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Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 116-124
37-27 27-35 24-30 28-32
Position#10
Record22-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game109.1
Allowed / game105.4
vs
Position#9
Record23-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game108.2
Allowed / game103.9
USANBA· Bankers Life Fieldhouse
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets
07 Nov 2026
IND102
DEN114
03 Dec 2025
IND120
DEN135
24 Feb 2025
IND116
DEN125
23 Jan 2024
IND109
DEN114
09 Nov 2022
IND119
DEN122
30 Mar 2022
IND118
DEN125
04 Mar 2021
IND103
DEN113
02 Jan 2020
IND116
DEN124
24 Mar 2019
IND124
DEN88
10 Dec 2017
IND126
DEN116
24 Mar 2017
IND117
DEN125
30 Jan 2016
IND109
DEN105
14 Nov 2014
IND87
DEN108
10 Feb 2014
IND119
DEN80
07 Dec 2012
IND89
DEN92
11 Feb 2012
IND109
DEN113
09 Nov 2010
IND144
DEN113
03 Nov 2009
IND93
DEN111
01 Mar 2009
IND100
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
122-117
122
117
+5
113avg 101
H12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
110-100
110
100
+10
105avg 101
A14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
107-85
107
85
+22
107avg 101
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 101
H18/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
119-105
119
105
+14
119avg 101
H21/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
89-117
89
117
-28
76avg 101
A23/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
120-115 OT
120
115
+5
115avg 101
H24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
112-113
112
113
-1
102avg 101
A28/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
98-120
98
120
-22
85avg 101
A29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
115-97
115
97
+18
113avg 101
H31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-32
31-25
23-37
38-23
29-22
34-26
23-35
24-17
33-20
26-24
13-22
35-19
24-28
26-24
28-24
27-26
30-32
38-25
24-22
27-26
22-21
33-38
18-24
16-34
30-19
24-25
24-35
29-28
27-25
28-33
27-26
30-29
32-19
13-29
23-38
30-34
29-27
38-16
29-23
19-31
216.8Avg total
109.7Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)109.1105.4214.5+3.665%
Season at home (18)110.9103.6214.6+7.383%
Season away (16)106.9107.4214.4-0.544%
Last 10 (10)109.7107.1216.8+2.670%
Last 5 (5)106.8112.4219.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)103.0110.5213.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)112.8104.6217.4+8.271%
vs Weaker (10)109.0102.4211.4+6.680%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
110-102
110
102
+8
108avg 103
H15/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
111-105
111
105
+6
103avg 103
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
113-104
113
104
+9
115avg 103
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
109-100
109
100
+9
105avg 103
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
128-104
128
104
+24
124avg 103
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
113-111
113
111
+2
116avg 103
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
100-112
100
112
-12
86avg 103
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 103
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 103
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
104-130
104
130
-26
90avg 103
A01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
25-29
30-19
28-34
33-22
34-29
20-33
24-21
27-32
18-28
39-16
29-28
33-20
28-31
21-24
27-25
23-28
32-25
36-25
37-26
34-22
22-27
26-32
31-30
26-29
29-29
25-26
20-28
26-11
24-28
32-29
37-42
31-32
31-25
26-24
32-34
26-38
26-31
37-23
15-38
222.0Avg total
112.7Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)108.2103.9212.1+4.270%
Season at home (19)109.0103.5212.5+5.579%
Season away (14)107.0104.4211.4+2.657%
Last 10 (10)112.7109.3222.0+3.480%
Last 5 (5)111.2115.6226.8-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)103.8102.2206.0+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (20)107.5104.8212.2+2.865%
vs Weaker (6)114.5104.0218.5+10.583%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
Indiana PacersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H18/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H21/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A23/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A28/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H31/12
NBA
108.7Avg total
57.7Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.351.2106.5+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.149.4104.5+5.776%-
Last 30 away (13)55.553.5109.1+2.038%-
Last 10 (10)57.751.0108.7+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)55.250.4105.6+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)50.753.5104.2-2.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)56.650.2106.8+6.457%-
vs Weaker (10)56.351.2107.5+5.180%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A01/01
NBA
109.1Avg total
55.5Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.452.5106.8+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.653.1107.7+1.461%-
Last 30 away (12)54.151.5105.6+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)55.553.6109.1+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)55.054.4109.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.550.098.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)53.853.3107.0+0.555%-
vs Weaker (6)60.351.3111.7+9.067%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.830.2
51.4%
52.3%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.2
36.8%
35.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.115.7
78.1%
77.2%15.7
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.532.7
55.0%
52.3%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.1
34.8%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.917.0
81.3%
77.2%17.0
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
WLLWLWWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWWWWWW
#10
League position
#9
+2.6
Net rating
+3.4
108.8
Offensive rating
114.0
106.2
Defensive rating
110.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
54.1%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
10.5%
Turnover %
13.6%
18.1%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.8%
3-point %
34.8%
67.9%
Assist %
64.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 114.0Defence106.2 · 110.5Shooting52.7% · 54.1%3-point %36.8% · 34.8%Ball care10.5% · 13.6%Off. rebounds18.1% · 28.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana Pacers wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/19HPhiladelphia 76ers115-97
29/12/19ANew Orleans Pelicans98-120
28/12/19AMiami Heat112-113
24/12/19HToronto Raptors120-115 OT
23/12/19AMilwaukee Bucks89-117
21/12/19HSacramento Kings119-105
18/12/19HLos Angeles Lakers105-102
15/12/19HCharlotte Hornets107-85
14/12/19AAtlanta Hawks110-100
12/12/19HBoston Celtics122-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/20AHouston Rockets104-130
30/12/19HSacramento Kings120-115
28/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies119-110
26/12/19HNew Orleans Pelicans100-112
24/12/19APhoenix Suns113-111
23/12/19ALos Angeles Lakers128-104
21/12/19HMinnesota Timberwolves109-100
19/12/19HOrlando Magic113-104
16/12/19HNew York Knicks111-105
15/12/19HOklahoma City Thunder110-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW65%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %65%83%44%
Points / game109.1110.9106.9
Allowed / game105.4103.6107.4
Point differential+3.6+7.3-0.5
Avg total214.5214.6214.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %9%11%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %70%79%57%
Points / game108.2109.0107.0
Allowed / game103.9103.5104.4
Point differential+4.2+5.5+2.6
Avg total212.1212.5211.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%26%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %9%5%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks3631586%119.4106.5+12.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers3427779%112.6105.3+7.2
3 Boston Celtics3123874%111.5103.6+7.9
4 Miami Heat3324973%112.4108.2+4.2
5 Denver Nuggets33231070%108.2103.9+4.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers35241169%115.0108.2+6.8
7 Toronto Raptors34231168%111.5105.9+5.6
8 Houston Rockets34231168%119.4114.0+5.4
9 Indiana Pacers34221265%109.1105.4+3.6
10 Philadelphia 76ers36231364%109.6105.4+4.1
11 Dallas Mavericks33211264%116.3108.8+7.5
12 Utah Jazz33211264%108.0105.8+2.2
13 Oklahoma City Thunder33181555%108.2107.3+1.0
14 Brooklyn Nets32161650%110.6111.4-0.8
15 Orlando Magic34151944%103.4104.6-1.2
16 San Antonio Spurs32141844%113.4114.9-1.6
17 Portland Trail Blazers35142140%112.0114.1-2.0
18 Chicago Bulls34132138%105.9107.0-1.1
19 Phoenix Suns34132138%114.1115.1-1.1
20 Memphis Grizzlies34132138%111.1116.2-5.2
21 Minnesota Timberwolves33122136%112.0115.5-3.5
22 Charlotte Hornets36132336%103.8110.8-7.0
23 Detroit Pistons34122235%108.3110.9-2.7
24 Sacramento Kings34122235%104.9108.3-3.4
25 New Orleans Pelicans34112332%112.3116.4-4.2
26 Washington Wizards33102330%116.2121.0-4.9
27 Cleveland Cavaliers33102330%104.3113.3-9.0
28 New York Knicks34102429%103.7110.9-7.2
29 Golden State Warriors3592626%105.9113.4-7.5
30 Atlanta Hawks3472721%107.1117.6-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers37272428116
Denver Nuggets27353032124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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