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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 102-113
29-30 31-21 24-37 18-25
Position#11
Record40-26
FormLWWWW
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game108.2
vs
Position#2
Record44-22
FormLLLLW
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game104.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
121-111
121
111
+10
119avg 107
H15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
117-116
117
116
+1
112avg 107
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
128-110
128
110
+18
126avg 107
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
115-110
115
110
+5
113avg 107
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-92
124
92
+32
126avg 107
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
107-119
107
119
-12
100avg 107
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
116-101
116
101
+15
108avg 107
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
138-130 OT
138
130
+8
138avg 107
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-124
131
124
+7
134avg 107
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
106-100
106
100
+6
108avg 107
A10/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
24-26
32-30
36-41
25-33
29-30
24-23
39-30
35-25
28-33
29-29
36-23
38-30
21-29
26-26
30-25
32-27
33-21
21-22
38-22
24-24
33-31
22-31
28-33
25-26
26-20
36-24
29-31
35-19
27-38
22-37
40-30
40-31
31-38
33-32
27-23
32-29
31-22
17-26
26-23
231.6Avg total
120.3Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)111.2108.2219.3+3.061%
Season at home (31)113.7108.9222.6+4.865%
Season away (35)108.9107.5216.5+1.457%
Last 10 (10)120.3111.3231.6+9.090%
Last 5 (5)119.6114.8234.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0108.0210.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)117.9114.6232.6+3.362%
vs Weaker (13)118.2105.3223.5+12.992%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
117-115
117
115
+2
108avg 107
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
104-119
104
119
-15
93avg 107
A15/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
116-117
116
117
-1
107avg 107
H17/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
132-95
132
95
+37
135avg 107
A25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
101-107
101
107
-6
91avg 107
H28/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
114-129
114
129
-15
104avg 107
A02/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
113-122
113
122
-9
109avg 107
A04/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
116-124
116
124
-8
102avg 107
A06/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
124-131
124
131
-7
119avg 107
A08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
112-97
112
97
+15
113avg 107
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
33-36
30-32
22-21
37-34
22-27
19-33
26-25
33-25
30-29
23-24
30-39
31-32
39-25
30-16
32-22
37-24
23-24
28-26
13-33
27-34
29-34
31-28
27-33
27-38
27-30
37-31
22-23
25-32
42-30
27-27
22-35
31-40
38-31
32-33
23-27
21-21
33-15
32-25
26-36
230.5Avg total
114.9Scored
115.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)111.2104.9216.1+6.367%
Season at home (34)113.1101.8214.9+11.479%
Season away (32)109.1108.2217.3+0.953%
Last 10 (10)114.9115.6230.5-0.730%
Last 5 (5)115.8120.6236.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)106.1110.7216.8-4.629%
vs Weaker (16)115.3107.4222.8+7.969%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
65-48
65
48
+17
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A10/03
NBA
114.4Avg total
59.8Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.556.6117.2+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.758.5121.2+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)58.154.5112.6+3.671%-
Last 10 (10)59.854.6114.4+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)60.855.6116.4+5.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.051.0111.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.059.6118.6-0.656%-
vs Weaker (13)62.553.4115.8+9.185%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A15/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H17/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H28/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A02/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A04/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A06/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H09/03
NBA
120.4Avg total
61.7Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.855.4113.2+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.251.2110.4+8.086%-
Last 30 away (16)56.559.1115.6-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)61.758.7120.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)60.061.0121.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.958.4112.4-4.536%-
vs Weaker (16)61.152.8113.9+8.475%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.230.0
61.0%
53.1%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.012.7
34.3%
35.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws27.522.2
80.7%
77.4%22.2
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 114.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.929.1
57.2%
53.1%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.613.7
36.4%
35.3%41.1
🏀 Free throws21.315.6
73.2%
77.4%15.6
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWWWW
Golden State Warriors
WLLLLLWLLW
#11
League position
#2
+8.6
Net rating
-0.7
115.3
Offensive rating
112.6
106.7
Defensive rating
113.3
56.9%
Effective FG%
56.1%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.1%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.3%
3-point %
36.4%
67.4%
Assist %
63.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 112.6Defence106.7 · 113.3Shooting56.9% · 56.1%3-point %34.3% · 36.4%Ball care14.5% · 13.1%Off. rebounds20.8% · 21.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22ASacramento Kings106-100
08/03/22HGolden State Warriors131-124
07/03/22HNew Orleans Pelicans138-130 OT
05/03/22HHouston Rockets116-101
03/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder107-119
28/02/22APortland Trail Blazers124-92
27/02/22HSacramento Kings115-110
25/02/22ASacramento Kings128-110
17/02/22AGolden State Warriors117-116
15/02/22HOrlando Magic121-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/22HLos Angeles Clippers112-97
08/03/22ADenver Nuggets124-131
06/03/22ALos Angeles Lakers116-124
04/03/22ADallas Mavericks113-122
02/03/22AMinnesota Timberwolves114-129
28/02/22HDallas Mavericks101-107
25/02/22APortland Trail Blazers132-95
17/02/22HDenver Nuggets116-117
15/02/22ALos Angeles Clippers104-119
13/02/22HLos Angeles Lakers117-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWLWWW65%
AwayWWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663135
Win %61%65%57%
Points / game111.2113.7108.9
Allowed / game108.2108.9107.5
Point differential+3.0+4.8+1.4
Avg total219.3222.6216.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%32%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)80% (5)64% (11)
Overtime %5%6%3%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW67%
HomeLWLLW79%
AwayWLLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663432
Win %67%79%53%
Points / game111.2113.1109.1
Allowed / game104.9101.8108.2
Point differential+6.3+11.4+0.9
Avg total216.1214.9217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)45% (11)67% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns66531380%113.7105.8+7.8
2 Memphis Grizzlies67452267%114.2109.3+4.9
3 Golden State Warriors66442267%111.2104.9+6.3
4 Miami Heat67442366%109.4104.7+4.7
5 Utah Jazz65412463%113.7107.3+6.5
6 Milwaukee Bucks67422563%114.6110.5+4.1
7 Philadelphia 76ers65402562%108.4106.4+2.0
8 Denver Nuggets66402661%111.2108.2+3.0
9 Dallas Mavericks66402661%106.7103.8+2.9
10 Chicago Bulls66402661%112.5111.0+1.5
11 Boston Celtics67402760%109.7104.0+5.6
12 Cleveland Cavaliers65382758%106.9103.5+3.4
13 Minnesota Timberwolves67382957%114.7111.6+3.0
14 Toronto Raptors65353054%108.4107.2+1.2
15 Los Angeles Clippers68353351%106.9107.6-0.7
16 Brooklyn Nets67343351%111.4111.8-0.4
17 Charlotte Hornets67323548%114.2114.9-0.7
18 Atlanta Hawks65313448%112.5111.9+0.6
19 Washington Wizards64293545%108.1110.8-2.6
20 Los Angeles Lakers65283743%110.9113.2-2.3
21 New York Knicks66283842%105.8106.8-1.0
22 New Orleans Pelicans66273941%107.7109.4-1.8
23 Portland Trail Blazers65254038%106.9113.4-6.5
24 San Antonio Spurs66254138%112.7113.0-0.3
25 Sacramento Kings68244435%110.0115.2-5.2
26 Indiana Pacers67224533%110.3112.8-2.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder66204630%102.3110.2-7.8
28 Detroit Pistons66184827%103.6112.5-8.9
29 Houston Rockets66174926%109.0118.1-9.1
30 Orlando Magic67175025%103.8111.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29312418102
Golden State Warriors30213725113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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