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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 106-107
32-27 27-29 30-30 17-21
Position#12
Record23-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game109.3
vs
Position#9
Record25-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game109.2
Allowed / game105.2
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
103-109
103
109
-6
91avg 104
H19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
117-98
117
98
+19
115avg 104
A21/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
107-110
107
110
-3
101avg 104
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
102-98
102
98
+4
94avg 104
H27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
141-121
141
121
+20
143avg 104
A29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
95-108
95
108
-13
79avg 104
A30/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
101-106
101
106
-5
84avg 104
A01/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
123-111
123
111
+12
116avg 104
H03/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
120-123 OT
120
123
-3
108avg 104
H05/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
118-110
118
110
+8
114avg 104
H07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
26-21
18-26
30-33
35-28
28-29
25-20
29-21
17-20
34-22
35-21
21-47
20-24
32-23
27-27
23-24
41-41
31-33
45-24
24-23
19-25
24-29
26-30
26-24
32-20
19-30
27-27
23-29
31-30
29-35
33-28
30-18
20-32
24-25
40-23
19-23
33-27
28-28
27-27
30-28
222.1Avg total
112.7Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)116.7109.3225.9+7.464%
Season at home (19)115.7108.1223.8+7.658%
Season away (17)117.8110.6228.4+7.271%
Last 10 (10)112.7109.4222.1+3.350%
Last 5 (5)111.4111.6223.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0116.0236.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)110.6110.1220.7+0.542%
vs Weaker (17)120.8107.3228.1+13.576%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
109-100
109
100
+9
105avg 103
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
128-104
128
104
+24
124avg 103
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
113-111
113
111
+2
116avg 103
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
100-112
100
112
-12
86avg 103
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 103
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 103
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
104-130
104
130
-26
90avg 103
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
124-116
124
116
+8
123avg 103
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
114-128
114
128
-14
96avg 103
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
123-115
123
115
+8
114avg 103
A07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-20
28-31
21-24
27-25
23-28
32-25
36-25
37-26
34-22
22-27
26-32
31-30
26-29
29-29
25-26
20-28
26-11
24-28
32-29
37-42
31-32
31-25
26-24
32-34
26-38
26-31
37-23
15-38
27-37
35-27
30-24
32-28
19-31
36-30
35-34
24-33
29-31
35-25
27-30
32-29
229.5Avg total
115.4Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)109.2105.2214.4+3.969%
Season at home (19)109.0103.5212.5+5.579%
Season away (17)109.4107.1216.5+2.259%
Last 10 (10)115.4114.1229.5+1.370%
Last 5 (5)117.0120.8237.8-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)103.8102.2206.0+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)109.4105.2214.6+4.372%
vs Weaker (8)115.5108.4223.9+7.175%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A21/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A30/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A01/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H03/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H05/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H07/01
NBA
110.3Avg total
55.2Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.456.0113.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.955.6111.4+0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)59.156.4115.6+2.764%-
Last 10 (10)55.255.1110.3+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)51.856.2108.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.056.0115.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)54.756.2110.8-1.550%-
vs Weaker (17)59.255.8115.1+3.453%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A07/01
NBA
112.9Avg total
57.2Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.353.1108.4+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.252.7106.9+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)56.853.7110.5+3.154%-
Last 10 (10)57.255.7112.9+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)59.061.4120.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.550.098.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.753.8108.5+0.856%-
vs Weaker (8)60.153.1113.2+7.062%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.123.8
51.6%
52.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.616.1
36.9%
35.7%48.3
🏀 Free throws20.616.8
81.6%
77.2%16.8
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.733.8
56.6%
52.3%67.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.6
33.0%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.019.0
82.6%
77.2%19.0
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLWLLWWLWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWLWWW
#12
League position
#9
+3.3
Net rating
+1.3
113.0
Offensive rating
116.6
109.7
Defensive rating
115.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.0%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.9%
3-point %
33.0%
60.4%
Assist %
60.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 116.6Defence109.7 · 115.3Shooting53.5% · 54.3%3-point %36.9% · 33.0%Ball care13.2% · 12.0%Off. rebounds25.5% · 26.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/20HChicago Bulls118-110
05/01/20HCharlotte Hornets120-123 OT
03/01/20HBrooklyn Nets123-111
01/01/20AOklahoma City Thunder101-106
30/12/19ALos Angeles Lakers95-108
29/12/19AGolden State Warriors141-121
27/12/19HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
22/12/19AToronto Raptors107-110
21/12/19APhiladelphia 76ers117-98
19/12/19HBoston Celtics103-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/20AAtlanta Hawks123-115
05/01/20AWashington Wizards114-128
03/01/20AIndiana Pacers124-116
01/01/20AHouston Rockets104-130
30/12/19HSacramento Kings120-115
28/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies119-110
26/12/19HNew Orleans Pelicans100-112
24/12/19APhoenix Suns113-111
23/12/19ALos Angeles Lakers128-104
21/12/19HMinnesota Timberwolves109-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW64%
HomeLWWLW58%
AwayWLWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %64%58%71%
Points / game116.7115.7117.8
Allowed / game109.3108.1110.6
Point differential+7.4+7.6+7.2
Avg total225.9223.8228.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%21%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)29% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %8%16%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayWLWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %69%79%59%
Points / game109.2109.0109.4
Allowed / game105.2103.5107.1
Point differential+3.9+5.5+2.2
Avg total214.4212.5216.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%26%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %8%5%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks3832684%119.2107.3+11.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers3730781%112.8104.9+7.9
3 Miami Heat37271073%111.4107.3+4.1
4 Boston Celtics35251071%110.9104.3+6.7
5 Denver Nuggets36251169%109.2105.2+3.9
6 Houston Rockets35241169%119.4113.9+5.5
7 Los Angeles Clippers38261268%115.8109.8+6.0
8 Utah Jazz36241267%108.4105.9+2.6
9 Toronto Raptors38251366%110.5105.2+5.3
10 Dallas Mavericks36231364%116.7109.3+7.4
11 Philadelphia 76ers38241463%109.8105.9+3.8
12 Indiana Pacers38231561%109.4106.6+2.8
13 Oklahoma City Thunder37211657%108.8107.4+1.5
14 Orlando Magic38182047%103.7103.4+0.3
15 San Antonio Spurs36162044%114.0114.8-0.8
16 Brooklyn Nets36162044%109.6111.7-2.1
17 Portland Trail Blazers38162242%112.0113.6-1.6
18 Memphis Grizzlies38162242%112.6116.3-3.7
19 Sacramento Kings38152339%106.2108.5-2.3
20 Minnesota Timberwolves36142239%111.8114.4-2.6
21 Phoenix Suns37142338%113.9115.2-1.2
22 Charlotte Hornets40152538%104.6111.0-6.5
23 Detroit Pistons38142437%108.4111.1-2.7
24 Chicago Bulls37132435%105.8107.2-1.5
25 New Orleans Pelicans37122532%112.8116.9-4.1
26 Washington Wizards37122532%114.9120.2-5.3
27 New York Knicks37102727%104.2111.9-7.7
28 Cleveland Cavaliers37102727%104.6113.6-9.0
29 Golden State Warriors3892924%105.1112.9-7.8
30 Atlanta Hawks3782922%107.5117.3-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks32273017106
Denver Nuggets27293021107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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