132237%112.1114.2-2.1
24 Charlotte Hornets36132336%116.1117.9-1.8
25 Utah Jazz35122334%119.6127.0-7.4
26 Brooklyn Nets33112233%109.5114.3-4.8
27 Washington Wizards35102529%113.6124.0-10.4
28 Sacramento Kings3782922%109.9121.6-11.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans3883021%114.8122.8-8.0
30 Indiana Pacers3763116%110.8119.7-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics35232428110
Denver Nuggets31272135114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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