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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 130-104
38-26 31-26 23-37 38-15
Position#11
Record22-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game119.1
Allowed / game114.3
vs
Position#9
Record23-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game108.3
Allowed / game103.1
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU v DEN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
116-110
116
110
+6
103avg 106
A12/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
130-107
130
107
+23
124avg 106
A14/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
107-115
107
115
-8
85avg 106
H15/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
109-107
109
107
+2
96avg 106
H17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
122-117
122
117
+5
114avg 106
A20/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
139-125
139
125
+14
131avg 106
A22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
113-104
113
104
+9
99avg 106
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
104-116
104
116
-12
86avg 106
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
108-98
108
98
+10
90avg 106
H29/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
112-127
112
127
-15
110avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-29
29-28
24-25
28-28
28-22
34-33
34-23
34-29
32-30
20-32
23-26
32-27
21-35
32-37
30-17
26-18
27-28
27-41
36-18
32-30
36-35
34-30
36-30
33-30
37-21
28-36
32-22
16-25
29-28
39-36
19-28
17-24
42-20
21-34
25-25
20-19
37-36
27-28
29-22
19-41
228.6Avg total
116.0Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)119.1114.3233.4+4.867%
Season at home (15)118.8111.4230.2+7.473%
Season away (18)119.3116.8236.1+2.661%
Last 10 (10)116.0112.6228.6+3.470%
Last 5 (5)115.2114.0229.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)115.1115.3230.4-0.262%
vs Weaker (17)122.4113.1235.5+9.471%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
114-99
114
99
+15
108avg 104
H13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
110-102
110
102
+8
108avg 104
H15/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
111-105
111
105
+6
103avg 104
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
113-104
113
104
+9
115avg 104
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
109-100
109
100
+9
105avg 104
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
128-104
128
104
+24
124avg 104
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
113-111
113
111
+2
116avg 104
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
100-112
100
112
-12
86avg 104
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 104
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 104
H30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
29-27
27-25
25-21
27-20
25-29
30-19
28-34
33-22
34-29
20-33
24-21
27-32
18-28
39-16
29-28
33-20
28-31
21-24
27-25
23-28
32-25
36-25
37-26
34-22
22-27
26-32
31-30
26-29
29-29
25-26
20-28
26-11
24-28
32-29
37-42
31-32
31-25
26-24
32-34
219.9Avg total
113.7Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)108.3103.1211.4+5.272%
Season at home (19)109.0103.5212.5+5.579%
Season away (13)107.2102.5209.7+4.862%
Last 10 (10)113.7106.2219.9+7.590%
Last 5 (5)116.0110.4226.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)103.8102.2206.0+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (20)107.3103.0210.3+4.470%
vs Weaker (6)114.5104.0218.5+10.583%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A12/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A14/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H15/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
53-72
53
72
-19
H17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
54-69
54
69
-15
A20/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H29/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A30/12
NBA
123.4Avg total
61.5Scored
61.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.658.2118.8+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.854.9115.7+5.875%-
Last 30 away (18)60.660.3120.9+0.261%-
Last 10 (10)61.561.9123.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)66.060.8126.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.457.2114.5+0.254%-
vs Weaker (17)63.158.9122.1+4.276%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H30/12
NBA
108.5Avg total
56.5Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.251.9106.1+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.653.1107.7+1.461%-
Last 30 away (12)53.750.2103.8+3.550%-
Last 10 (10)56.552.0108.5+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)55.651.2106.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.550.098.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)53.552.5106.0+1.055%-
vs Weaker (6)60.351.3111.7+9.067%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 116.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.727.3
54.9%
52.3%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.815.5
37.1%
35.7%46.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.9
75.3%
77.2%14.9
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.531.4
54.6%
52.3%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.1
36.9%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.917.6
80.4%
77.2%17.6
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWLWWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#9
+3.3
Net rating
+7.7
112.8
Offensive rating
116.3
109.5
Defensive rating
108.6
55.2%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
12.4%
Turnover %
13.2%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.1%
3-point %
36.9%
47.9%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 116.3Defence109.5 · 108.6Shooting55.2% · 54.9%3-point %37.1% · 36.9%Ball care12.4% · 13.2%Off. rebounds22.4% · 28.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Houston Rockets wins
2
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/19ANew Orleans Pelicans112-127
29/12/19HBrooklyn Nets108-98
25/12/19AGolden State Warriors104-116
24/12/19ASacramento Kings113-104
22/12/19APhoenix Suns139-125
20/12/19ALos Angeles Clippers122-117
17/12/19HSan Antonio Spurs109-107
15/12/19HDetroit Pistons107-115
14/12/19AOrlando Magic130-107
12/12/19ACleveland Cavaliers116-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/19HSacramento Kings120-115
28/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies119-110
26/12/19HNew Orleans Pelicans100-112
24/12/19APhoenix Suns113-111
23/12/19ALos Angeles Lakers128-104
21/12/19HMinnesota Timberwolves109-100
19/12/19HOrlando Magic113-104
16/12/19HNew York Knicks111-105
15/12/19HOklahoma City Thunder110-102
13/12/19HPortland Trail Blazers114-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayWWWLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %67%73%61%
Points / game119.1118.8119.3
Allowed / game114.3111.4116.8
Point differential+4.8+7.4+2.6
Avg total233.4230.2236.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayLLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %72%79%62%
Points / game108.3109.0107.2
Allowed / game103.1103.5102.5
Point differential+5.2+5.5+4.8
Avg total211.4212.5209.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%26%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %9%5%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks3530586%119.8106.6+13.3
2 Los Angeles Lakers3326779%112.4105.3+7.2
3 Boston Celtics3123874%111.5103.6+7.9
4 Miami Heat3324973%112.4108.2+4.2
5 Denver Nuggets3223972%108.3103.1+5.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers35241169%115.0108.2+6.8
7 Toronto Raptors33221167%111.3106.2+5.1
8 Houston Rockets33221167%119.1114.3+4.8
9 Dallas Mavericks32211166%116.8108.9+7.9
10 Indiana Pacers34221265%109.1105.4+3.6
11 Philadelphia 76ers36231364%109.6105.4+4.1
12 Utah Jazz33211264%108.0105.8+2.2
13 Oklahoma City Thunder32171553%108.3107.5+0.8
14 Brooklyn Nets32161650%110.6111.4-0.8
15 Orlando Magic33141942%102.9104.8-1.9
16 San Antonio Spurs31131842%113.3115.0-1.7
17 Portland Trail Blazers34142041%112.6114.0-1.4
18 Phoenix Suns33132039%114.3115.1-0.8
19 Chicago Bulls34132138%105.9107.0-1.1
20 Memphis Grizzlies34132138%111.1116.2-5.2
21 Minnesota Timberwolves32122038%112.2115.8-3.6
22 Charlotte Hornets36132336%103.8110.8-7.0
23 Detroit Pistons34122235%108.3110.9-2.7
24 Sacramento Kings34122235%104.9108.3-3.4
25 New Orleans Pelicans34112332%112.3116.4-4.2
26 Washington Wizards32102231%116.6121.0-4.4
27 Cleveland Cavaliers32102231%104.6113.2-8.7
28 New York Knicks3392427%103.3111.4-8.1
29 Golden State Warriors3492526%105.7113.3-7.6
30 Atlanta Hawks3472721%107.1117.6-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets38312338130
Denver Nuggets26263715104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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