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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 103-88
25-25 22-21 21-27 35-15
Position#4
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game103.6
vs
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
81avg 104
H10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
93avg 104
A12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
107-98
107
98
+9
98avg 104
A18/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
119-91
119
91
+28
121avg 104
H21/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
100-98
100
98
+2
85avg 104
H22/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
126-112
126
112
+14
122avg 104
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
114-121
114
121
-7
104avg 104
A26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
116-111
116
111
+5
107avg 104
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
99avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
110-91
110
91
+19
103avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
14-26
24-20
22-13
26-29
28-33
27-24
20-15
29-24
30-30
15-18
33-26
30-16
35-33
27-30
27-12
17-25
30-24
33-21
20-28
33-26
35-29
37-26
21-31
26-22
31-36
32-29
25-34
20-24
38-21
26-31
32-35
28-24
23-24
29-30
18-20
15-27
35-15
33-24
27-25
211.7Avg total
109.4Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)112.5103.6216.1+8.988%
Season at home (4)115.2103.0218.2+12.2100%
Season away (4)109.8104.2214.0+5.575%
Last 10 (10)109.4102.3211.7+7.180%
Last 5 (5)114.8108.4223.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.0114.0224.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)113.9112.2226.2+1.767%
vs Weaker (11)115.2105.5220.6+9.773%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
87-100
87
100
-13
74avg 98
H07/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
102-112
102
112
-10
96avg 98
A09/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
123-117
123
117
+6
117avg 98
A18/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
123-124
123
124
-1
110avg 98
H20/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 98
H23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
100-89
100
89
+11
95avg 98
A25/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
132-111
132
111
+21
130avg 98
A27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
113-104
113
104
+9
112avg 98
A28/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
125-128
125
128
-3
113avg 98
A01/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
100-110
100
110
-10
90avg 98
H03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
25-28
17-21
22-21
16-21
30-33
32-21
24-37
30-34
38-21
25-32
30-30
34-32
47-37
22-28
20-27
22-19
24-28
17-23
21-22
24-29
28-15
23-22
25-23
28-31
36-18
38-33
30-29
26-19
24-27
32-31
31-27
25-32
31-33
40-36
29-27
31-29
29-24
18-30
22-27
217.6Avg total
108.9Scored
108.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)112.5109.4221.9+3.150%
Season at home (3)102.3108.7211.0-6.30%
Season away (5)118.6109.8228.4+8.880%
Last 10 (10)108.9108.7217.6+0.240%
Last 5 (5)114.0108.4222.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)106.2102.4208.6+3.850%
vs Weaker (10)113.2107.8221.0+5.470%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A18/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H21/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H22/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/11
NBA
106.2Avg total
55.1Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.653.4112.0+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.152.7110.8+5.469%-
Last 30 away (17)59.153.9113.0+5.165%-
Last 10 (10)55.151.1106.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)56.849.6106.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.058.0116.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)57.654.8112.4+2.761%-
vs Weaker (11)60.550.6111.1+9.882%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H07/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A09/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A18/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H20/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A25/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A28/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A01/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H03/11
NBA
111.1Avg total
57.1Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.452.1106.5+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.052.3107.3+2.762%-
Last 30 away (17)53.951.9105.9+2.065%-
Last 10 (10)57.154.0111.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)56.451.4107.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)52.852.0104.8+0.855%-
vs Weaker (10)57.652.4110.0+5.280%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.732.1
52.0%
51.7%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.7
30.9%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.419.1
75.2%
76.6%19.1
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.027.1
52.1%
51.7%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.4
36.3%
35.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws27.320.5
75.1%
76.6%20.5
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWWLW
Utah Jazz
LLWWWLLWLL
#4
League position
#9
+7.0
Net rating
+0.2
107.5
Offensive rating
107.7
100.5
Defensive rating
107.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.0%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.9%
3-point %
36.3%
58.1%
Assist %
59.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 107.7Defence100.5 · 107.5Shooting50.2% · 53.0%3-point %30.9% · 36.3%Ball care12.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds26.9% · 22.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/18ACleveland Cavaliers110-91
01/11/18AChicago Bulls108-107 OT
30/10/18HNew Orleans Pelicans116-111
26/10/18ALos Angeles Lakers114-121
24/10/18HSacramento Kings126-112
22/10/18HGolden State Warriors100-98
21/10/18HPhoenix Suns119-91
18/10/18ALos Angeles Clippers107-98
12/04/18AMinnesota Timberwolves106-112 OT
10/04/18HPortland Trail Blazers88-82
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/18HMemphis Grizzlies100-110
01/11/18AMinnesota Timberwolves125-128
28/10/18ADallas Mavericks113-104
27/10/18ANew Orleans Pelicans132-111
25/10/18AHouston Rockets100-89
23/10/18HMemphis Grizzlies84-92
20/10/18HGolden State Warriors123-124
18/10/18ASacramento Kings123-117
09/05/18AHouston Rockets102-112
07/05/18HHouston Rockets87-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game112.5115.2109.8
Allowed / game103.6103.0104.2
Point differential+8.9+12.2+5.5
Avg total216.1218.2214.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%0%80%
Points / game112.5102.3118.6
Allowed / game109.4108.7109.8
Point differential+3.1-6.3+8.8
Avg total221.9211.0228.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors109190%124.1110.6+13.5
2 Toronto Raptors98189%116.2107.8+8.4
3 Milwaukee Bucks87188%119.1105.8+13.4
4 Denver Nuggets87188%112.5103.6+8.9
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%118.9110.4+8.5
6 San Antonio Spurs86275%113.9110.8+3.1
7 Memphis Grizzlies75271%104.6100.0+4.6
8 Indiana Pacers107370%107.9102.7+5.2
9 Boston Celtics96367%103.999.8+4.1
10 Sacramento Kings96367%119.8116.6+3.2
11 Philadelphia 76ers106460%113.1112.0+1.1
12 Los Angeles Clippers95456%115.8109.9+5.9
13 Charlotte Hornets105550%115.7108.1+7.6
14 Utah Jazz84450%112.5109.4+3.1
15 Oklahoma City Thunder84450%112.1110.8+1.4
16 Detroit Pistons84450%109.5112.1-2.6
17 New Orleans Pelicans94544%118.9120.6-1.7
18 Minnesota Timberwolves94544%114.1118.2-4.1
19 Miami Heat83538%112.5112.2+0.2
20 Los Angeles Lakers83538%121.0121.1-0.1
21 Houston Rockets83538%106.2112.1-5.9
22 New York Knicks93633%107.3109.8-2.4
23 Brooklyn Nets93633%108.6112.9-4.3
24 Atlanta Hawks93633%110.8120.2-9.4
25 Orlando Magic82625%99.9111.9-12.0
26 Dallas Mavericks92722%110.8116.8-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls102820%107.2115.0-7.8
28 Washington Wizards81712%111.8123.9-12.1
29 Phoenix Suns81712%102.8116.8-14.0
30 Cleveland Cavaliers91811%106.1117.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25222135103
Utah Jazz2521271588
← all games of the day
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