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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 100-98
17-25 30-24 33-21 20-28
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game94.5
vs
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
102avg 104
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
126-125 OT
126
125
+1
126avg 104
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
125avg 104
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
107-104
107
104
+3
105avg 104
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
100-96
100
96
+4
89avg 104
H06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
134-115
134
115
+19
135avg 104
A07/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
81avg 104
H10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
93avg 104
A12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
107-98
107
98
+9
98avg 104
A18/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
119-91
119
91
+28
121avg 104
H21/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
35-33
27-24
25-32
27-28
35-30
30-21
22-35
22-34
41-20
16-38
32-19
27-26
22-20
28-27
30-31
27-24
24-30
28-18
21-24
33-26
33-32
35-31
33-26
28-23
14-26
24-20
22-13
26-29
28-33
27-24
20-15
29-24
30-30
15-18
33-26
30-16
35-33
27-30
27-12
218.7Avg total
112.5Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)113.094.5207.5+18.5100%
Season at home (1)119.091.0210.0+28.0100%
Season away (1)107.098.0205.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)112.5106.2218.7+6.380%
Last 5 (5)110.899.6210.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)109.3121.0230.3-11.70%
vs Similar ◀ (20)116.2113.7229.9+2.570%
vs Weaker (7)116.6104.4221.0+12.171%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
92-95
92
95
-3
78avg 110
H23/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
94-98
94
98
-4
88avg 110
A25/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
115-86
115
86
+29
111avg 110
H27/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
101-92
101
92
+9
96avg 110
A29/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
124-114 OT
124
114
+10
120avg 110
H01/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
122-103
122
103
+19
120avg 110
H04/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
110-102
110
102
+8
107avg 110
A07/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
108-85
108
85
+23
103avg 110
A09/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
108-100
108
100
+8
106avg 110
H17/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
124-123
124
123
+1
122avg 110
A20/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
18-34
34-17
12-25
17-23
28-22
27-26
22-27
22-39
29-22
33-16
31-9
19-24
24-30
33-15
25-23
29-30
27-26
28-22
23-29
32-28
27-18
31-34
32-23
28-29
24-29
31-23
27-21
34-25
27-27
25-13
22-20
31-23
26-24
26-32
25-21
32-34
37-47
28-22
27-20
209.6Avg total
109.8Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)116.0111.5227.5+4.5100%
Season at home (1)108.0100.0208.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)124.0123.0247.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)109.899.8209.6+10.080%
Last 5 (5)114.4102.6217.0+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)106.7103.5210.2+3.364%
vs Weaker (19)112.6103.9216.5+8.679%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A07/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A18/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H21/10
NBA
111.1Avg total
56.9Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.455.9115.4+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.155.7113.8+2.462%-
Last 30 away (17)60.556.1116.6+4.465%-
Last 10 (10)56.954.2111.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.254.4111.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.062.3114.3-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)59.256.1115.3+3.165%-
vs Weaker (7)63.352.7116.0+10.686%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H23/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A25/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H27/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A29/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H01/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H04/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A07/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A09/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H17/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A20/10
NBA
109.2Avg total
53.9Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.754.3109.0+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.652.1108.7+4.457%-
Last 30 away (16)53.156.1109.2-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)53.955.3109.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)51.055.7106.7-4.727%-
vs Weaker (19)56.853.4110.3+3.458%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.830.5
52.8%
51.7%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
35.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws26.120.6
78.9%
76.6%20.6
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.829.5
54.8%
51.7%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.9
38.3%
35.4%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.215.1
83.0%
76.6%15.1
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWWWWWL
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWWWWLL
#4
League position
#2
+6.2
Net rating
+10.3
111.5
Offensive rating
113.0
105.3
Defensive rating
102.7
52.2%
Effective FG%
55.8%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
12.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.0%
3-point %
38.3%
63.0%
Assist %
60.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 113.0Defence105.3 · 102.7Shooting52.2% · 55.8%3-point %34.0% · 38.3%Ball care12.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds26.4% · 24.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/18HPhoenix Suns119-91
18/10/18ALos Angeles Clippers107-98
12/04/18AMinnesota Timberwolves106-112 OT
10/04/18HPortland Trail Blazers88-82
07/04/18ALos Angeles Clippers134-115
06/04/18HMinnesota Timberwolves100-96
04/04/18HIndiana Pacers107-104
02/04/18HMilwaukee Bucks128-125 OT
31/03/18AOklahoma City Thunder126-125 OT
27/03/18AToronto Raptors110-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/18AUtah Jazz124-123
17/10/18HOklahoma City Thunder108-100
09/06/18ACleveland Cavaliers108-85
07/06/18ACleveland Cavaliers110-102
04/06/18HCleveland Cavaliers122-103
01/06/18HCleveland Cavaliers124-114 OT
29/05/18AHouston Rockets101-92
27/05/18HHouston Rockets115-86
25/05/18AHouston Rockets94-98
23/05/18HHouston Rockets92-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game113.0119.0107.0
Allowed / game94.591.098.0
Point differential+18.5+28.0+9.0
Avg total207.5210.0205.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game116.0108.0124.0
Allowed / game111.5100.0123.0
Point differential+4.5+8.0+1.0
Avg total227.5208.0247.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Orleans Pelicans220100%140.0120.5+19.5
2 Denver Nuggets220100%113.094.5+18.5
3 Portland Trail Blazers220100%124.5113.5+11.0
4 Toronto Raptors330100%115.3106.0+9.3
5 Milwaukee Bucks220100%115.5106.5+9.0
6 Golden State Warriors220100%116.0111.5+4.5
7 Detroit Pistons220100%110.5108.0+2.5
8 Charlotte Hornets32167%115.0104.3+10.7
9 Indiana Pacers32167%114.7104.3+10.3
10 Boston Celtics32167%103.0100.3+2.7
11 Philadelphia 76ers32167%110.0109.3+0.7
12 Los Angeles Clippers21150%103.099.5+3.5
13 Utah Jazz21150%123.0120.5+2.5
14 Phoenix Suns21150%106.0109.5-3.5
15 San Antonio Spurs21150%110.0114.5-4.5
16 Houston Rockets21150%118.0123.0-5.0
17 Memphis Grizzlies21150%107.0114.0-7.0
18 Dallas Mavericks21150%120.0128.5-8.5
19 New York Knicks31233%110.7105.7+5.0
20 Minnesota Timberwolves31233%125.0125.0+0.0
21 Miami Heat31233%108.7109.7-1.0
22 Atlanta Hawks31233%119.0122.7-3.7
23 Sacramento Kings31233%125.7130.7-5.0
24 Brooklyn Nets31233%106.3113.3-7.0
25 Orlando Magic31233%102.3112.3-10.0
26 Washington Wizards2020%112.5115.0-2.5
27 Los Angeles Lakers2020%117.0126.0-9.0
28 Chicago Bulls2020%112.0122.5-10.5
29 Oklahoma City Thunder3030%104.0115.7-11.7
30 Cleveland Cavaliers3030%112.7126.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets17303320100
Golden State Warriors2524212898
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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