Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Jul 2018

Tip-off: 02:00

Final 77-85

19-19 25-19 15-19 18-28

Position-

Record-

FormWWWWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Denver Nuggets

Toronto Raptors 🏆

Position-

Record-

FormWLLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League

Other2018

Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Toronto Raptors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver Nuggets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNuggets

Date

Competition

Washington Wizards

#18

108-100

108

100

99avg 103

A23/03

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

104-123

104

123

-19

92avg 103

A26/03

NBA

Toronto Raptors

110-114

110

114

-4

102avg 103

A27/03

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#11

126-125 OT

126

125

126avg 103

A31/03

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

#15

128-125 OT

128

125

125avg 103

H02/04

NBA

Indiana Pacers

107-104

107

104

105avg 103

H04/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#14

100-96

100

89avg 103

H06/04

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

#17

134-115

134

115

+19

135avg 103

A07/04

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#10

88-82

81avg 103

H10/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#14

106-112 OT

106

112

-6

93avg 103

A12/04

NBA

23-16

32-27

23-33

30-24

27-23

32-28

15-34

30-38

23-25

35-33

27-24

25-32

27-28

35-30

30-21

22-35

22-34

41-20

16-38

32-19

27-26

22-20

28-27

30-31

27-24

24-30

28-18

21-24

33-26

33-32

35-31

33-26

28-23

14-26

24-20

22-13

26-29

28-33

27-24

20-15

220.7Avg total

111.1Scored

109.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	111.1	109.6	220.7	+1.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	107.0	101.8	208.8	+5.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	110.8	117.8	228.5	-7.0	25%
vs Similar (20)	116.9	114.0	230.9	+3.0	70%
vs Weaker (6)	116.2	106.7	222.8	+9.5	67%

Toronto Raptors USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRaptors

Date

Competition

Washington Wizards

#18

114-106

114

106

112avg 104

H14/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

130-119

130

119

+11

126avg 104

H17/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

103-122

103

122

-19

91avg 104

A21/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

98-106

106

-8

87avg 104

A22/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

108-98

108

+10

99avg 104

H25/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

102-92

102

+10

90avg 104

A27/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

112-113 OT

112

113

-1

105avg 104

H02/05

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

110-128

110

128

-18

106avg 104

H03/05

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

103-105

103

105

-2

93avg 104

A06/05

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

93-128

128

-35

79avg 104

A08/05

NBA

28-23

27-36

31-26

28-21

44-27

32-31

24-32

30-29

29-30

32-39

21-32

21-21

30-22

21-18

29-40

18-26

23-24

25-23

31-31

29-20

20-30

30-23

23-25

29-14

33-19

27-38

27-25

18-23

29-26

34-35

24-37

23-30

19-24

21-31

25-24

38-26

26-30

21-33

25-37

21-28

219.0Avg total

107.3Scored

111.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	107.3	111.7	219.0	-4.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	104.0	113.2	217.2	-9.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	107.0	106.2	213.2	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker (26)	110.0	107.9	217.9	+2.2	62%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Denver NuggetsToronto Raptors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.0	28.7	57.7	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	29.6	29.1	58.7	+0.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	28.6	28.2	56.8	+0.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.3	25.4	51.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	25.6	53.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.0	32.5	57.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	29.8	28.2	58.0	+1.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (6)	29.3	27.5	56.8	+1.8	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.8	27.0	55.8	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	29.7	24.7	54.4	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	28.0	29.2	57.2	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.1	25.5	53.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	25.8	51.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	28.2	26.8	55.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	28.9	27.0	55.9	+1.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.2	27.8	58.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	28.1	27.5	55.6	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.0	28.0	60.0	+4.0	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.6	27.9	57.5	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	28.2	52.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	27.8	28.2	56.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	29.6	28.2	57.9	+1.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	33.7	25.8	59.5	+7.8	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.7	28.0	54.7	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.3	28.1	55.4	-0.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.2	27.8	54.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.0	30.7	57.7	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	32.0	58.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	26.8	22.0	48.8	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	26.7	28.9	55.6	-2.2	31%	-

Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Washington Wizards

#18

55-43

+12

A23/03

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

59-51

A26/03

NBA

Toronto Raptors

58-58

A27/03

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#11

62-58

A31/03

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

#15

63-54

H02/04

NBA

Indiana Pacers

49-46

H04/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#14

51-54

-3

H06/04

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

#17

66-58

A07/04

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#10

42-49

-7

H10/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#14

54-62

-8

A12/04

NBA

109.2Avg total

55.9Scored

53.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	59.2	56.4	115.7	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	57.7	56.6	114.4	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	60.6	56.2	116.8	+4.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.9	53.3	109.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.4	53.8	106.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	52.8	60.8	113.5	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	59.4	56.5	115.9	+2.9	65%	-
vs Weaker (6)	63.0	53.3	116.3	+9.7	83%	-

Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Washington Wizards

#18

55-59

-4

H14/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

76-58

+18

H17/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

61-69

-8

A21/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

51-40

+11

A22/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

48-47

H25/04

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

50-53

-3

A27/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

60-57

H02/05

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

63-61

H03/05

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

40-55

-15

A06/05

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

47-63

-16

A08/05

NBA

111.3Avg total

55.1Scored

56.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	55.6	54.9	110.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	56.9	52.9	109.8	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	54.2	57.0	111.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.1	56.2	111.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.0	57.8	109.8	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	55.0	48.8	103.8	+6.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (26)	55.7	55.9	111.5	-0.2	46%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.3	27.9	56.2	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	28.4	26.4	54.7	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	28.3	29.2	57.5	-0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	27.0	52.3	-1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	24.0	52.4	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.0	27.8	52.8	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	28.4	27.9	56.3	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	30.2	27.8	58.0	+2.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.5	27.2	53.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.3	27.0	53.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.8	27.3	54.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	30.9	56.9	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	29.6	54.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	28.0	28.0	56.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	26.3	27.0	53.3	-0.7	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.5	26.5	52.9	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	28.1	25.6	53.6	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	25.1	27.2	52.3	-2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.5	25.7	52.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.8	47.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.0	29.2	62.2	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar (20)	26.2	26.2	52.4	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	25.5	48.5	-2.5	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.4	24.5	50.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.7	25.5	52.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.1	23.5	49.6	+2.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	23.8	49.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	24.2	50.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	24.0	29.5	53.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (26)	26.8	23.7	50.5	+3.1	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.8	54.3	109.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	56.4	51.9	108.4	+4.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	53.4	56.4	109.8	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.8	52.7	104.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.6	45.8	99.4	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	58.0	57.0	115.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	54.6	54.1	108.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	53.2	53.3	106.5	-0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.9	51.6	104.6	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	52.9	52.5	105.4	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	52.9	50.8	103.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.5	54.7	106.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.6	53.8	104.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	52.0	57.5	109.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (26)	53.1	50.7	103.8	+2.3	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	56.1	29.1	51.9%	-	58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.7	11.4	36.0%	-	34.2
🏀 Free throws	24.2	18.7	77.3%	-	18.7

They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 107.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.6	28.5	51.3%	-	57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	10.4	39.0%	-	31.2
🏀 Free throws	23.9	19.1	79.9%	-	19.1

They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	63.2	30.8	48.7%	-	61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.9	38.4%	-	32.7
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.3	72.5%	-	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	61.7	32.4	52.5%	-	64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	9.4	38.7%	-	28.2
🏀 Free throws	22.9	18.7	81.7%	-	18.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.5	30.0	54.0%	-	60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.1	12.5	38.8%	-	37.4
🏀 Free throws	23.4	18.5	79.1%	-	18.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.2	28.8	53.1%	-	57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	11.8	37.2%	-	35.3
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.7	78.9%	-	16.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	59.8	31.3	52.4%	-	62.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	11.3	38.8%	-	33.8
🏀 Free throws	23.1	16.5	71.6%	-	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	62.0	31.0	50.1%	-	62.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	9.3	38.1%	-	28.0
🏀 Free throws	22.5	17.6	78.1%	-	17.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jul 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Denver Nuggets

LWWWWWWLLW

Toronto Raptors

LLLLWWLLWW

+1.5

Net rating

-4.5

110.7

Offensive rating

109.9

109.2

Defensive rating

114.4

52.6%

Effective FG%

53.6%

51.5%

Opp. effective FG%

54.1%

12.5%

Turnover %

14.1%

24.7%

Off. rebound %

23.2%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.29

36.0%

3-point %

39.0%

64.4%

Assist %

56.0%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Denver Nuggets ■ Toronto Raptors

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Denver Nuggets wins

Toronto Raptors wins

Date	Game	Score
27/03/18	Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets	114-110
02/11/17	Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors	129-111
19/11/16	Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors	111-113 OT
31/10/16	Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets	105-102
02/02/16	Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors	112-93
04/12/15	Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets	105-106
29/12/14	Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors	102-116
09/12/14	Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets	112-107 OT
01/02/14	Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors	90-100
01/12/13	Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets	98-112

Denver Nuggetslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/04/18	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	106-112 OT
10/04/18	H	Portland Trail Blazers	88-82
07/04/18	A	Los Angeles Clippers	134-115
06/04/18	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	100-96
04/04/18	H	Indiana Pacers	107-104
02/04/18	H	Milwaukee Bucks	128-125 OT
31/03/18	A	Oklahoma City Thunder	126-125 OT
27/03/18	A	Toronto Raptors	110-114
26/03/18	A	Philadelphia 76ers	104-123
23/03/18	A	Washington Wizards	108-100

Toronto Raptorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/05/18	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	93-128
06/05/18	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	103-105
03/05/18	H	Cleveland Cavaliers	110-128
02/05/18	H	Cleveland Cavaliers	112-113 OT
27/04/18	A	Washington Wizards	102-92
25/04/18	H	Washington Wizards	108-98
22/04/18	A	Washington Wizards	98-106
21/04/18	A	Washington Wizards	103-122
17/04/18	H	Washington Wizards	130-119
14/04/18	H	Washington Wizards	114-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2018

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Toronto Raptors

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2018

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Denver Nuggets	19	25	15	18	77
Toronto Raptors	19	19	19	28	85

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Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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