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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 99-106
25-23 19-17 27-33 28-33
Position#3
Record61-26
FormWWWLW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#4
Record60-26
FormLWWWW
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game106.4
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Ball Arena
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
142-110
142
110
+32
150avg 110
H07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
111-95
111
95
+16
104avg 110
A10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
116-107
116
107
+9
116avg 110
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
120-121
120
121
-1
110avg 110
A13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
126-111
126
111
+15
130avg 110
A14/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
114-103
114
103
+11
104avg 110
H21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
101-99
101
99
+2
95avg 110
H23/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
112-105
112
105
+7
110avg 110
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
108-119
108
119
-11
102avg 110
A28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
108-106
108
106
+2
104avg 110
H30/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
36-30
42-30
31-24
34-17
31-36
22-27
24-15
26-28
23-24
34-28
33-27
31-32
37-18
32-37
20-34
29-26
37-28
28-21
32-36
25-33
32-27
32-18
25-25
24-28
20-31
25-20
32-20
23-33
26-20
34-22
29-30
23-28
25-33
32-30
28-28
28-24
22-29
31-26
27-27
223.4Avg total
115.8Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)114.5109.4223.9+5.170%
Season at home (44)117.8108.3226.1+9.582%
Season away (43)111.1110.5221.7+0.658%
Last 10 (10)115.8107.6223.4+8.280%
Last 5 (5)108.6106.4215.0+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)115.0109.0224.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)109.2103.5212.7+5.862%
vs Weaker (16)118.9109.2228.1+9.688%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
87-97
87
97
-10
78avg 109
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
127-117
127
117
+10
122avg 109
A08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-121
130
121
+9
125avg 109
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
107-116
107
116
-9
96avg 109
A11/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
109-106
109
106
+3
109avg 109
H13/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
106-125
106
125
-19
102avg 109
H14/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
120-95
120
95
+25
119avg 109
H20/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
105-93
105
93
+12
98avg 109
H23/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
126-109
126
109
+17
124avg 109
A27/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
122-116
122
116
+6
112avg 109
A29/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
21-25
20-20
26-20
33-37
46-27
23-28
25-25
26-44
34-26
39-24
31-27
28-26
24-23
28-34
27-33
25-27
31-20
24-33
29-26
22-44
31-22
25-23
28-36
27-28
34-23
31-21
28-23
24-21
26-30
28-20
27-22
34-32
25-21
36-20
31-36
25-26
31-35
34-31
32-24
223.4Avg total
113.9Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)113.2106.4219.6+6.870%
Season at home (43)112.0103.3215.3+8.774%
Season away (43)114.4109.5223.9+5.065%
Last 10 (10)113.9109.5223.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)115.8107.6223.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)109.9105.7215.6+4.262%
vs Weaker (17)113.7105.5219.2+8.276%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A14/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H23/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/04
NBA
111.6Avg total
56.5Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.955.1112.9+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.455.8113.2+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)58.554.2112.6+4.362%-
Last 10 (10)56.555.1111.6+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)49.657.2106.8-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.054.0116.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)56.355.9112.2+0.454%-
vs Weaker (16)58.954.4113.3+4.456%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A11/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H13/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H14/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H20/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H23/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A27/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A29/04
NBA
113.6Avg total
56.7Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.454.0108.5+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (18)52.852.9105.7-0.139%-
Last 30 away (12)56.955.8112.7+1.242%-
Last 10 (10)56.756.9113.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)55.856.4112.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)53.555.1108.6-1.538%-
vs Weaker (17)55.153.2108.4+1.941%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.032.5
58.0%
54.4%65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.712.6
36.3%
36.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws16.513.0
78.8%
78.2%13.0
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.928.0
55.0%
54.4%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.4
36.9%
36.3%37.2
🏀 Free throws25.520.7
81.2%
78.2%20.7
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWLWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWLWWL
#3
League position
#4
+8.3
Net rating
+4.5
117.7
Offensive rating
116.5
109.4
Defensive rating
112.0
56.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
11.6%
Turnover %
13.9%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.3%
3-point %
36.9%
66.5%
Assist %
62.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 116.5Defence109.4 · 112.0Shooting56.7% · 55.1%3-point %36.3% · 36.9%Ball care11.6% · 13.9%Off. rebounds25.4% · 28.1%Free throws0.18 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers108-106
28/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers108-119
26/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers112-105
23/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers101-99
21/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers114-103
14/04/24AMemphis Grizzlies126-111
13/04/24ASan Antonio Spurs120-121
11/04/24HMinnesota Timberwolves116-107
10/04/24AUtah Jazz111-95
07/04/24HAtlanta Hawks142-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/24APhoenix Suns122-116
27/04/24APhoenix Suns126-109
23/04/24HPhoenix Suns105-93
20/04/24HPhoenix Suns120-95
14/04/24HPhoenix Suns106-125
13/04/24HAtlanta Hawks109-106
11/04/24ADenver Nuggets107-116
10/04/24HWashington Wizards130-121
08/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers127-117
06/04/24APhoenix Suns87-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874443
Win %70%82%58%
Points / game114.5117.8111.1
Allowed / game109.4108.3110.5
Point differential+5.1+9.5+0.6
Avg total223.9226.1221.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%48%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (24)62% (8)50% (16)
Overtime %1%2%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWLWW74%
AwayLWLWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %70%74%65%
Points / game113.2112.0114.4
Allowed / game106.4103.3109.5
Point differential+6.8+8.7+5.0
Avg total219.6215.3223.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%42%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)50% (14)71% (7)
Overtime %6%5%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics86681879%119.9108.1+11.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder86612571%119.4111.6+7.8
3 Denver Nuggets87612670%114.5109.4+5.1
4 Minnesota Timberwolves86602670%113.2106.4+6.8
5 New York Knicks87543362%112.4107.8+4.6
6 Dallas Mavericks88543461%117.1114.6+2.5
7 Los Angeles Clippers88533560%114.6112.0+2.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks86503658%118.0115.9+2.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers88513758%111.4109.6+1.8
10 Phoenix Suns85493658%115.8113.5+2.3
11 New Orleans Pelicans86493757%113.8109.9+3.9
12 Indiana Pacers86493757%122.5119.7+2.9
13 Orlando Magic88503857%109.8107.5+2.4
14 Sacramento Kings83473657%116.3114.3+2.0
15 Philadelphia 76ers89503956%114.1111.2+2.8
16 Golden State Warriors83463755%117.5115.2+2.3
17 Los Angeles Lakers86473955%117.2117.3-0.1
18 Miami Heat89484154%109.1108.1+1.0
19 Houston Rockets82414150%114.3113.2+1.1
20 Chicago Bulls84404448%112.2113.7-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks83364743%118.3120.6-2.3
22 Brooklyn Nets82325039%110.4113.3-2.9
23 Utah Jazz82315138%115.7120.5-4.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies82275533%105.8112.8-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors82255730%112.4118.8-6.4
26 San Antonio Spurs82226027%112.1118.6-6.5
27 Portland Trail Blazers82216126%106.4115.4-9.0
28 Charlotte Hornets82216126%106.6116.8-10.2
29 Washington Wizards82156718%113.7123.0-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons82146817%109.9119.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2519272899
Minnesota Timberwolves23173333106
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