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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 115-116
29-36 29-28 28-27 29-25
Position#2
Record14-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game114.7
Allowed / game113.6
vs
Position#21
Record12-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game108.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
L
103-106
103
106
-3
92avg 112
H17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
99-127
99
127
-28
84avg 112
A19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
98-97
98
97
+1
94avg 112
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
108-110
108
110
-2
102avg 112
H23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
131-126 OT
131
126
+5
132avg 112
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 112
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
129-113
129
113
+16
129avg 112
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
120-100
120
100
+20
120avg 112
H01/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
109-117
109
117
-8
103avg 112
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
106-121
106
121
-15
101avg 112
A04/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
27-25
30-25
19-26
27-29
28-44
28-32
16-22
25-25
30-31
24-18
19-23
29-28
28-30
24-25
27-27
38-21
31-42
15-34
36-23
31-26
33-26
23-25
27-27
42-39
28-29
36-23
23-22
44-24
30-23
22-25
24-28
25-28
21-32
35-30
28-27
31-27
29-32
21-28
25-34
223.8Avg total
111.7Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)114.7113.6228.3+1.161%
Season at home (8)116.9105.9222.8+11.075%
Season away (15)113.6117.7231.3-4.153%
Last 10 (10)111.7112.1223.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)115.6111.0226.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)115.1116.0231.1-0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)115.0114.4229.4+0.657%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#28
L
92-101
92
101
-9
66avg 100
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
127-99
127
99
+28
131avg 100
H19/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
97-98
97
98
-1
88avg 100
H21/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
112-125
112
125
-13
100avg 100
A24/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
100-105
100
105
-5
98avg 100
A26/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
115-124
115
124
-9
104avg 100
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
116-113
116
113
+3
99avg 100
H30/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
125-131 OT
125
131
-6
110avg 100
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
121-100
121
100
+21
111avg 100
A03/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
130-111
130
111
+19
124avg 100
H06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-31
23-26
23-19
18-25
29-27
44-28
32-28
22-16
25-25
31-30
18-24
23-19
23-34
26-36
36-31
27-24
29-24
23-30
21-27
27-24
33-41
29-32
34-31
19-20
36-24
19-30
37-33
24-26
36-36
24-25
29-38
28-18
20-32
32-27
41-15
28-26
33-15
34-26
29-34
34-36
224.2Avg total
113.5Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)111.5108.4219.9+3.052%
Season at home (13)111.8104.4216.2+7.577%
Season away (10)111.0113.7224.7-2.720%
Last 10 (10)113.5110.7224.2+2.840%
Last 5 (5)121.4115.8237.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)112.0107.3219.3+4.733%
vs Similar (24)111.0107.5218.5+3.554%
vs Weaker (3)111.3114.7226.0-3.333%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H01/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A04/12
NBA
119.5Avg total
60.4Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.058.2118.2+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)63.256.8119.9+6.450%-
Last 30 away (18)57.859.2117.0-1.344%-
Last 10 (10)60.459.1119.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)62.857.2120.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)58.856.2115.1+2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)61.360.4121.7+0.950%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#28
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H19/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H21/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A24/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A26/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H30/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A03/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
67-41
67
41
+26
H06/12
NBA
115.6Avg total
57.7Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.553.1110.6+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.649.4106.9+8.275%-
Last 30 away (14)57.457.4114.7+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)57.757.9115.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)59.257.6116.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)59.360.0119.3-0.767%-
vs Similar (24)57.351.6108.9+5.862%-
vs Weaker (3)56.758.3115.0-1.733%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.330.9
56.9%
54.5%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.1
36.2%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.416.6
74.1%
78.1%16.6
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.125.0
59.4%
54.5%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.215.7
36.3%
35.8%47.1
🏀 Free throws23.416.4
70.1%
78.1%16.4
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWLWLL
Dallas Mavericks
WWLWLLLLWL
#2
League position
#21
-0.4
Net rating
+2.8
113.9
Offensive rating
113.9
114.3
Defensive rating
111.1
55.9%
Effective FG%
56.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.0%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
17.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.2%
3-point %
36.3%
63.3%
Assist %
59.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 113.9Defence114.3 · 111.1Shooting55.9% · 56.9%3-point %36.2% · 36.3%Ball care14.2% · 12.0%Off. rebounds26.0% · 17.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans106-121
03/12/22AAtlanta Hawks109-117
01/12/22HHouston Rockets120-100
29/11/22HHouston Rockets129-113
26/11/22ALos Angeles Clippers114-104
24/11/22AOklahoma City Thunder131-126 OT
23/11/22HDetroit Pistons108-110
21/11/22ADallas Mavericks98-97
19/11/22ADallas Mavericks99-127
17/11/22HNew York Knicks103-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/22HPhoenix Suns130-111
03/12/22ANew York Knicks121-100
02/12/22ADetroit Pistons125-131 OT
30/11/22HGolden State Warriors116-113
28/11/22AMilwaukee Bucks115-124
26/11/22AToronto Raptors100-105
24/11/22ABoston Celtics112-125
21/11/22HDenver Nuggets97-98
19/11/22HDenver Nuggets127-99
17/11/22HHouston Rockets92-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL61%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayWWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23815
Win %61%75%53%
Points / game114.7116.9113.6
Allowed / game113.6105.9117.7
Point differential+1.1+11.0-4.1
Avg total228.3222.8231.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)33% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW52%
HomeLWLWW77%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %52%77%20%
Points / game111.5111.8111.0
Allowed / game108.4104.4113.7
Point differential+3.0+7.5-2.7
Avg total219.9216.2224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%23%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)86% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %13%8%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2520580%120.6112.6+8.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks2317674%112.6107.8+4.8
3 Phoenix Suns2416867%116.5109.3+7.2
4 New Orleans Pelicans2315865%117.3110.3+7.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers2516964%111.5104.9+6.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies2415962%114.8112.8+1.9
7 Denver Nuggets2314961%114.7113.6+1.1
8 Sacramento Kings2213959%119.6115.5+4.1
9 Los Angeles Clippers25141156%107.2108.8-1.6
10 Atlanta Hawks24131154%114.0113.6+0.4
11 Portland Trail Blazers24131154%110.3111.0-0.7
12 Indiana Pacers24131154%115.0115.9-1.0
13 Utah Jazz26141254%117.7115.5+2.1
14 Dallas Mavericks23121152%111.5108.4+3.0
15 Golden State Warriors25131252%117.2116.1+1.0
16 Brooklyn Nets25131252%110.9110.1+0.8
17 Philadelphia 76ers24121250%109.0107.6+1.3
18 Toronto Raptors24121250%110.8109.8+1.1
19 Minnesota Timberwolves23111248%115.0116.1-1.2
20 Oklahoma City Thunder24111346%117.0117.7-0.7
21 New York Knicks24111346%113.6115.0-1.3
22 Washington Wizards24111346%111.0112.5-1.5
23 Miami Heat25111444%108.3110.2-1.9
24 Los Angeles Lakers23101343%114.2115.2-1.0
25 Chicago Bulls2391439%111.5112.9-1.3
26 Charlotte Hornets2471729%109.3115.1-5.8
27 Houston Rockets2471729%110.9117.2-6.3
28 Detroit Pistons2671927%110.3117.3-7.0
29 San Antonio Spurs2461825%109.5121.3-11.8
30 Orlando Magic2552020%107.6114.2-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29292829115
Dallas Mavericks36282725116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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