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Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 116-101
25-26 26-20 36-24 29-31
Position#11
Record36-26
FormWWWWL
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game107.8
vs
Position#30
Record15-47
FormLLLLL
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game118.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
20 Nov 2026
DEN v HOU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
DEN129
HOU93
20 Dec 2025
DEN101
HOU115
15 Dec 2025
DEN128
HOU125
15 Jan 2025
DEN108
HOU128
08 Dec 2023
DEN106
HOU114
29 Nov 2023
DEN134
HOU124
30 Nov 2022
DEN120
HOU100
28 Nov 2022
DEN129
HOU113
04 Mar 2022
DEN116
HOU101
06 Nov 2021
DEN95
HOU94
24 Apr 2021
DEN129
HOU116
28 Dec 2020
DEN124
HOU111
26 Jan 2020
DEN117
HOU110
20 Nov 2019
DEN105
HOU95
01 Feb 2019
DEN136
HOU122
13 Nov 2018
DEN99
HOU109
25 Feb 2018
DEN114
HOU119
18 Mar 2017
DEN105
HOU109
02 Dec 2016
DEN110
HOU128
14 Dec 2015
DEN114
HOU108
13 Nov 2015
DEN107
HOU98
07 Mar 2015
DEN100
HOU114
17 Dec 2014
DEN111
HOU115
09 Apr 2014
DEN123
HOU116
06 Apr 2013
DEN132
HOU114
30 Jan 2013
DEN118
HOU110
15 Apr 2012
DEN101
HOU86
06 Feb 2012
DEN90
HOU99
07 Feb 2011
DEN103
HOU108
03 Jan 2011
DEN113
HOU106
16 Dec 2009
DEN111
HOU101
09 Mar 2009
DEN95
HOU97
30 Nov 2008
DEN104
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
124-104
124
104
+20
129avg 106
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
132-115
132
115
+17
136avg 106
H09/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
102-108
102
108
-6
95avg 106
A12/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
W
110-109
110
109
+1
110avg 106
A13/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
121-111
121
111
+10
119avg 106
H15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
117-116
117
116
+1
112avg 106
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
128-110
128
110
+18
126avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
115-110
115
110
+5
113avg 106
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-92
124
92
+32
126avg 106
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
107-119
107
119
-12
100avg 106
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-40
37-35
31-16
17-13
40-36
43-24
28-34
21-21
32-30
28-21
19-25
23-32
31-25
25-32
27-29
27-23
29-14
24-26
32-30
36-41
25-33
29-30
24-23
39-30
35-25
28-33
29-29
36-23
38-30
21-29
26-26
30-25
32-27
33-21
21-22
38-22
24-24
33-31
22-31
28-33
227.4Avg total
118.0Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)110.4107.8218.2+2.658%
Season at home (28)112.1107.9220.0+4.361%
Season away (34)109.0107.7216.8+1.356%
Last 10 (10)118.0109.4227.4+8.680%
Last 5 (5)118.2109.4227.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0108.0210.0-6.00%
vs Similar (17)112.1110.8222.9+1.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)119.9106.6226.5+13.392%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
107-120
107
120
-13
98avg 99
H07/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
97-110
97
110
-13
82avg 99
A09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
120-139
120
139
-19
113avg 99
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
101-135
101
135
-34
86avg 99
A15/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
121-124
121
124
-3
109avg 99
A17/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
111-142
111
142
-31
100avg 99
A18/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
111-119
111
119
-8
94avg 99
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
98-99
98
99
-1
82avg 99
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
100-113
100
113
-13
83avg 99
H02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
127-132 OT
127
132
-5
116avg 99
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
33-23
23-38
30-33
30-35
23-29
23-22
21-24
41-37
23-36
28-31
28-35
24-36
29-42
25-22
23-35
32-27
35-32
28-30
26-35
27-36
32-35
20-36
32-35
33-27
18-31
32-28
28-33
28-19
22-27
30-28
18-25
27-29
23-20
25-40
25-24
20-25
33-41
30-27
34-24
232.6Avg total
109.3Scored
123.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)108.5118.0226.5-9.524%
Season at home (29)109.8117.6227.3-7.828%
Season away (33)107.4118.4225.8-10.921%
Last 10 (10)109.3123.3232.6-14.00%
Last 5 (5)109.4121.0230.4-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)109.9122.6232.5-12.715%
vs Similar (4)113.2120.5233.8-7.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
Denver NuggetsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H09/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A12/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A13/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
65-48
65
48
+17
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H03/03
NBA
119.2Avg total
62.6Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.055.7115.6+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.558.6121.1+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)57.853.1110.8+4.769%-
Last 10 (10)62.656.6119.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)59.656.6116.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.051.0111.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (17)56.756.9113.6-0.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)64.654.3118.9+10.283%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H07/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
53-78
53
78
-25
A15/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A17/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A18/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H03/03
NBA
116.7Avg total
55.4Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.063.1119.1-7.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.364.3119.5-9.027%-
Last 30 away (15)56.761.9118.6-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)55.461.3116.7-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)52.658.0110.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)56.263.2119.4-7.027%-
vs Similar (4)54.862.2117.0-7.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.729.2
60.0%
53.1%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.6
35.0%
35.3%40.8
🏀 Free throws23.218.8
81.0%
77.4%18.8
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.924.6
52.5%
53.1%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.214.8
35.1%
35.3%44.4
🏀 Free throws23.715.7
66.2%
77.4%15.7
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWWWLWW
Houston Rockets
LLLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#30
+8.4
Net rating
-13.5
114.6
Offensive rating
105.8
106.2
Defensive rating
119.3
56.6%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.0%
3-point %
35.1%
66.1%
Assist %
61.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 105.8Defence106.2 · 119.3Shooting56.6% · 52.5%3-point %35.0% · 35.1%Ball care15.3% · 14.6%Off. rebounds23.4% · 22.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 0%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder107-119
28/02/22APortland Trail Blazers124-92
27/02/22HSacramento Kings115-110
25/02/22ASacramento Kings128-110
17/02/22AGolden State Warriors117-116
15/02/22HOrlando Magic121-111
13/02/22AToronto Raptors110-109
12/02/22ABoston Celtics102-108
09/02/22HNew York Knicks132-115
06/02/22HBrooklyn Nets124-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22HUtah Jazz127-132 OT
02/03/22HLos Angeles Clippers100-113
28/02/22HLos Angeles Clippers98-99
26/02/22AOrlando Magic111-119
18/02/22ALos Angeles Clippers111-142
17/02/22APhoenix Suns121-124
15/02/22AUtah Jazz101-135
11/02/22HToronto Raptors120-139
09/02/22ANew Orleans Pelicans97-110
07/02/22HNew Orleans Pelicans107-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWWWWL61%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games622834
Win %58%61%56%
Points / game110.4112.1109.0
Allowed / game107.8107.9107.7
Point differential+2.6+4.3+1.3
Avg total218.2220.0216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%32%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)80% (5)64% (11)
Overtime %3%4%3%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL28%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games622933
Win %24%28%21%
Points / game108.5109.8107.4
Allowed / game118.0117.6118.4
Point differential-9.5-7.8-10.9
Avg total226.5227.3225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)60% (5)50% (8)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns62501281%113.7105.6+8.1
2 Golden State Warriors63432068%110.9104.3+6.6
3 Memphis Grizzlies64432167%113.8109.2+4.6
4 Miami Heat64422266%109.7105.0+4.7
5 Utah Jazz62392363%113.7107.6+6.1
6 Philadelphia 76ers62392363%108.7106.2+2.5
7 Milwaukee Bucks64392561%113.8110.2+3.6
8 Chicago Bulls64392561%112.5110.9+1.7
9 Dallas Mavericks63382560%107.0103.6+3.4
10 Boston Celtics65382758%109.3103.8+5.5
11 Denver Nuggets62362658%110.4107.8+2.6
12 Cleveland Cavaliers63362757%106.7103.3+3.3
13 Minnesota Timberwolves64352955%113.9112.1+1.8
14 Toronto Raptors63342954%108.4107.3+1.1
15 Los Angeles Clippers65343152%107.2107.4-0.2
16 Brooklyn Nets64323250%110.6111.6-1.0
17 Atlanta Hawks63313249%112.5111.7+0.8
18 Charlotte Hornets64313348%114.1114.5-0.4
19 Washington Wizards62283445%107.7110.5-2.8
20 Los Angeles Lakers62273544%110.4112.7-2.3
21 New Orleans Pelicans63273643%107.3108.7-1.3
22 New York Knicks62253740%105.1107.3-2.2
23 Portland Trail Blazers62253740%107.4112.7-5.3
24 San Antonio Spurs63243938%112.7112.8-0.1
25 Sacramento Kings65244137%110.0115.1-5.1
26 Indiana Pacers65224334%109.9112.3-2.4
27 Oklahoma City Thunder63204332%102.1109.2-7.1
28 Detroit Pistons64174727%103.4112.5-9.1
29 Orlando Magic64164825%104.0111.7-7.8
30 Houston Rockets62154724%108.5118.0-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25263629116
Houston Rockets26202431101
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