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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 125-113
33-35 37-25 26-29 29-24
Position#5
Record22-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game109.0
vs
Position#4
Record26-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game105.2
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU110
DEN100
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
W
102-97
102
97
+5
83avg 99
H18/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
136-118
136
118
+18
135avg 99
H20/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
99-101
99
101
-2
85avg 99
A21/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
108-101
108
101
+7
98avg 99
H23/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
113-109
113
109
+4
100avg 99
H25/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
127-113
127
113
+14
119avg 99
H28/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
108-104
108
104
+4
97avg 99
A30/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
113-101
113
101
+12
108avg 99
H01/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
135-134 OT
135
134
+1
127avg 99
A04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
101-110
101
110
-9
86avg 99
A06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
25-14
33-36
19-24
34-28
36-30
31-32
35-28
33-21
25-32
18-29
23-19
28-26
13-17
43-26
24-32
22-22
30-38
34-28
27-21
35-24
22-31
35-31
35-27
30-20
23-30
24-26
31-28
27-18
34-20
25-35
27-28
22-34
31-36
39-28
27-21
30-30
16-29
31-27
24-24
223.0Avg total
114.2Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)110.3109.0219.3+1.358%
Season at home (18)113.6110.0223.6+3.672%
Season away (20)107.3108.2215.5-0.845%
Last 10 (10)114.2108.8223.0+5.480%
Last 5 (5)116.8112.4229.2+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)108.1104.5212.6+3.773%
vs Weaker (15)114.6111.9226.5+2.753%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
109-98
109
98
+11
112avg 106
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
85avg 106
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
126-118
126
118
+8
128avg 106
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
111-132
111
132
-21
91avg 106
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
103-111
103
111
-8
95avg 106
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
102-99
102
99
+3
104avg 106
H29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
122-118
122
118
+4
125avg 106
A30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
115-108
115
108
+7
115avg 106
H02/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
117-113
117
113
+4
111avg 106
A04/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
123-110
123
110
+13
112avg 106
H05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-32
21-20
22-24
27-22
23-23
16-24
29-25
27-14
34-33
40-36
31-26
21-23
26-34
33-34
27-35
25-29
26-34
27-21
22-22
28-34
31-23
30-24
17-28
24-24
36-16
26-33
28-29
32-40
28-32
27-24
27-28
33-24
30-30
23-36
31-18
33-29
31-26
27-30
31-28
34-26
221.6Avg total
112.3Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)110.6105.2215.8+5.470%
Season at home (19)112.8101.7214.5+11.284%
Season away (18)108.2108.9217.1-0.756%
Last 10 (10)112.3109.3221.6+3.080%
Last 5 (5)115.8109.6225.4+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0112.5218.5-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)107.5103.7211.2+3.877%
vs Weaker (15)112.9105.4218.3+7.567%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H18/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H20/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A21/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H25/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H28/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A30/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H01/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A06/01
NBA
106.4Avg total
54.1Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.454.0110.4+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.652.3109.9+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)55.455.5110.9-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)54.152.3106.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)54.054.4108.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.752.9105.6-0.333%-
vs Weaker (15)60.155.1115.2+5.167%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H02/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A04/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H05/01
NBA
113.9Avg total
57.4Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.753.7110.4+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.653.3109.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)56.854.2111.0+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)57.456.5113.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)57.854.8112.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.554.5112.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)56.050.9106.9+5.169%-
vs Weaker (15)57.256.1113.3+1.153%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.5
51.6%
51.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.817.5
37.4%
35.4%52.5
🏀 Free throws26.820.7
77.2%
76.6%20.7
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.228.9
52.4%
51.7%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.8
37.6%
35.4%38.4
🏀 Free throws21.316.1
75.6%
76.6%16.1
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWWWWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLLWWW
#5
League position
#4
+5.4
Net rating
+3.1
113.3
Offensive rating
114.3
108.0
Defensive rating
111.3
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.9%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.4%
3-point %
37.6%
54.2%
Assist %
67.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 114.3Defence108.0 · 111.3Shooting54.0% · 53.9%3-point %37.4% · 37.6%Ball care12.9% · 13.7%Off. rebounds24.7% · 29.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Houston Rockets wins
2
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19APortland Trail Blazers101-110
04/01/19AGolden State Warriors135-134 OT
01/01/19HMemphis Grizzlies113-101
30/12/18ANew Orleans Pelicans108-104
28/12/18HBoston Celtics127-113
25/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder113-109
23/12/18HSan Antonio Spurs108-101
21/12/18AMiami Heat99-101
20/12/18HWashington Wizards136-118
18/12/18HUtah Jazz102-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/19HCharlotte Hornets123-110
04/01/19ASacramento Kings117-113
02/01/19HNew York Knicks115-108
30/12/18APhoenix Suns122-118
29/12/18HSan Antonio Spurs102-99
27/12/18ASan Antonio Spurs103-111
22/12/18ALos Angeles Clippers111-132
19/12/18HDallas Mavericks126-118
17/12/18HToronto Raptors95-86
15/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder109-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWWWWW72%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %58%72%45%
Points / game110.3113.6107.3
Allowed / game109.0110.0108.2
Point differential+1.3+3.6-0.8
Avg total219.3223.6215.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %70%84%56%
Points / game110.6112.8108.2
Allowed / game105.2101.7108.9
Point differential+5.4+11.2-0.7
Avg total215.8214.5217.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)75% (4)86% (7)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors42301271%113.4108.0+5.4
2 Milwaukee Bucks38271171%117.7108.2+9.5
3 Denver Nuggets37261170%110.6105.2+5.4
4 Indiana Pacers39261367%107.7101.9+5.8
5 Golden State Warriors40261465%116.5112.2+4.4
6 Philadelphia 76ers40261465%114.4112.2+2.2
7 Oklahoma City Thunder39251464%111.6105.8+5.8
8 Boston Celtics39241562%111.9105.3+6.6
9 Los Angeles Clippers39231659%115.7114.3+1.4
10 San Antonio Spurs41241759%111.9108.6+3.3
11 Houston Rockets38221658%110.3109.0+1.3
12 Portland Trail Blazers40231757%111.2110.2+1.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers40211952%112.3111.4+0.9
14 Utah Jazz40202050%108.0105.7+2.4
15 Miami Heat38191950%106.5105.8+0.7
16 Charlotte Hornets39192049%113.0111.7+1.3
17 Sacramento Kings39192049%115.2117.0-1.8
18 Brooklyn Nets42202248%110.7111.5-0.8
19 Minnesota Timberwolves40192148%111.4110.8+0.6
20 Dallas Mavericks39182146%110.2109.7+0.4
21 Memphis Grizzlies39182146%101.2102.6-1.4
22 New Orleans Pelicans40182245%116.7115.1+1.6
23 Detroit Pistons38172145%107.2109.7-2.5
24 Orlando Magic39172244%103.4107.2-3.7
25 Washington Wizards40162440%112.7116.4-3.8
26 Atlanta Hawks39122731%109.1117.6-8.4
27 New York Knicks39102926%107.8115.8-7.9
28 Chicago Bulls40103025%100.4109.8-9.4
29 Phoenix Suns4193222%106.3115.1-8.8
30 Cleveland Cavaliers4083220%101.6112.1-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets33372629125
Denver Nuggets35252924113
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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